San Antonio has been away from home since February 4 in Sacramento on a trip that has taken the Spurs from California to Oregon to Utah to Tennessee to Canada and now to New York. I don’t care who you are, even if the travel and hotels are all first-class, that kind of grind will wear you down. In fact, one could argue that the Spurs began to fade before even leaving home.
Speaking of fade, if you’ve faded the Spurs in their last 10-game stretch, you would be making a healthy profit as they are 1-9 ATS in their last 10, including losing straight up as a 9-point road favorite at MSG last night. With that, they’re 2-point road dogs tonight at Barclays with the total Sportsbook at 231.
Standout Stats
- The Spurs have allowed 122.8 points per game over their last 10 games. That gives them the No. 29 scoring defense in the league during that stretch with the team going 4-6 SU.
- Opponents are shooting 51.3 percent from the floor against the Spurs in their last 10 games. That gives them the No. 30 shooting defense in the NBA during that span. More shots are going in than aren’t going in. Where’s the defense?!
- The Brooklyn Nets are shooting 43.5 percent in their last 10 games – 27th in the NBA during that time. However, their 114.9 points per game is 14th.
- Spurs F/C LaMarcus Aldridge is scoring 17.9 points per game on 45.6 percent shooting in February. He is a career 49 percent shooter and is 50.8 percent this season. Brooklyn is No. 28 in opponent points in the paint (52.0) this season. The Spurs score 38.6 percent of their points in the paint – No. 28 in the league.
- The total has gone OVER in the Spurs’ last 10 games on the road with an average combined score of 236.8. San Antonio is averaging 114.2 points per game in these games, going 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS.
- The total has gone OVER in nine of the Spurs’ last 10 games and in seven of the Nets’ last 10 games.
- Brooklyn is 5-8 SU and 6-7 ATS at home vs teams from the Western Conference.
My Pick for Spurs vs Nets
Nets -2 / OVER 231
Brooklyn is 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in its last 10 games on home court and is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games as a home favorite of 3 or less. Add in that fading the Spurs has been a profitable bet and that San Antonio had 130 dropped on them last night, and this looks like a good spot for Brooklyn.
If you’re not sold on a side, taking OVER 231 points looks like a good play as well. As we’ve already seen, San Antonio is allowing an average of 122.8 points against over its last 10 games while still scoring 113.6 per game.
Meanwhile, Brooklyn has played to at least 231 points in five of its last six outings.
