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Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee
Bucks
39 - 29
Golden State
Warriors
39 - 29
March 18, 2025, 10:00 PM EDT
 | Chase Center
Check Out Our Player Prop for This Matchup
Predicted Score
114.1
MIL
121.0
GS
Spread Consensus
Best MIL Spread
-2.5
MIL
-111
60%
Best GS Spread
+2.5
GS
-111
Total Consensus
Best Over
-111
o226.5
0%
Best Under
-111
u226.5
Our Prediction
Golden State will Win, Cover the Spread, and the Total will go Over.

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10:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Milwaukee VS Golden State
Experts 2
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
MIL 114.1 -140
GS 121.0 +120
Spread Pick
-2.5 -110
+2.5 -110
Total Pick
U 225.5 -110
O 225.5 -110
G. Trent Jr. OVER 11.5 PTS
-108

The Golden State Warriors finally suffered their first defeat of the Jimmy Butler era (with him active) on Monday night against a Denver Nuggets team which sat most of their key players. Warriors head coach Steve Kerr is leaning towards resting superstar guard Stephen Curry on the second night of a back to back when the Milwaukee Bucks come to town, and he was the only player on the team with active odds as of early Tuesday morning.

The variety of props leans towards Milwaukee, and the one we'll be taking here is a scoring prop for Gary Trent Jr. who's averaging 13.7 points while converting 41.7 percent of his 3-point attempts over his last three appearances. He's drilled at least three triples in each of those outings, which would get him most of the way to toppling the 11.5 points oddsmakers are projecting here. 

If Golden State throws in the towel and decides to rest even more talent beyond even just Curry, then the game could get away from the home side resulting in the Bucks giving more minutes to their second unit. Trent Jr. is only averaging 24.1 minutes during this string of games, and that's all he's needed to put points on the board anyway.

For more on this player prop and others, be sure to check out Odds Shark's expert picks by clicking here.

Expert Pick: Chris Walder
Bucks -3.5
-110
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Championship 2025

Odds Settings
Wager Type
Sides/Totals
Futures
Segment
Full Game
1st Half
2nd Half
1st Quarter
2nd Quarter
3rd Quarter
4th Quarter
Odds Type
American
Decimal
Fractional

Tuesday, March 18 Tue Mar 18

Matchup
Opening Odds
OS Current
Line History Matchup
10:00pm EDT
Milwaukee MIL
VS /
Golden State GS
+2.5
-111
- -
MIL
+114
O 233.5
-111
- -
-2.5
-111
- -
GS
-135
U 233.5
-111
- -
OS Current
-2.5
-108
- -
MIL
-135
O 225.5
-107
- -
OS Current
+3.5
-120
- -
GS
+120
U 226.5
-111
- -

Player Props

Player Props

Filter By Position
  • Brook Lopez
    (MIL) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    11.75
  • Damian Lillard
    (MIL) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    20.08
  • Giannis Antetokounmpo
    (MIL) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    25.56
  • Pat Connaughton
    (MIL) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.26
  • Bobby Portis
    (MIL) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.71
  • Taurean Prince
    (MIL) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    8.33
  • Kyle Kuzma
    (MIL) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    13.24
  • Gary Trent Jr.
    (MIL) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    11.07
  • Kevin Porter Jr.
    (MIL) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    9.58
  • Ryan Rollins
    (MIL) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    2.4
  • AJ Green
    (MIL) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    5.59
  • Stanley Umude
    (MIL) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.23
  • Jamaree Bouyea
    (MIL) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.23
  • Andre Jackson Jr.
    (MIL) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.48
  • Chris Livingston
    (MIL) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.68
  • Pete Nance
    (MIL) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.23
  • Tyler Smith
    (MIL) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.68
  • Jimmy Butler
    (GS) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    20.81
  • Draymond Green
    (GS) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    15.25
  • Kevon Looney
    (GS) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    6.05
  • Buddy Hield
    (GS) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    11.25
  • Gary Payton II
    (GS) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    12.34
  • Kevin Knox
    (GS) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    2.06
  • Moses Moody
    (GS) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    15.12
  • Jonathan Kuminga
    (GS) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    12.34
  • Braxton Key
    (GS) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.24
  • Gui Santos
    (GS) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    6.66
  • Pat Spencer
    (GS) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.21
  • Trayce Jackson-Davis
    (GS) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.57
  • Brandin Podziemski
    (GS) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    7.26
  • Quinten Post
    (GS) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    8.47
  • Jackson Rowe
    (GS) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.36
  • Yuri Collins
    (GS) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.01
  • Taran Armstrong
    (GS) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.12

