No matter how good they are, every NFL team eventually loses at least one game. That's why we're diving into how teams fare after they lose. As you'll see from the data, many NFL squads are better at bouncing back the next week than others.
What defines the next tier of teams is how they recover after a loss. Here's a breakdown of the best bounce-back NFL teams straight up and on the spread over the past five seasons— and one sneaky little OVER betting trend that's been surprisingly profitable after losses:
Top Straight Up Squads After A Loss
| Team | Record After Loss | SU Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Steelers | 23-16 | +$2815.24 |
| Cardinals | 24-32 | +$1701.24 |
| Titans | 20-28 | +$1046 |
| 49ers | 17-21 | +$906.91 |
Mike Tomlin's record as the head coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers is truly extraordinary. Pittsburgh has yet to finish below .500 in his 17 years in charge. The Steelers haven't been particularly talented in the last few seasons, but it's Tomlin's coaching that takes them to the playoffs.
Pittsburgh's strong coaching and ability to rebound has allowed Tomlin to lead pretty mediocre teams to winning records every single year. The books count Tomlin's men out, but they keep winning, leading to over 28 units of SU profit following losses since 2019!
Another surprising post-loss juggernaut in recent seasons is the Titans. Mike Vrabel lost his job, but over the past five seasons, he had the the Titans to a 18-25 record after a loss, and made $100 bettors $861 in profit. Brian Callahan has continued the trend, leading to over 10 units of profits for bettors over the last five years on betting the Titans SU after a loss.
Top Against The Spread Squads After A Loss
| Team | ATS Record After Loss | ATS Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Broncos | 35-19-1 | +1309.35 |
| Falcons | 36-21 | +$1181.04 |
| Cardinals | 34-21-1 | +1006.42 |
| Seahawks | 26-14-1 | +$943.64 |
| Eagles | 25-14 | +$883.30 |
Sean Payton and the Denver Broncos are incredibly the top team in the NFL ATS after a loss over the past five seasons. Payton has kept the pace this season, but most of these wins have come under the regimes of Vic Fangio and Nate Hackett.
Kyler Murray's Arizona Cardinals remain one of the NFL's greatest bounce back teams, gifting bettors over 10 units of profit ATS after a loss. With their quarterback healthy and playing in the hardnosed NFC West, the Cardinals figure to lose more than a few games this season, but don't bet against them winning the next one. Or at least covering the spread.
Jump On A Vikings OVER After A Loss
The Minnesota Vikings are an insane 25-16 on the OVER after a loss in the past five seasons. If you love betting on NFL totals, look no further than this profitable trend.
$100 bettors who bet Vikings' OVERS after a loss since 2019 are up $672.75 in profit.
So, sit back and wait for the next Minnesota L and then jump on the points the following week.
