The late game on Wednesday night features the Golden State Warriors heading to the Toyota Center to take on the Houston Rockets in 2024 NBA Cup quarterfinal action, with oddsmakers at FanDuel Sportsbook listing the home team as the narrow two-point betting favorites (-110).
Here's a spread, moneyline, total, and player prop expert pick for this Western Conference showdown on December 11, 2024, with the winner advancing to the semifinals at T-Mobile Arena on Saturday in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Betting Odds
Preview: Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets, 9:30 p.m. ET
| Team | Spread | Money | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | +2 (-110) | +108 | O 221.5 (-110) |
| Houston Rockets | -2 (-110) | -126 | U 221.5 (-110) |
Odds as of December 11, 2024 at FanDuel
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Expert Picks
Golden State Warriors ATS +2 (-110), ML (+108)
The visitors possess the psychological edge in this matchup, having defeated Houston twice already this season both on the road in overtime and just recently at the Chase Center by six points on Dec. 5. In fact, the Warriors have defeated the Rockets in 15-straight games during the regular season dating back to March 17, 2021.
That last fact alone is enough to feel like Golden State has more than a fighting chance here, despite being listed as the underdogs. Perhaps that's because the Warriors have just two wins across their last eight games SU, with three-straight losses on the road and four in their last five tries. Houston, meanwhile, is a brilliant 9-3 SU and ATS at home.
It's difficult to predict when such a gargantuan streak will reach its conclusion, as it's been forever and a half since we've seen the Rockets beat the Warriors. Houston is well-equipped to do so now, what with the Association's second-ranked defense (105.4 points allowed per 100 possessions) which actually gets better at home (102.9 points allowed per 100 possessions). Golden State owns the eighth-best offense on the road, though, scoring 114.8 points per 100 possessions.
The spread is tight for a reason, as three of the last four games between the Warriors and Rockets have been separated by six or less points. Golden State will get the edge here on the spread and moneyline with it being so close, because 15 wins in a row against a single team can't be glossed over.
OVER 221.5 Points (-110)
The OVER has hit in 15 of the Rockets' last 22 games at home, and while neither team is particularly strong in this market, when these sides compete against each other, they've reached an OVER in three of their last four meetings.
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Player Prop
Alperen Sengun UNDER 36.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-104)
Matchups make fights, and when facing the Warriors, Sengun has played less than 30 minutes in each game against them this season. There have been only nine instances in which he's totalled 30 minutes or less versus an opponent, and two have come against Golden State.
Sengun is also dealing with knee soreness, and is listed as questionable to suit up as of early Wednesday morning. With the assumption that he'll attempt to play hurt, on top of the fact that he's hit the UNDER on 36.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists in those two aforementioned games and in each of his last two outings overall as well, let's project Sengun's numbers to be held in check to a degree once again.
Golden State Warriors vs. Houston Rockets Betting Trends
- Jabari Smith Jr. has exceeded 11.5 points in four of his last five games at home (17 points/game average).
- Stephen Curry has failed to exceed 18 1H points + rebounds + assists in 12 of his last 15 games on the road (14.3 1H points + rebounds + assists/game average).
- Buddy Hield has failed to exceed 16.5 points + rebounds in six of his last seven games on the road (11.3 points + rebounds/game average).
*all betting trends courtesy of Outlier