  • No Props Available

Edge Finder

Overall

MIL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GS Defense
111.3418Points Scored9110.46
47.459Field Goal %1546.06
37.306Three Point %1635.37
74.6727Free Throw %976.76
43.6919Total Rebounds2545.63

Scoring

MIL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GS Defense
111.3418Points Scored9110.46
29.289First Quarter1528.06
29.2810Second Quarter1227.29
28.4118Third Quarter1528.54
24.3830Fourth Quarter1026.57

Shooting

MIL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GS Defense
47.459Field Goal %1546.06
74.6727Free Throw %976.76
37.306Three Point %1635.37
36.2817Three's Attempts1136.91
13.5312Three's Made1613.06

Rebounds

MIL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GS Defense
8.2830Offensive1611.26
35.412Defensive2834.37
43.6919Total Rebounds2545.63

Other

MIL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank GS Defense
24.8122Assists1525.89
18.3121Fouls617.94
13.1611Turnovers814.63
6.9129Steals128.06

Overall

MIL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GS Offense
113.2213Points Scored21112.77
45.925Field Goal %2445.00
34.394Three Point %1336.60
78.5817Free Throw %2974.00
45.7525Total Rebounds845.57

Scoring

MIL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GS Offense
113.2213Points Scored21112.77
45.925Field Goal %2445.00
34.394Three Point %1336.60
78.5817Free Throw %2974.00
45.7525Total Rebounds845.57
29.7524First Quarter2427.23
29.0917Second Quarter2427.43
28.3411Third Quarter530.97
26.034Fourth Quarter2027.14

Shooting

MIL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GS Offense
113.2213Points Scored21112.77
45.925Field Goal %2445.00
34.394Three Point %1336.60
78.5817Free Throw %2974.00
45.7525Total Rebounds845.57
29.7524First Quarter2427.23
29.0917Second Quarter2427.43
28.3411Third Quarter530.97
26.034Fourth Quarter2027.14
39.2525Three's Attempts342.54
13.5013Three's Made315.57

Rebounds

MIL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GS Offense
113.2213Points Scored21112.77
45.925Field Goal %2445.00
34.394Three Point %1336.60
78.5817Free Throw %2974.00
45.7525Total Rebounds845.57
29.7524First Quarter2427.23
29.0917Second Quarter2427.43
28.3411Third Quarter530.97
26.034Fourth Quarter2027.14
39.2525Three's Attempts342.54
13.5013Three's Made315.57
10.669Offensive612.34
35.0928Defensive1633.23

Other

MIL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank GS Offense
113.2213Points Scored21112.77
45.925Field Goal %2445.00
34.394Three Point %1336.60
78.5817Free Throw %2974.00
45.7525Total Rebounds845.57
29.7524First Quarter2427.23
29.0917Second Quarter2427.43
28.3411Third Quarter530.97
26.034Fourth Quarter2027.14
39.2525Three's Attempts342.54
13.5013Three's Made315.57
10.669Offensive612.34
35.0928Defensive1633.23
25.9110Assists629.03
18.4413Fouls1618.71
11.3429Turnovers1513.26
7.539Steals68.91

