OPOY Odds

NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Odds: Can Saquon Steal OPOY?

The 2024-25 NFL Offensive Player of the Year odds highlight the best of the league’s skill-position players.

While the league’s MVP Award is usually handed to the top quarterback, this is a shot for the receivers, running backs, and maybe even tight ends to stamp their place in the history books.

Let’s jump into the latest 2024-25 Offensive Player of the Year odds to see which player will take the trophy this season:

NFL Offensive Player Of The Year Odds For 2024-25
PlayerOdds
Derrick Henry-150
Saquon Barkley+250
Justin Jefferson+750
Lamar Jackson+2900
Josh Allen+3500
CeeDee Lamb+3500

Odds from BetMGM, as of Nov 5th, 2024

The 2023 Offensive Player of the Year race was between Christian McCaffrey and Tyreek Hill, with CMC coming out on top. This year, it's two new playmakers on top of the odds, with Derrick Henry and Saquon Barkley leading.

OPOY Pick: Saquon Barkley

When Saquon Barkley is at his best, he's arguably the most dynamic player in football. Barkley has rushed for over 1,000 yards three times in his career and added over 40 receptions five times, too. He's got the same all-facets upside that Christian McCaffrey flashed last year.

Barkley looks healthy and in prime form this year. The Eagles' new RB is putting up monster numbers and will remain a key part of this great Philly offense, giving Barkley a real shot at this OPOY award.

OPOY Value Pick: Justin Jefferson

I don't care how good you think Sam Darnold has become, JJ deserves a lot of credit for the Minnesota offensive success this year. Despite going from Kirk Cousins to Darnold, Jefferson hasn't missed a beat. The Vikings are averaging nearly 100 yards per game with five touchdowns so far this season.

He may not post 2,000 rec yards, but I think a great season from Jefferson in the context of this Minnesota offense deserves some real recognition.

Last 10 Offensive Player of the Year Winners 

Last 10 NFL Offensive Players of the Year
YearPlayerTeamPosition
2023Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ersRB
2022Justin JeffersonMinnesota VikingsWR
2021Cooper KuppLos Angeles RamsWR
2020Derrick HenryTennessee TitansRB
2019Michael ThomasNew Orleans SaintsWR
2018Patrick MahomesKansas City ChiefsQB
2017Todd GurleyLos Angeles RamsRB
2016Matt RyanAtlanta FalconsQB
2015Cam NewtonCarolina PanthersQB
2014DeMarco MurrayDallas CowboysRB

These players are prime examples of what makes an OPOY candidate. Often, this award is given to the non-QB offensive player as the league's MVP usually goes to that top quarterback.

Who Has Won The Most Offensive Player of the Year awards?

Multiple OPOY Award Winners
PlayerTeamWinsPositionYears
Earl CampbellHouston Oilers*3RB1978-1980
Marshall FaulkSt Louis Rams*3RB1999-2001
Jerry RiceSan Francisco 49ers2WR1987, 1993
Barry SandersDetroit Lions2RB1994, 1997
Terrell DavisDenver Broncos2RB1996, 1998
Tom BradyNew England Patriots2QB2007, 2010
Drew BreesNew Orleans Saints2QB2008, 2011
Peyton ManningIndianapolis Colts/Denver Broncos2QB

2004, 2013

*Franchises that have since relocated

Esteemed company, to say the least, these players are the only OPOYs to have been awarded twice or more. Faulk and Davis are the only members of this list who helped their team bring home a Super Bowl in the same year as their award, 2000 and 1998, respectively.

NFL Teams With the Most OPOY Winners

Franchises with most OPOY Award Winners
FranchiseWinnersLast Winner
Tennessee Titans6Derrick Henry (2020)
Los Angeles Rams6Cooper Kupp (2021)
San Francisco 49ers5Jerry Rice (1993)
New Orleans Saints3Michael Thomas (2019)
Minnesota Vikings3Adrian Peterson (2012)
Denver Broncos3Peyton Manning (2013)

Teams That Have Never Had An OPOY

Nine NFL teams have never had an OPOY award winner:

Offensive Player of the Year Betting Trends

  • This award has a significant overlap with MVP; 28 of the 50 historical OPOYs have also been named MVP.
  • There have been four wide receivers to win the award since 1972; three of these winners have come from the previous five seasons.
  • OPOYs typically belong to the team that finishes first overall in their division. The past 10 winners were all divisional champions.
  • Record-breaking seasons are an important catalyst for OPOY winners. O.J. Simpson, Drew Brees, Dan Marino, and Peyton Manning all set various records during their years and won the award.
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