NFL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs

Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
4 - 4
Kansas City
Chiefs
7 - 0
November 04, 2024, 8:15 PM EST
 | GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium

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8:15 PM ET
See Matchup
Buccaneers VS Chiefs
KC -2.5, U52
-140

Trust in Steve Spagnolo. The Chiefs Defensive Coordinator has an extra day to prepare for a defense that's without its two best weapons (Mike Evans and Chris Godwin). I think the end result will be a tough night for the Bucs offense.

Sterling Shepard may miss this game as well which will leave the Bucs offense with one real receiving threat (tight end Cade Otton).

I teased this game through the key number of 3 so the Chiefs just have to win by a field goal. This protects me from a back-door cover on the -9 line, which wouldn't surprise me at all. 

Click here to read my full analysis of the Buccaneers vs. Chiefs game

Pick made 4:09 pm ET on Wednesday, October 30

Kelce Anytime TD
+145

Travis Kelce is really starting to heat up, catching over 70 yards in three of the last four weeks and scoring his first touchdown of the season against the Raiders last week. Of Kelce's eight red zone targets this season, six have come in the last four weeks.

This week against Tampa Bay, Kelce will stay hot. The Buccaneers have allowed the third-most receiving yards and third-most touchdowns to the tight end position this year, letting up four scores in eight games.

Check out my complete Anytime TD breakdown for this week's games.

Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
TB 18.2 +350
KC 27.8 -450
Spread Pick
+9 -110
-9 -110
Total Pick
U 45.5 -110
O 45.5 -110

Monday, November 4 Mon Nov 4


Matchup
Opening Odds
OS Current
+7.5
-120
- -
TB
+278
O 45.5
-120
- -
-7.5
-120
- -
KC
-355
U 45.5
-120
- -
OS Current
+12.5
-163
- -
TB
+375
O 45.5
-110
- -
OS Current
-8.5
-110
- -
KC
-300
U 46
-110
- -

Player Props

Filter By Position
  • Baker Mayfield
    (TB) POS: QB
    Prop
    Completions
    Projection
    22.8
  • Rachaad White
    (TB) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • Cade Otton
    (TB) POS: TE
    Prop
    Projection
  • Trey Palmer
    (TB) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Rakim Jarrett
    (TB) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Ryan Miller
    (TB) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Sean Tucker
    (TB) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • Jalen McMillan
    (TB) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Bucky Irving
    (TB) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • Patrick Mahomes II
    (KC) POS: QB
    Prop
    Completions
    Projection
    22.4
  • DeAndre Hopkins
    (KC) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Travis Kelce
    (KC) POS: TE
    Prop
    Projection
  • Kareem Hunt
    (KC) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • Samaje Perine
    (KC) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • Justin Watson
    (KC) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Mecole Hardman
    (KC) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire
    (KC) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • Noah Gray
    (KC) POS: TE
    Prop
    Projection
  • Xavier Worthy
    (KC) POS: WR
    Prop
    Projection
  • Carson Steele
    (KC) POS: RB
    Prop
    Projection
  • No Props Available

Edge Finder

29.86
Points Scored
24.33
248.29
Passing Yards
221.50
135.14
Rushing Yards
128.83
31:31
Time on Field
32:18
62.71
Number of Plays
64.50
6.11
Yards Per Play
5.43
29.86
Points Scored
24.33
9.00
First Quarter
2.83
7.86
Second Quarter
9.33
4.29
Third Quarter
4.33
8.71
Fourth Quarter
7.83
248.29
Passing Yards
221.50
33.43
Pass Attempts
31.17
23.57
Pass Completions
21.17
2.86
Sacks
1.83
17.29
Sack Yards
10.00
10.53
Yards Per Pass
10.46
135.14
Rushing Yards
128.83
26.43
Rush Attempts
31.50
5.11
Yards Per Rush
4.09
1.00
Interceptions
1.33
1.14
Fumbles
0.50
0.29
Fumbles Lost
0.33
1.29
Total Turnovers
1.67
6.29
Penalties
5.17
46.86
Penalty Yards
48.83
31:31
Time on Field
32:18
62.71
Number of Plays
64.50
6.11
Yards Per Play
5.43
3.00
Punts
2.67
43.77
Punt Average
52.25
66.71
Return Yards
64.33

