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Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets
Denver
Nuggets
47 - 30
Golden State
Warriors
45 - 31
April 04, 2025, 10:00 PM EDT
 | Chase Center
Check Out Our Player Prop for This Matchup
Predicted Score
115.3
DEN
119.2
GS
Spread Consensus
Best DEN Spread
-1.5
DEN
-105
55%
Best GS Spread
+1.5
GS
-114
Total Consensus
Best Over
-114
o235.5
0%
Best Under
-105
u235.5
Our Prediction
Golden State will Win, Cover the Spread, and the Total will go Under.

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10:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Denver VS Golden State
Experts 1
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
DEN 115.3 -120
GS 119.2 +100
Spread Pick
-1 -110
+1 -110
Total Pick
U 236 -110
O 236 -110
C. Braun OVER 13.5 PTS
-104

 

The Warriors will be playing on the second night of a back-to-back after going the distance with the Los Angeles Lakers on Thursday in an all-important 123-116 victory which brought them to within one game of home-court advantage in the opening round of the playoffs. The Nuggets, on the other hand, literally rested their entire starting unit on Wednesday in a loss to the San Antonio Spurs, perhaps in an effort to be in tip-top form for this marquee matchup as they're now just 1.5 games up on Golden State.

Braun, along with several of his teammates, are listed as probable to return here, and his 13.5-point scoring prop is conservative enough to think there's a decent likelihood he'll go OVER at the Chase Center. While he's failed to do so in three meetings versus the Warriors already this season, the 23-year-old guard has scored 14 or more points in four-straight appearances and five of his last six. 

He's averaged 16.2 points and shooting 58.2 percent from the field during that stretch, but keep in mind that Nikola Jokic was absent for three of those games and Jamal Murray (questionable on Friday) was out for two, as well. Even so, Braun is hot shooting the rock these days, and he could get some open looks as Golden State zeros in on the three-time Most Valuable Player.

For more on this player prop and others, be sure to check out Odds Shark's expert picks by clicking here.

Expert Pick: Chris Walder

Championship 2025

Odds Settings
Wager Type
Sides/Totals
Futures
Segment
Full Game
1st Half
2nd Half
1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
3rd Quarter
4th Quarter
Odds Type
American
Decimal
Fractional

Friday, April 4 Fri Apr 4

Matchup
Opening Odds
OS Current
Line History Matchup
10:00pm EDT
Denver DEN
VS /
Golden State GS
+3
-110
- -
DEN
-108
O 235.5
-110
- -
-3
-110
- -
GS
-112
U 235.5
-110
- -
OS Current
-1
-110
- -
DEN
-115
O 234.5
-110
- -
OS Current
+1.5
-114
- -
GS
+100
U 236.5
-110
- -

Edge Finder

Overall

DEN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GS Defense
118.824Points Scored8110.08
50.481Field Goal %1546.14
35.9114Three Point %1435.40
76.5125Free Throw %776.59
46.184Total Rebounds2445.27

Scoring

DEN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GS Defense
118.824Points Scored8110.08
30.474First Quarter1528.08
30.293Second Quarter927.11
28.7415Third Quarter1428.70
27.7611Fourth Quarter826.19

Shooting

DEN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GS Defense
50.481Field Goal %1546.14
76.5125Free Throw %776.59
35.9114Three Point %1435.40
30.3430Three's Attempts1036.65
10.8930Three's Made1412.97

Rebounds

DEN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GS Defense
11.619Offensive910.95
34.584Defensive2834.32
46.184Total Rebounds2445.27

Other

DEN Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GS Defense
30.291Assists1425.86
18.0022Fouls918.03
13.9520Turnovers414.70
8.1314Steals108.05

Overall

DEN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GS Offense
116.8222Points Scored21112.65
46.4910Field Goal %2644.85
35.7510Three Point %1336.77
77.399Free Throw %2974.65
42.875Total Rebounds645.54

Scoring

DEN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GS Offense
116.8222Points Scored21112.65
30.5828First Quarter2327.51
29.5822Second Quarter2127.57
28.3712Third Quarter630.54
27.2913Fourth Quarter2127.03

Shooting

DEN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GS Offense
46.4910Field Goal %2644.85
77.399Free Throw %2974.65
35.7510Three Point %1336.77
38.8720Three's Attempts242.70
13.8917Three's Made315.70

Rebounds

DEN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GS Offense
12.0026Offensive612.22
30.871Defensive1333.32
42.875Total Rebounds645.54

