The last time the Patriots played the Eagles, Philadelphia pulled off the upset win in Super Bowl 52. The Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against New England, but the Pats are 8-1 this season, have a dominant defense and want revenge — which is why they are road favorites.
- New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles (Matchup Report)
- Date/Time: November 17, 4:25 p.m. ET
- TV Coverage: CBS
- Sportsbook Odds: New England -3.5 | O/U 46 (Line History)
Sportsbook Odds Analysis
The Patriots opened as 3.5-point road favorites, a testament to their dominant defense and 8-1 record, while the Eagles have been inconsistent with a 5-4 record. Early action supports the Patriots, as the line shifted to -4. The total started at 46, but with the offenses of both the Pats and Eagles not as explosive as we’re accustomed to, bettors have jumped on the UNDER, causing the total to drop to 44.5.
New England News & Notes
After jumping out to an 8-0 start behind the league’s most dominant defense, the Patriots were mauled by Baltimore 37-20 in Week 9, suffering their first loss of the season and having two weeks to simmer on it as their bye week came in Week 10.
It was the first time New England allowed more than 14 points all season, and the defense was gashed for 210 yards on the ground. The loss also marked the second straight game in which the Patriots allowed more than five yards per rushing attempt.
The Patriots now face an Eagles offense that has really ramped up their rushing game the past few weeks, but New England is 4-1 ATS the last five seasons in games following a bye. Expect Bill Belichick’s crew to be ready to go.
Philadelphia News & Notes
The Eagles also had their bye last week, but they went into it on a positive note, beating the Chicago Bears 22-14.
The win was Philadelphia’s second in a row, and following Dallas’ Week 10 loss, they are now tied for first in the NFC East. While the Eagles have consistently established a strong running game with the duo of Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders, the aerial attack still hasn’t exploded since deep threat DeSean Jackson went down for the year with an injury.
The one positive for Philadelphia, however, was tight end Zach Ertz finally having a big performance. After a disappointing first half of the year, Ertz logged nine catches on a team-high 11 targets for 103 yards and a touchdown. He’ll be in tough against a Patriots defense that allows the third-fewest catches and yards to tight ends this season.
Betting Pick: Patriots -3.5
You don’t think the Patriots forgot the “Philly Special”? They had a bye week to plan their revenge from their Super Bowl 52 loss, and I think it comes this Sunday.
- The Patriots are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games after an ATS loss.
- The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the Eagles’ last 17 home games (avg. combined score: 39.24).
- The Eagles are 6-17 SU in their last 23 games as home underdogs.
