Mets vs Brewers Odds & Picks Game 3: Back The Mets

We've got pivotal Game 3 Mets vs Brewers odds for this Wild-Card series.

The sportsbooks think the Brewers will win the decisive Game 3, slating Milwaukee as a -130 favorite. But, I'm betting on the scrappy, underdog Mets to win this one and move on to an NLDS match with the Phillies.

Mets vs Brewers Game 3 Odds

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers, Oct. 3, 7:08 pm ET

Mets vs Brewers Odds
Team	Runline	Moneyline	Totals
New York Mets	+1.5 (-205)	+110	O 7.5 (-108)
Milwaukee Brewers	-1.5 (+168)	-130	U 7.5 (-112)

Mets vs Brewers Pick - Game 3

Mets +110

I still believe the Mets are going to squeeze this one out.

The Brewers may be starting Tobias Myers (one of their better options) tonight, but I still think the Mets have the pitching edge. Jose Quintana quietly had a crazy end to the season, allowing just three earned runs in his final six outings, combined. The Mets won four of his last five starts.

The Brewers also had just a .245 team average and .713 combined OPS against lefties like Quintana this year, with key players like Jackson Chourio struggling against southpaws. While the Brewers did win Game 2 of this series, LHP Sean Manaea held Milwaukee to just two runs in five innings. If Quintana can do the same tonight, I think the Mets offense can pull out a win.

This bet also comes down to the line. At most, I see tonight's contest as a 50/50. So, it's pretty obvious to take the underdogs. It may be risky to bet on the Mets in a big game, but this year's New York team seems different.

Mets vs Brewers Player Prop Pick

Tobias Myers UNDER 4.5 Hits Allowed (-115)

I'm always willing to bet outs, hits, and runs UNDERs for SPs in the playoffs, just because I don't think teams let their starters go deep in games. But, on top of that, I think Myers is a pretty safe bet to go UNDER 4.5 hits tonight, as he's gone below this mark in three of his last five starts of the year (including a start against the Mets).

In terms of hits vs righties this year, the Mets ranked out about league average. But, they've had just eight total hits against Brewers starters in the first two games of this series, and Myers is probably the best hit-suppressor they've faced yet. I'm not sure Myers can do enough to earn a Brewers win, but I don't think he'll get hit around.