I'm back with two more MLB expert picks for Tuesday.
These picks focus on an afternoon game in Toronto, with Bowden Francis taking the mound for the Jays. Then, I back Lance Lynn and his current heater for the Cards.
Here are my two MLB picks for September 11th:
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MLB Expert Pick Today: Blue Jays (+106) vs Mets
Mets vs Blue Jays - Game Time: 3:08 pm ET
If you're not locked in on the Blue Jays, you might be missing this Bowden Francis miracle run. The Blue Jays starter has rattled off five-straight quality start, allowing just five total runs across the outings. The Jays have won four of those five outings (+3.2 units).
The Jays should also have a pretty clear offensive edge in this one. Toronto ranks third in MLB over the last month for team OPS, while the Mets rank 11th. In their last four games, the Mets have scored just 10 total runs.
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MLB Expert Pick Today: Cardinals (-130) vs Reds
Cardinals vs Reds Odds - Game Time: 7:46 pm ET
Lance Lynn has sneakily been one of the best bets in baseball this season. The Cardinals righty has been worth +5.64 units on the season, with the Cards winning eight of his last 10 starts.
Lynn has also specifically owned the Reds. Current Cincinnati hitters have a career .227 average and .569 OPS against Lynn. In two starts this season against the Reds, Lynn has pitched 12 innings, allowing just one earned run.
There's also something about Lynn being on the mound that elevates St. Louis' offense. The fiery starter has received 5.8 runs per game of support in his last 10 outings. That should be more than enough to beat a Reds team averaging just 4.3 runs per game in the last month.
Picks made as of September 11 at 9:00 a.m. ET.