Other

DEN Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GS Offense
28.9727Assists628.95
18.3211Fouls1618.76
12.5323Turnovers1513.41
9.0326Steals58.97

Head To Head

DEN
 Stat Type GS
9-1
 Record
1-9
6-4
 ATS
4-6
3-7
 O/U
3-7
118.20
 Points Scored
112.10
60.20
 Half Time Score
56.20
49.37%
 Field Goal Percentage
46.43%
43.60
 Rebounds
42.00
116/321
 3 Point Shots
127/371
8.70
 Steals
8.20
DEN
 Stat Type GS
3-0
 Record
0-3
2-1
 ATS
1-2
0-3
 O/U
0-3
117.33
 Points Scored
107.67
60.00
 Half Time Score
56.00
48.65%
 Field Goal Percentage
46.15%
45.33
 Rebounds
42.67
36/95
 3 Point Shots
31/105
10.33
 Steals
11.00
Mar 17/25 (1 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type GS
Away
Home
114
 Points Scored
105
+11.5
 ATS
-11.5
233 o
 O/U
233 u
62
 Half Time Score
50
46.70%
 Field Goal Percentage
48.80%
53
 Rebounds
38
14/39
 3 Point Shots
8/33
12
 Steals
16
Dec 3/24 (2 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type GS
Home
Away
119
 Points Scored
115
-5
 ATS
+5
236.5 o
 O/U
236.5 u
57
 Half Time Score
57
50.60%
 Field Goal Percentage
46.30%
38
 Rebounds
48
11/24
 3 Point Shots
12/38
9
 Steals
12
Feb 25/24 (3 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type GS
Away
Home
119
 Points Scored
103
+1.5
 ATS
-1.5
232.5 o
 O/U
232.5 u
61
 Half Time Score
61
48.90%
 Field Goal Percentage
43.20%
45
 Rebounds
42
11/32
 3 Point Shots
11/34
10
 Steals
5
Jan 4/24 (4 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type GS
Away
Home
130
 Points Scored
127
-4
 ATS
+4
234.5 o
 O/U
234.5 u
70
 Half Time Score
63
56.50%
 Field Goal Percentage
54.40%
36
 Rebounds
33
9/26
 3 Point Shots
15/36
7
 Steals
4
Dec 25/23 (5 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type GS
Home
Away
120
 Points Scored
114
-7.5
 ATS
+7.5
235 o
 O/U
235 u
53
 Half Time Score
54
48.80%
 Field Goal Percentage
46.00%
43
 Rebounds
39
14/34
 3 Point Shots
14/40
6
 Steals
7
Nov 8/23 (6 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type GS
Home
Away
108
 Points Scored
105
-4.5
 ATS
+4.5
228 o
 O/U
228 u
53
 Half Time Score
47
44.60%
 Field Goal Percentage
43.00%
45
 Rebounds
49
11/35
 3 Point Shots
11/35
7
 Steals
5
Apr 2/23 (7 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type GS
Home
Away
112
 Points Scored
110
+4
 ATS
-4
231 o
 O/U
231 u
58
 Half Time Score
61
44.00%
 Field Goal Percentage
40.00%
47
 Rebounds
57
9/33
 3 Point Shots
9/42
11
 Steals
9
Feb 2/23 (8 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type GS
Home
Away
134
 Points Scored
117
-7
 ATS
+7
238 o
 O/U
238 u
70
 Half Time Score
69
56.70%
 Field Goal Percentage
50.60%
38
 Rebounds
42
16/35
 3 Point Shots
19/38
10
 Steals
4
Oct 21/22 (9 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type GS
Away
Home
128
 Points Scored
123
+5.5
 ATS
-5.5
229.5 o
 O/U
229.5 u
70
 Half Time Score
52
53.50%
 Field Goal Percentage
47.70%
41
 Rebounds
35
15/34
 3 Point Shots
15/44
10
 Steals
10
Apr 27/22 (10 of 10)
DEN
 Stat Type GS
Away
Home
98
 Points Scored
102
+9
 ATS
-9
225.5 o
 O/U
225.5 u
48
 Half Time Score
48
44.40%
 Field Goal Percentage
45.10%
50
 Rebounds
37
6/29
 3 Point Shots
13/31
5
 Steals
10

