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NFL Team Defensive Report: Fade Running Backs Against the Lions

Yards and TDs against WRs

teamYards/GameTDs/Game
Arizona150.10.8
Atlanta152.41.4
Baltimore189.51.5
Buffalo1310.7
Carolina140.30.9
Chicago132.50.6
Cincinnati155.70.9
Cleveland156.41.2
Dallas147.30.9
Denver125.60.5
Detroit188.70.6
Green Bay1350.9
Indianapolis154.60.8
Jacksonville183.51.2
LA Rams148.41.3
Kansas City121.51.1
Miami126.50.5
Minnesota184.41.1
New England158.61
New Orleans178.10.7
NY Jets122.60.6
Las Vegas119.20.8
Philadelphia116.50.8
Pittsburgh147.90.5
LA Chargers142.91.1
Seattle143.51.1
San Francisco138.10.7
Tampa Bay163.81.1
Tennessee1170.7
Houston152.81.5
NY Giants137.21
Washington138.61.1

Best Bet: WRs vs Lions

Brother, the Lions may have a dominant offense, but boy does their secondary stink. While Detroit has a few good safeties, quality cornerbacks have been absent in MoTown for a long time, hence the Lions' ugly 199.1 yards per game yielded to wide receivers, tied for the worst mark in the league. With Detroit's propensity for leaning on offense to win, the team finds itself in many shootouts, where deep plays are quite common. If you're looking to bet a receiving yards OVER prop, look to see who Detroit plays. 

Best Bet: WRs vs Vikings

Minnesota's secondary has struggled this season and is giving up the second most yards per game (178).

Brian Flores' blitz packages are great at getting pressure on opposing quarterbacks but it can leave their secondary exposed when the pressure doesn't get home. 

Best Fade: WRs vs Broncos
Patrick Surtain has established his own little version of Revis Island these days, as the Broncos defensive unit has stifled the pass attack. While Denver isn't the finest in terms of total yards allowed, the Broncos have yielded just 0.6 touchdowns per game to wideouts, the best mark in the NFL. Thanks to a less-than-stellar offense, Denver isn't a perfect unit, and the defense does the heavy lifting, but it's a bad idea to bet WR props against the Broncos secondary.

Best Fade: WRs vs Jets

Sauce Gardner and company have been great at shutting down opposing wide receivers this season. The Jets are only allowing 111 yards and 0.6 opposing touchdowns per game to opposing receivers.

Yards and TDs against RBs

teamRushYards/GameTDs/Game
Arizona136.60.9
Atlanta120.40.5
Baltimore96.20.5
Buffalo134.10.8
Carolina136.91.3
Chicago126.70.8
Cincinnati96.10.9
Cleveland95.40.6
Dallas133.81.3
Denver114.90.6
Detroit86.10.7
Green Bay131.20.9
Indianapolis119.10.7
Jacksonville141.11.4
LA Rams121.60.5
Kansas City61.10.5
Miami107.61.2
Minnesota89.60.5
New England119.40.8
New Orleans116.21.2
NY Jets107.80.5
Las Vegas120.70.9
Philadelphia114.70.3
Pittsburgh102.60.7
LA Chargers106.90.1
Seattle122.80.6
San Francisco104.61.1
Tampa Bay128.60.9
Tennessee87.31
Houston87.50.5
NY Giants1450.6
Washington103.10.5

Best Bet: RBs vs Giants

The Giants are once again the doormat of the NFC East, and you can blame a horrendous rushing defense for why New York is out of playoff contention. The Giants yield 147.2 rushing yards per game, the worst mark in the NFL, and there's no indication things are getting better either. Hammering opposing running back prop OVERs and anytime touchdown scorers against the G-Men is a good idea for the rest of the season.

Best Bet: RBs vs Cardinals

Heading into Week 11, the Cardinals are allowing 136.6 rush yards per game and 0.9 rushing TD/game to opposing running backs. Jonathan Gannon’s defense has given up big games to running backs like De’Von Achane (97 yards), Raheem Mostert (two touchdowns), and Emanuel Wilson (7.7 YPC) lately.

Consider hammering opposing running back prop OVERs and anytime touchdown scorers against Jonathan Gannon's defense until they can sort this out. 

Best Fade: RBs vs Lions

Detroit's mammoth defensive line makes it one of the best units against the run in the NFL. Alim McNeill and company eat up opposing rushers for breakfast allowing just 92 rushing yards per game to backs. On top of that, promising linebacker Jack Campbell now starts behind this huge defensive line. The addition of D.J. Reader in free agency should only help their cause. Fade running backs against the Lions.

Best Fade: RBs vs Chiefs

Steve Spagnolo's defense hasn't been kind to opposing running backs this season. Backs are averaging rush 62.9 YPG and only 0.3 touchdowns per game. Those numbers rank first and second (tied) respectively in the NFL.

Tampa Bay's Bucky Irving averaged only 3.4 YPC in Week 9 vs. Kansas City and the week prior Alexander Mattison had just 15 yards on 14 carries (yikes). 

Yards and TDs against TEs

teamYards/GameTDs/Game
Arizona44.60.1
Atlanta490.3
Baltimore66.90.2
Buffalo44.60.3
Carolina60.80.7
Chicago51.90.1
Cincinnati62.20.6
Cleveland48.10.2
Dallas42.60.5
Denver43.10.3
Detroit34.90.1
Green Bay550.3
Indianapolis56.50.5
Jacksonville57.80.5
LA Rams62.30.4
Kansas City74.30.3
Miami51.70.2
Minnesota44.90.2
New England45.30.4
New Orleans600.1
NY Jets42.90.1
Las Vegas67.40.7
Philadelphia39.60.1
Pittsburgh45.80.3
LA Chargers49.10
Seattle50.60.3
San Francisco35.60.2
Tampa Bay68.40.5
Tennessee38.80.2
Houston32.40.4
NY Giants33.20.1
Washington39.50.5

Best Bet: TE vs Chiefs

The Chiefs have struggled immensely against opposing tight ends this season, allowing 77.6 receiving yards per game to the position. In an era where quality tight-end play is hard to find, this trend represents a great opportunity to make some money as a prop bettor. Jump on TE player props against Steve Spagnuolo's defense -- it's worked out great so far this year. 

Best Bet: TE vs Panthers

While the Panthers rank seventh-worst in yards allowed to tight ends per game (59), their touchdowns allowed that caught my eye.

Carolina is allowing 0.7 TDs per game to tight ends, and the next worst defense is allowing 0.6 TD per game. 

Best Fade: TEs vs Texans

Demeco Ryan has his Houston Texans defense choking out opposing tight ends, holding them to just 24.7 yards per game thus far. I don't know how they get it done, but Houston has maintained that low output since Week 3 of the season. Don't expect a massive outing for any tight ends against the Texans. 

Best Fade: TEs vs Lions

Detroit is only giving up 34.7 yards and .1 TD per game to opposing tight ends. Some of that may be because the Lions are so vulnerable to wide receivers, but either way, it's causing tight ends to have disappointing performances vs Detroit.

Team Defensive Report Breakdown

Want to know more about which NFL team defenses struggle against certain positions? We'e got you covered with our NFL Team Defensive Report. Football is all about the matchups, as some teams excel at shutting down tight ends, while others struggle against a strong running game.

Identifying the value in these matchups is crucial when betting player props and for all your NFL picks. In Odds Shark's NFL Team Defensive Report, we analyze how wide receivers, running backs, and tight ends have performed against each NFL defense.

 

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