Head To Head

TB
Stat Type KC
6-2
Record
2-6
6-2
ATS
2-6
4-4
O/U
4-4
28.00
Points Scored
21.50
99.38
Rush Yds
115.00
36.50
Pass Attempts
38.75
67.47
Completion %
65.16
306.75
Passing Yds
263.38
406.12
Total Yds
378.38
2.12
Turnovers
1.88
TB
Stat Type KC
1-2
Record
2-1
2-1
ATS
1-2
1-2
O/U
1-2
28.67
Points Scored
25.67
74.33
Rush Yds
127.67
40.67
Pass Attempts
45.33
71.31
Completion %
63.24
303.33
Passing Yds
309.00
377.67
Total Yds
436.67
1.33
Turnovers
1.33
Oct 2/22 (1 of 10)
TB
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
31
Points Scored
41
-2
ATS
+2
47.5 o
O/U
47.5 u
3
Rush Yds
189
52
Pass Attempts
37
75.00
Completion %
62.16
373
Passing Yds
228
376
Total Yds
417
2
Turnovers
1
Feb 7/21 (2 of 10)
TB
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
31
Points Scored
9
+3
ATS
-3
55.5 o
O/U
55.5 u
145
Rush Yds
107
29
Pass Attempts
49
72.41
Completion %
53.06
195
Passing Yds
243
340
Total Yds
350
0
Turnovers
2
Nov 29/20 (3 of 10)
TB
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
24
Points Scored
27
+3.5
ATS
-3.5
56 o
O/U
56 u
75
Rush Yds
87
41
Pass Attempts
50
65.85
Completion %
74.00
342
Passing Yds
456
417
Total Yds
543
2
Turnovers
1
Nov 20/16 (4 of 10)
TB
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
19
Points Scored
17
+7
ATS
-7
45 o
O/U
45 u
116
Rush Yds
82
39
Pass Attempts
30
61.54
Completion %
80.00
326
Passing Yds
261
442
Total Yds
343
1
Turnovers
2
Oct 14/12 (5 of 10)
TB
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
38
Points Scored
10
-5
ATS
+5
39.5 o
O/U
39.5 u
145
Rush Yds
80
26
Pass Attempts
38
57.69
Completion %
57.89
318
Passing Yds
180
463
Total Yds
260
2
Turnovers
2
Nov 2/08 (6 of 10)
TB
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
30
Points Scored
27
-9.5
ATS
+9.5
36.5 o
O/U
36.5 u
81
Rush Yds
183
44
Pass Attempts
26
72.73
Completion %
57.69
342
Passing Yds
201
423
Total Yds
384
4
Turnovers
1
Nov 7/04 (7 of 10)
TB
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
34
Points Scored
31
+3
ATS
-3
45 o
O/U
45 u
130
Rush Yds
105
34
Pass Attempts
42
64.71
Completion %
76.19
288
Passing Yds
354
418
Total Yds
459
0
Turnovers
3
Nov 14/99 (8 of 10)
TB
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
17
Points Scored
10
-3
ATS
+3
33.5 o
O/U
33.5 u
100
Rush Yds
87
27
Pass Attempts
38
62.96
Completion %
60.53
270
Passing Yds
184
370
Total Yds
271
6
Turnovers
3
Sep 5/93 (9 of 10)
TB
Stat Type KC
Home
Away
3
Points Scored
27
+7
ATS
-7
36.5 o
O/U
36.5 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
60.53
Completion %
60.53
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 26/86 (10 of 10)
TB
Stat Type KC
Away
Home
20
Points Scored
27
+9.5
ATS
-9.5
42 o
O/U
42 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
60.53
Completion %
60.53
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0

