The 2024 MLB All-Star Game odds indicate the American League will be favored when Major League Baseball’s biggest superstars take to the field in Texas on Tuesday. With the AL winning nine of the last 10 midsummer classics, that same league is currently sitting at -118 chalk.
Below I'll break down the 2024 AS Game odds, lineups, and All-Star Game MVP picks:
MLB All-Star Game Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|
| National League | +100 | OVER 7.5 (-118) |
| American League | -118 | UNDER 7.5 (-104) |
Odds as of July 16th
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The National League won its first All-Star Game in a decade last year, but they're underdogs once again in 2024. The American League's odds imply a 54.13% chance of an All-Star Game victory, according to our odds calculator.
MLB All-Star Game Pick: Under 7.5 Runs (-104)
Let’s start with the trends for this pick. The UNDER has hit in 14 of the last 17 All-Star Games (pushing twice). We haven’t had a game total of more than seven runs since 2018 either.
Pitching is just so good right now, especially the high-end pitching that appears in All-Star Games. Just 20 years ago, teams scored an average of 4.81 runs per game. Now, they’re scoring just 4.39 and we’ve seen the mark go under 4.5 in five of the last ten seasons.
With guys like Tarik Skubal, Corbin Burnes, Reynaldo Lopez, and Paul Skenes pitching in this contest (all with ERAs under 2.5) as well as the game’s best relievers, elite pitching beats elite hitting. So, give me the easy UNDER here.
- C: William Contreras (Brewers)
- 1B: Bryce Harper (Phillies)
- 2B: Ketel Marte (Diamondbacks)
- 3B: Alec Bohm (Phillies)
- SS: Trea Turner (Phillies)
- OF: Christian Yelich (Brewers)
- OF: Jurickson Profar (Padres)
- OF: Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres)
- DH: Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers)
- SP: Paul Skenes (Pirates)
American League Starting Lineup
- C: Adley Rutschman (Orioles)
- 1B: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (Blue Jays)
- 2B: Marcus Semien (Rangers)
- 3B: Jose Ramirez (Guardians)
- SS: Gunnar Henderson (Orioles)
- OF: Aaron Judge (Yankees)
- OF: Juan Soto (Yankees)
- OF: Steven Kwan (Guardians)
- DH: Yordan Alvarez (Astros)
- SP: Corbin Burnes (Orioles)
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MLB All-Star Game Betting Trends
- The AL has won nine of the last 10 All-Star Games
- The UNDER is 14-1-2 in the last 17 ASGs
- The AL has won 28 of the last 34 ASGs
- A batter has won eight of the last 10 All-Star Game MVPs
- The ASG MVP has come from the winning team each of the last 10 years
- A shortstop hasn't won ASG MVP since 2006 (Michael Young)
MLB All-Star Game MVP Odds & Pick
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | +800 |
| Aaron Judge | +950 |
| Bryce Harper | +1100 |
| Gunnar Henderson | +1200 |
| Juan Soto | +1400 |
| Yordan Alvarez | +1800 |
| Trea Turner | +1800 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | +2000 |
Shohei Ohtani was the All-Star Game MVP favorite last year, and instead, the award went to basically unknown Rockies catcher, Elias Diaz. So, I think the smart play here is to look way down the board for some value.
All-Star Game MVP Best Bet: Marcus Semien (+4500)
Marcus Semien has appeared in two ASGs in his career, notching a hit and RBI in four at-bats. But the key for me here is he's the hometown guy — the only one hitting from the Rangers in the AL's starting lineup. With that hometown edge (and batters receiving the MVP award way more than hitters) Semien's a great MVP value pick at +4500.
Semien also enters this contest pretty hot. He's got hits in six straight games (three multi-hit games) and homered over the weekend. If he can carry that into the All-Star Game he can wow the home crowd.
