No matter how good they are, every NFL team eventually loses at least one game. That's why we're diving into how teams fare after they lose. As you'll see from the data, many NFL squads are better at bouncing back the next week than others.
What defines the next tier of teams is how they recover after a loss. Here's a breakdown of the best bounce-back NFL teams straight up and on the spread over the past five seasons— and one sneaky little OVER betting trend that's been surprisingly profitable after losses:
Top Straight Up Squads After A Loss
| Team | Record After Loss | SU Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Steelers | 22-16 | +$2695.24 |
| Cardinals | 23-30 | +$1840.24 |
| 49ers | 16-19 | +$1020.91 |
| Titans | 19-25 | +$996 |
| Raiders | 19-28 | +$875.24 |
Mike Tomlin's record as the head coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers is truly extraordinary. Pittsburgh has yet to finish below .500 in his 17 years in charge. The Steelers haven't been particularly talented in the last few seasons, but it's Tomlin's coaching that takes them to the playoffs.
Pittsburgh's strong coaching and ability to rebound has allowed Tomlin to lead pretty mediocre teams to winning records every single year. The books count Tomlin's men out, but they keep winning, leading to nearly 27 units of SU profit following losses since 2019. Be sure to keep this in mind as you bet on 2024 win totals.
Another surprising post-loss juggernaut in recent seasons is the Titans. Mike Vrabel lost his job, but over the past five seasons, he had the the Titans to a 18-25 record after a loss, and made $100 bettors $861 in profit. It will be interesting to see if this trend continues under new head coach Brian Callahan, as the Titans are sure to be underdogs in most contests this season.
Top Against The Spread Squads After A Loss
| Team | ATS Record After Loss | ATS Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Falcons | 35-18 | +$1391.04 |
| Broncos | 34-18-1 | +1319.35 |
| Cardinals | 33-19-1 | +1116.42 |
| Seahawks | 25-13-1 | +$953.64 |
| Eagles | 25-14 | +$883.30 |
Raheem Morris and the Atlanta Falcons have been the most profitable team against the spread after a loss over the past five seasons. Much of that is thanks to Arthur Smith and company.
Kyler Murray's Arizona Cardinals remain one of the NFL's greatest bounce back teams, gifting bettors nearly 10 units of profit ATS after a loss. With their quarterback healthy and playing in the hardnosed NFC West, the Cardinals figure to lose more than a few games this season, but don't bet against them winning the next one. Or at least covering the spread.
Jump On A Vikings OVER After A Loss
The Minnesota Vikings are an insane 25-15 on the OVER after a loss in the past five seasons. If you love betting on NFL totals, look no further than this profitable trend.
$100 bettors who bet Vikings' OVERS after a loss since 2019 are up $772.75 in profit.
The Vikings OVER after a loss is actually the most profitable bounce-back trend in the league over the last five years - even better than riding the Ravens or Steelers. So, sit back and wait for the next Minnesota L and then jump on the points the following week.
