Two of the top teams in the Eastern Conference will take the court when the Philadelphia 76ers host the team with the best record in the NBA in the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks have been excellent on the road this season at 26-14 SU and 23-15-2 ATS and will face a Sixers team that is coming off a tough road loss to the Hawks last night.
The Bucks opened as 2.5-point favorites (since moved to -4.5) with a total of 230.5.
STANDOUT STATS
- The Bucks lead the NBA in scoring since the all-star break while ranking 10th in both field-goal and three-point percentage. However, they’re 6-5 SU in road games since the break and are giving up 112.5 points per game, mainly because they allow teams to shoot over 36 shots from behind the arc, which ranks 27th in the NBA.
- The Sixers have gone 7-2 SU in nine home games since the all-star break and have won their last six at Wells Fargo Arena by an average of 9.5 points.
- The Bucks have been a great team to bank on for “revenge” as they’re 11-1 SU and 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games when they lost in the previous matchup.
- The Sixers are playing on the second game of a back-to-back after dropping last night’s game to Atlanta and have not been great in that spot. They’re 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS while giving up an average of 119.2 points per game in that spot, which is seven points higher than their season average (112.1).
- The OVER has hit in seven of the Bucks’ last 10 games on the road (avg. combined score: 239.8) while the OVER has also hit in eight of the Sixers’ last 10 games (avg. combined score: 236.6).
My Best Bet for Bucks vs Sixers
Bucks -4.5
I locked this in at -2.5 earlier but would still recommend it at -4.5. I haven’t had as many opportunities to get on the Bucks in a spot I felt comfortable with because their spreads are usually so inflated that all the value is nearly gone. This time, I’m all about the Bucks because as long as Giannis Antetokounmpo is playing, they can beat almost any team at any time.
The Bucks are beating teams handily on the road while the Sixers are having difficulty stopping anyone. I know Joel Embiid will likely play in this game but I still don’t think it will be enough. Any time you can get the Bucks at a spread less than 4, you almost have to take it.