Team Records

TB
Record KC
4-4
All
7-0
2-3
Home
3-0
2-1
Away
4-0
4-4
ATS
4-2-1
2-3
ATS Home
2-1
2-1
ATS Away
2-1-1
6-2
O/U
3-4
4-1
O/U Home
2-1
2-1
O/U Away
1-3
TB
Record KC
4-2
All
4-0
2-1
Home
2-0
2-1
Away
2-0
4-2
ATS
1-2-1
2-1
ATS Home
1-1
2-1
ATS Away
0-1-1
5-1
O/U
3-1
3-0
O/U Home
2-0
2-1
O/U Away
1-1
TB
Record KC
1-2
All
2-0
0-1
Home
0-0
1-1
Away
2-0
1-2
ATS
0-1-1
0-1
ATS Home
0-0
1-1
ATS Away
0-1-1
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
TB
Record KC
4-4
All
7-0
2-3
Home
3-0
2-1
Away
4-0
4-4
ATS
4-2-1
2-3
ATS Home
2-1
2-1
ATS Away
2-1-1
6-2
O/U
3-4
4-1
O/U Home
2-1
2-1
O/U Away
1-3

Gametime Weather

7:15 pm EST Showers
9ºC / 49ºF
88% Humidity
63% Precipitation
84% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 9
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Lavonte DavidLBLeft last game, is "?" Monday vs Kansas City, Ankle
Mike EvansWRIs out indefinitely, Hamstring
Sterling ShepardWRLeft last game, is "?" Monday vs Kansas City, Hamstring
Chris GodwinWRIR; is out for season, Ankle
Chase EdmondsRBIR; is out for season, Knee
Jamel DeanCBIR, Hamstring
Greg GainesDTIs "?" Monday vs Kansas City, Calf
Sua OpetaGIR, ACL
Bryce HallCBIs out for season, Ankle
Dennis HoustonWRIR, Undisclosed
SirVocea DennisLBIR, Shoulder
Evan DeckersCIR, Hamstring
Silas DzansiTIR, Knee
Tykee SmithSIs "?" Monday vs Kansas City, Concussion
Kameron JohnsonWRIR, Ankle
Name Position Inj Desc
Patrick MahomesQBIs probable Monday vs Tampa Bay, Ankle
JuJu Smith-SchusterWRIs "?" Monday vs Tampa Bay, Hamstring
Marquise BrownWRIR, Shoulder
Michael DannaDEIs "?" Monday vs Tampa Bay, Pectoral
Skyy MooreWRIR, Oblique
Nazeeh JohnsonCBLeft last game, is "?" Monday vs Tampa Bay, Concussion
Isaih PachecoRBIR, Fibula
Jaylen WatsonCBIs out indefinitely, Leg
Rashee RiceWRIR; is out for season, Knee
McKade MettauerGIR, Knee

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 27, 2024ATL26-31L+1.5/48L/O1023304321292653943
Oct 21, 2024BAL31-41L+4/51L/O1253564812442645081
Oct 13, 2024NO51-27W-3.5/42.5W/O277317594812223030
Oct 3, 2024ATL30-36L+2.5/44L/O160173333734775500
Sep 29, 2024PHI33-16W+1/42.5W/O111334445113114227-2
Sep 22, 2024DEN7-26L-6/40.5L/U911322231362163521
Sep 15, 2024DET20-16W+7.5/52W/U70146216139324463-1
Sep 8, 2024WAS37-20W-4/42.5W/O1122803921381612990
Jan 21, 2024DET23-31L+6/49.5L/O893194081142773912
Jan 15, 2024PHI32-9W+3/43W/U119307426422342760
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 27, 2024LV27-20W-8.5/43L/O82252334331952280
Oct 20, 2024SF28-18W+2.5/48W/U184145329101209310-1
Oct 7, 2024NO26-13W-5.5/43W/U139321460461742200
Sep 29, 2024LAC17-10W-7/41.5P/U101228329551692242
Sep 22, 2024ATL22-17W-3/46.5W/U128217345822293110
Sep 15, 2024CIN26-25W-6.5/47.5L/O149137286742463202
Sep 5, 2024BAL27-20W-2.5/46W/O722813531852674520
Feb 11, 2024SF25-22W+2/46.5W/O1303254551102723820
Jan 28, 2024BAL17-10W+4.5/44W/U8923031981255336-3
Jan 21, 2024BUF27-24W+2.5/46W/O1462153611821863681
View Game Logs
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