Team Records

DEN
 Record GS
47-30
 All
45-31
25-14
 Home
23-14
22-16
 Away
22-17
37-20
 As Fav
34-16
10-10
 As Dog
11-15
35-41-1
 ATS
39-35-2
17-21-1
 ATS Home
17-19-1
18-20
 ATS Away
22-16-1
45-31-1
 O/U
39-37
25-14
 O/U Home
19-18
20-17-1
 O/U Away
20-19
DEN
 Record GS
4-6
 All
7-3
2-4
 Home
3-1
2-2
 Away
4-2
2-5
 As Fav
5-3
2-1
 As Dog
2-0
3-7
 ATS
4-5-1
1-5
 ATS Home
1-3
2-2
 ATS Away
3-2-1
7-3
 O/U
5-5
4-2
 O/U Home
1-3
3-1
 O/U Away
4-2
DEN
 Record GS
8-8
 All
4-10
5-3
 Home
2-5
3-5
 Away
2-5
6-6
 As Fav
3-4
2-2
 As Dog
1-6
9-7
 ATS
4-10
5-3
 ATS Home
1-6
4-4
 ATS Away
3-4
11-5
 O/U
9-5
5-3
 O/U Home
5-2
6-2
 O/U Away
4-3
DEN
 Record GS
18-11
 All
19-11
9-5
 Home
10-5
9-6
 Away
9-6
16-6
 As Fav
16-7
2-5
 As Dog
3-4
11-18
 ATS
14-15-1
6-8
 ATS Home
6-8-1
5-10
 ATS Away
8-7
20-8-1
 O/U
15-15
12-2
 O/U Home
6-9
8-6-1
 O/U Away
9-6
DEN
 Record GS
29-19
 All
26-20
16-9
 Home
13-9
13-10
 Away
13-11
21-14
 As Fav
18-9
8-5
 As Dog
8-11
24-23-1
 ATS
25-20-1
11-13-1
 ATS Home
11-11
13-10
 ATS Away
14-9-1
25-23
 O/U
24-22
13-12
 O/U Home
13-9
12-11
 O/U Away
11-13

Trends

  • Denver are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games.
  • Denver are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games against Golden State.
  • Denver are 9-0 SU in their last 9 games against Golden State.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road.
  • Denver are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State.
  • Denver are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
  • Denver are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games played in April.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 7 games.
  • Golden State are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Golden State's last 7 games against Denver.
  • Golden State are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home.
  • Golden State are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Denver.
  • Golden State are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
  • Golden State are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games against an opponent in the Northwest Division division.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Golden State's last 17 games played on a Friday.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing as the underdog.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Aaron GordonPFDay-to-Day, Illness/right calf injury management
Nikola JokicCDay-to-Day, Left ankle impingement
Jamal MurrayPGDay-to-Day, Right hamstring tightness
Michael Porter Jr.SFDay-to-Day, Personal reasons
Christian BraunSGDay-to-Day, Left foot strain
Peyton WatsonSFDay-to-Day, Right knee inflammation
Name Position Inj Desc
Stephen CurryPGDay-to-Day, Tailbone
Jimmy ButlerSGDay-to-Day, Forearm strain
Gary Payton IISGDay-to-Day, Thumb

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Apr 2, 2025SAN106-113L-2.5227.50L/U39.5868.0013
Apr 1, 2025MIN139-140L-1.5229.50L/O54.6575.0012
Mar 28, 2025UTA129-93W-18.5239W/U57.8378.5711
Mar 26, 2025MIL127-117W-11.5226.50L/O54.4459.0916
Mar 24, 2025CHI119-129L-2.5238.50L/O47.4266.6711
Mar 23, 2025HOU116-111W+7.5224.50W/O50.5769.2310
Mar 21, 2025POR109-128L-2227.50L/O50.0085.719
Mar 19, 2025LAL108-120L+5.5224L/O47.1361.9013
Mar 17, 2025GS114-105W+11.5233W/U46.7477.7814
Mar 15, 2025WAS123-126L-12242L/O50.5388.2412
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Apr 3, 2025LAL123-116W+1230.50W/O47.5683.8719
Apr 1, 2025MEM134-125W-4239W/O42.42100.0022
Mar 30, 2025SAN148-106W-11.5231.50W/O57.7378.9521
Mar 28, 2025NOP111-95W-16226.50P/U41.3075.8613
Mar 25, 2025MIA86-112L-4.5208.50L/U39.7668.759
Mar 22, 2025ATL115-124L-2.5233L/O46.4380.7716
Mar 20, 2025TOR117-114W-14.5224.50L/O42.2278.5719
Mar 18, 2025MIL104-93W+2225W/U41.5688.4617
Mar 17, 2025DEN105-114L-11.5233L/U48.8155.568
Mar 15, 2025NY97-94W-6.5228.50L/U39.7681.8213
View Game Logs
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