With both the Denver Nuggets and Sacramento Kings having won consecutive games, something has to give on Monday night when they take the hardwood at the Golden 1 Center, and the narrow one-point spread at FanDuel Sportsbook in favor of the home team shows how tight oddsmakers anticipate this matchup being.
Here's a spread, moneyline, total, and player prop pick for this Western Conference meeting on December 16, 2024.
Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Odds
Preview: Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings, 10 p.m. ET
| Team | Spread | Money | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Nuggets | +1 (-110) | -102 | O 238 (-108) |
| Sacramento Kings | -1 (-110) | -116 | U 238 (-112) |
Odds as of December 16, 2024 at FanDuel
Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings Expert Picks
Sacramento Kings ATS -1 (-110), ML (-116)
The one-point spread has this game being more or less a coin flip, with the Nuggets having prevailed in back-to-back outings while Sacramento has won three in a row and four of its last five.
In this particular matchup, it was the Kings who came out on the winning end three out of four times in 2023-24, including three-straight times at home dating back to 2022. They've also won SU and successfully covered the spread in consecutive home games after failing to do so four-straight times from Nov. 18 through Dec. 1.
Neither team is particularly adept at covering at large, both ranking in the bottom of the league in ATS records (Nuggets are 9-13-1, Kings are 10-15-1), so there's very little to lean on there. Frankly, this game could come down to whoever makes fewer mistakes and perhaps even has the final possession, and should that ring true, Sacramento has more playmakers and clutch shotmakers to pull away on a tight scoreboard.
OVER 238 Total Points (-108)
The total being 238 points is exactly what Sacramento registered in a 141-97 win over the New Orleans Pelicans on Dec. 8, and it's also a number the team has successfully matched or toppled in three of its last four home games.
Denver ranks fifth across the Association in points per road game at 122.7 in its last three attempts, so Monday's action should be a high-scoring affair, especially with both sides having had the weekend off of play.
Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings Player Prop
DeMar DeRozan UNDER 3.5 Rebounds (+100)
DeMar DeRozan has failed to exceed 3.5 rebounds in four of his last five games, averaging exactly three during that stretch.
He's averaging just 3.3 during his last six appearances, as well, which happens to coincide with Malik Monk entering the starting lineup. It's worth the risk at plus money to suggest DeRozan will fall UNDER yet again considering his recent numbers.
Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings Betting Trends
- De'Aaron Fox has failed to exceed 2.5 3-pointers in four of his last five games (1.6 3-pointers/game average).
- Malik Monk has failed to exceed 17.5 points in 10 of his last 11 games at home (13.5 points/game average).
- Michael Porter Jr. has failed to exceed 2.5 3-pointers in four of his last five games on the road (1.4 3-pointers/game average).
*all betting trends courtesy of Outlier
