The Eagles are football's hottest team, winning seven straight games heading into Week 13.
Despite the heater, the books still doubt Philly, setting them as 2.5-point underdogs (-102 at FanDuel) against the Ravens. The Eagles are +130 on the moneyline but with Jalen Hurts and Philly's offense locked in I think they're a real live underdog this week.
One guy I'm not backing this week is Saquon Barkley, as he faces a Ravens defense that's allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game in the NFL.
Eagles vs Ravens Odds Week 13
Philadelphia Eagles vs Baltimore Ravens, Dec. 1, 4:25 pm ET
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles | +2.5 (-102) | +130 | O 50.5 (-110) |
| Ravens | -2.5 (-120) | -154 | U 50.5 (-110) |
As of November 26th at FanDuel
Eagles vs Ravens Picks Week 13
Eagles ML (+130)
From a general team perspective, there are three key categories I care about when I look beyond the standings: expected wins, point differential, and Net EPA. The Eagles rank ahead of the Ravens in all three. The Eagles also enter this game incredibly hot, winning seven straight games and every win has come by at least four points.
While Saquon Barkley has been massive for Philly lately, Jalen Hurts' efficiency in the passing game is also a key to this win streak. In the last seven games, Hurts has a 70% completion rate and nine passing TDs to just one interception. Facing a Ravens team that's allowed the most passing yards in football, Hurts will be a huge factor in Week 13. The Eagles are undefeated when Hurts passes for more than 200 yards this year (7-0).
Add in the fact that the Eagles have an extra day of rest compared to the Ravens, who played on Monday night, and this one's a Philly bet, for sure.
Now, there is a reason to discount the rest differential, if you want. The Ravens are 10-5-1 against the spread with a rest disadvantage in the last five years. The Eagles are 6-7-1 ATS with a rest advantage. But, with the passing edge and overall statistical advantage, I'll take the Eagles as underdogs in this one.
Eagles vs Ravens Prop Pick
Saquon Barkley U92.5 Rushing Yards
This might be my boldest prop bet of the season. Barkley is averaging 127 rushing yards a game. He's hit his rushing OVER in eight of 10 contests. Last week he had 255 rushing yards.
So, why in the world am I betting his UNDER this week? The Baltimore Ravens' rushing defense, that's why.
The Ravens are the best defense in football against opposing running backs, allowing RBs to rush for just 60.5 rushing yards. Baltimore hasn't let a single running back tally more than 65 yards against them this season, so this 92.5-yard line for Barkley is astronomical.
I don't think the Ravens are going to completely shut down Saquon, as they actually allow the third-most receiving yards to opposing RBs this year. I just expect Barkley's production won't come in the rushing game. Philly can take advantage of Baltimore's weak passing defense and hold back on Barkley's rushing attempts to win this one, allowing us to both bet on the Eagles and against Barkley's rushing.
Eagles vs Ravens Betting Trends
- The Eagles are 5-1 against the spread in their last six road games
- The Eagles are 4-1 in their last five games against bottom-10 defenses
- The Eagles have won seven straight games
- The total has gone OVER in seven of the Ravens' last eight games
These betting trends are courtesy of Outlier's NFL Insights:
