Despite a slow start, Caleb Williams is back near the top of the NFL's Offensive Rookie of the year odds race. Williams was passed by Jayden Daniels early in the season, but the 2024 first-overall pick has begin to find his form.
Here's a breakdown of all the rookie odds in this NFL offensive rookie class:
2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | -140 |
| Caleb Williams | +110 |
| Malik Nabers | +1600 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | +2500 |
| Drake Maye | +3300 |
| Brock Bowers | +4000 |
| Bo Nix | +4000 |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | +5000 |
Jayden Daniels has been the clear best QB so far in this rookie class, which pushed him to the top of OROY odds. But, with Daniels losing to the Ravens and picking up an injury against the Panthers in Week 7, things have gotten close at the top of the odds.
I still think Daniels deserves to be the leader, with the ability to add value in the rushing game all he has to do is be a decent passer to succeed at QB. He's certainly doing that, blazing an easy path to OROY glory.
But, let's find some other value down the OROY odds board:
Is Caleb Williams An OROY Value Pick?
Caleb Williams had an ugly first few weeks in the NFL that saw him fall way down the Offensive Rookie of the Year odds. But, with seven touchdowns to one interceptions in his last three weeks (all Bears wins), he's back in contention. My one concern is that Williams hasn't really faced a formidable opponent during this strong run. All four of Chicago's wins this season have come against teams that are 1-4 or 1-5. If Caleb proves himself against good teams, though, he's got a shot at winning this award.
OROY Value Pick: Brock Bowers
I don't really get why Bowers isn't higher in these rookie odds. He's doesn't have the flash of a Nabers or Jayden Daniels, but the Raiders tight end has been consistently great. He's snagged 47 receptions for 477 yards so far this year, posting four games with over 70 yards.
Bowers may not be in the best situation to rack up touchdowns or get media attention, but he's been quietly productive so far this season. Averaging over 60 yards a game, there's a chance Bowers puts up the kind of yardage needed to force his way into this OROY conversation.
Last 10 Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners
| Year | Player | Team | Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | CJ Stroud | Houston Texans | QB |
| 2022 | Garrett Wilson | New York Jets | WR |
| 2021 | Ja'Marr Chase | Cincinnati Bengals | WR |
| 2020 | Justin Herbert | Los Angeles Chargers | QB |
| 2019 | Kyler Murray | Arizona Cardinals | QB |
| 2018 | Saquon Barkley | New York Giants | RB |
| 2017 | Alvin Kamara | New Orleans Saints | RB |
| 2016 | Dak Prescott | Dallas Cowboys | QB |
| 2015 | Todd Gurley | St. Louis Rams* | RB |
| 2014 | Odell Beckham Jr. | New York Giants | WR |
*now the Los Angeles Rams.
The variety of each winner’s role helps us understand that OROY is less constricted to year-over-year trends, with no specialization winning the award more than two years in a row – futures for this award remain anyone's game.
Interestingly, the AFC is a favorite destination of talented offensive players lately, contributing the last four winners.
NFL Teams with the Most Offensive Rookie of the Year Winners
| Team | Awards Won | Most Recent OROY Winner |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Vikings | 5 | WR - Percy Harvin (2009) |
| Dallas Cowboys | 4 | QB - Dak Prescott (2016) |
| Los Angeles Rams | 4 | RB - Todd Gurley (2015) |
| Detroit Lions | 4 | RB - Barry Sanders (1989) |
| New England Patriots | 3 | RB - Curtis Martin (1995) |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | QB - Vince Young (2006) |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 3 | WR - Ja'Marr Chase (2021) |
| New Orleans Saints | 3 | RB - Alvin Kamara (2017) |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 3 | QB - Ben Roethlisberger (2004) |
| Arizona Cardinals | 3 | QB - Kyler Murray (2019) |
With a stellar collection of rookie talent, the Vikings lead all teams in OROY awards. The competition is tight, though – with recent victories for the Rams and Cowboys pushing them into a tie for second, the development of rookies within these organizations is worth watching.
Whether it be a lack of offensive talent out of the Draft or due to their particular systems, seven teams have never had an OROY:
Offensive Rookie of the Year Betting Trends and Notes
- Seven of the previous ten winners were selected in the first round – the most recent six were all drafted in the first ten overall.
- In 2004, Ben Roethlisberger became the first quarterback to receive the award. 11 more QBs have been named OROY since, but only four have won in the past ten years.
- Ja’Marr Chase went all the way to the Super Bowl in his OROY season, losing 23-20 to the Rams.
- Out of the previous ten winners, Kyler Murray and Saquon Barkley were the only favorites, before the start of the season, to win OROY.
Picks by League
NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year FAQ
Can I bet on the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Yes, you can bet on the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year. You can also bet on other NFL futures such as Defensive Rookie of the Year and NFL Defensive Player of the Year. Just make sure you have a registered online betting account first, so that you’re able to bet on these bad boys.
Who is the favorite to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?
Steelers WR George Pickens is the current betting favorite to win the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award. Pickens has odds of +800 to win the award.
Who won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year in 2021?
It was Cincinnati Bengals WR Ja’Marr Chase who won the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award in 2021. The fifth overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft caught 81 passes for 1,455 yards and 13 touchdowns during the regular season.