Head To Head

MIL
 Stat Type GS
5-5
 Record
5-5
3-7
 ATS
7-3
6-4
 O/U
6-4
116.70
 Points Scored
114.40
57.40
 Half Time Score
54.70
47.79%
 Field Goal Percentage
43.17%
46.60
 Rebounds
48.20
145/378
 3 Point Shots
164/441
7.80
 Steals
8.00
MIL
 Stat Type GS
1-2
 Record
2-1
0-3
 ATS
3-0
2-1
 O/U
2-1
110.00
 Points Scored
122.67
54.33
 Half Time Score
64.00
47.49%
 Field Goal Percentage
49.29%
41.00
 Rebounds
46.33
34/103
 3 Point Shots
47/120
6.33
 Steals
10.33
Feb 10/25 (1 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type GS
Home
Away
111
 Points Scored
125
+7
 ATS
-7
230.5 o
 O/U
230.5 u
51
 Half Time Score
58
50.00%
 Field Goal Percentage
44.10%
37
 Rebounds
48
10/33
 3 Point Shots
13/45
5
 Steals
16
Mar 6/24 (2 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type GS
Away
Home
90
 Points Scored
125
+3
 ATS
-3
230 o
 O/U
230 u
58
 Half Time Score
78
38.20%
 Field Goal Percentage
56.00%
36
 Rebounds
50
11/39
 3 Point Shots
19/39
8
 Steals
10
Jan 13/24 (3 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type GS
Home
Away
129
 Points Scored
118
-13.5
 ATS
+13.5
241 o
 O/U
241 u
54
 Half Time Score
56
54.30%
 Field Goal Percentage
48.00%
50
 Rebounds
41
13/31
 3 Point Shots
15/36
6
 Steals
5
Mar 11/23 (4 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type GS
Away
Home
116
 Points Scored
125
+3.5
 ATS
-3.5
240.5 o
 O/U
240.5 u
49
 Half Time Score
50
43.00%
 Field Goal Percentage
41.10%
48
 Rebounds
65
21/51
 3 Point Shots
23/55
9
 Steals
12
Dec 13/22 (5 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type GS
Home
Away
128
 Points Scored
111
-2.5
 ATS
+2.5
232 o
 O/U
232 u
64
 Half Time Score
52
54.90%
 Field Goal Percentage
40.00%
55
 Rebounds
37
12/29
 3 Point Shots
20/50
8
 Steals
7
Mar 12/22 (6 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type GS
Away
Home
109
 Points Scored
122
-2
 ATS
+2
238 o
 O/U
238 u
58
 Half Time Score
67
41.30%
 Field Goal Percentage
48.40%
39
 Rebounds
55
17/44
 3 Point Shots
18/45
8
 Steals
3
Jan 13/22 (7 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type GS
Home
Away
118
 Points Scored
99
-1
 ATS
+1
224.5 o
 O/U
224.5 u
77
 Half Time Score
38
51.20%
 Field Goal Percentage
34.70%
54
 Rebounds
49
18/41
 3 Point Shots
16/48
10
 Steals
9
Apr 6/21 (8 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type GS
Away
Home
121
 Points Scored
122
-2.5
 ATS
+2.5
236 o
 O/U
236 u
50
 Half Time Score
53
51.20%
 Field Goal Percentage
47.90%
40
 Rebounds
42
14/32
 3 Point Shots
15/40
7
 Steals
6
Dec 25/20 (9 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type GS
Home
Away
138
 Points Scored
99
-10
 ATS
+10
230.5 o
 O/U
230.5 u
66
 Half Time Score
56
54.90%
 Field Goal Percentage
34.30%
60
 Rebounds
43
20/37
 3 Point Shots
10/45
6
 Steals
5
Jan 8/20 (10 of 10)
MIL
 Stat Type GS
Away
Home
107
 Points Scored
98
-13.5
 ATS
+13.5
218 o
 O/U
218 u
47
 Half Time Score
39
40.20%
 Field Goal Percentage
37.90%
47
 Rebounds
52
9/41
 3 Point Shots
15/38
11
 Steals
7

Team Records

MIL
 Record GS
39-29
 All
39-29
24-12
 Home
21-14
15-17
 Away
18-15
32-15
 As Fav
30-14
7-14
 As Dog
9-15
33-34-1
 ATS
35-32-1
19-16-1
 ATS Home
16-18-1
14-18
 ATS Away
19-14
34-34
 O/U
34-34
19-17
 O/U Home
18-17
15-17
 O/U Away
16-17
MIL
 Record GS
6-4
 All
8-2
4-3
 Home
4-1
2-1
 Away
4-1
5-1
 As Fav
7-2
1-3
 As Dog
1-0
7-3
 ATS
4-5-1
4-3
 ATS Home
1-3-1
3-0
 ATS Away
3-2
6-4
 O/U
5-5
4-3
 O/U Home
2-3
2-1
 O/U Away
3-2
MIL
 Record GS
7-7
 All
3-10
4-3
 Home
2-5
3-4
 Away
1-5
6-3
 As Fav
3-4
1-4
 As Dog
0-6
8-5-1
 ATS
3-10
3-3-1
 ATS Home
1-6
5-2
 ATS Away
2-4
8-6
 O/U
8-5
4-3
 O/U Home
5-2
4-3
 O/U Away
3-3
MIL
 Record GS
27-19
 All
17-9
16-8
 Home
8-5
11-11
 Away
9-4
24-10
 As Fav
15-5
3-9
 As Dog
2-4
22-23-1
 ATS
13-12-1
12-11-1
 ATS Home
5-7-1
10-12
 ATS Away
8-5
25-21
 O/U
13-13
14-10
 O/U Home
5-8
11-11
 O/U Away
8-5
MIL
 Record GS
12-10
 All
22-20
8-4
 Home
13-9
4-6
 Away
9-11
8-5
 As Fav
15-9
4-5
 As Dog
7-11
11-11
 ATS
22-20
7-5
 ATS Home
11-11
4-6
 ATS Away
11-9
9-13
 O/U
21-21
5-7
 O/U Home
13-9
4-6
 O/U Away
8-12

Trends

  • Milwaukee are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 9 games.
  • Milwaukee are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games.
  • Milwaukee are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Golden State.
  • Milwaukee are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games against Golden State.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games on the road.
  • Milwaukee are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State.
  • Milwaukee are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games against an opponent in the Pacific Division division.
  • Milwaukee are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games played in March.
  • Golden State are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • Golden State are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games against Milwaukee.
  • Golden State are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games at home.
  • Golden State are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee.
  • Golden State are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
  • Golden State are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games against an opponent in the Central Division division.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games played on a Tuesday.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing as the underdog.

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Jericho SimsCDay-to-Day, Thumb surgery
Name Position Inj Desc
Stephen CurryPGDay-to-Day, Rest

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 16, 2025OKC105-121L+5.5233.50L/U39.7678.7913
Mar 15, 2025IND126-119W-3.5235.50W/O54.4396.1515
Mar 13, 2025LAL126-106W-6226.50W/O47.6781.8217
Mar 11, 2025IND114-115L+1.5237.50W/U51.1973.6814
Mar 9, 2025CLE100-112L+7241.50L/U42.8672.229
Mar 8, 2025ORL109-111L-6.5216.50L/O54.6769.5711
Mar 5, 2025DAL137-107W-12225.50W/O58.4389.4716
Mar 4, 2025ATL127-121W-5244W/O51.0478.2611
Mar 1, 2025DAL132-117W-2.5229.50W/O50.5788.5713
Feb 27, 2025DEN121-112W+3.5241.50W/U46.6782.1414
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 17, 2025DEN105-114L-11.5233L/U48.8155.568
Mar 15, 2025NY97-94W-6.5228.50L/U39.7681.8213
Mar 13, 2025SAC130-104W-7.5233.50W/O57.6975.0022
Mar 10, 2025POR130-120W-12237L/O52.9490.4821
Mar 8, 2025DET115-110W-5236.50P/U41.6780.4912
Mar 6, 2025BKN121-119W-11223.50L/O48.7890.6212
Mar 4, 2025NY114-102W+1226.50W/U48.8678.9513
Mar 3, 2025CHR119-101W-12.5229.50W/U42.1187.5018
Mar 1, 2025PHI119-126L-6.5228.50L/O46.0078.9512
Feb 27, 2025ORL121-115W-4.5212.50W/O45.5788.2419
View Game Logs

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