Looking at these Vikings vs Giants odds & picks for Week 1, I'm expecting an ugly contest.
With a QB matchup between Sam Darnold and Daniel Jones, it's hard to see this one being a high-scoring affair. So I'm taking the UNDER 41.5 points. Here are my picks and a breakdown for the Vikings vs Giants Week 1 matchup on September 8th at 1:00 pm ET:
Vikings vs Giants Odds Week 1
Minnesota Vikings vs New York Giants, Sept. 8, 1:00 pm ET
Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
Minnesota Vikings | +1.5 | +100 | OVER 41.5 (-110) |
New York Giants | -1.5 | -118 | UNDER 41.5 (-110) |
Odds as of August 29th, from Caesars Sportsbook
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Vikings vs Giants Picks Week 1
UNDER 41.5 Points (-110)
The Giants and Vikings are not going to be enjoyable football teams to watch this year, with two of the least compelling offenses in the league. That's not entirely new for these teams, as they were both some of the best UNDER squads in the NFL last year. The Giants hit the UNDER in 11 of 17 contests last year while the Vikings did in 10 of 17.
I also think the quarterbacks in this game are going to help us get to the UNDER. Neither Daniel Jones or Sam Darnold are very good at football (I'll be honest) and that manifests in low-scoring games. The UNDER 41.5 points (quite a low total) still hit in three of Daniel Jones' six games last season, while it's hit in four of the seven games Sam Darnold has started over the last two years.
Vikings vs Giants Prop Picks Week 1
Aaron Jones OVER 58.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Aaron Jones is a beast, when he's healthy. The problem is that health has been pretty rare lately. Jones missed a lot of time and played through injury at the beginning of last season, but then really found his health and form late. Including the playoffs, Jones rushed for over 100 yards in his last five games of 2023.
All reports indicate Jones is healthy entering this season, so let's take advantage while that's the case. Now he gets to face a Giants rushing defense that allowed the fourth-most ground yards per game last year (132.4). The Giants allowed a 60+ yard rusher against in each of their final four games of last season.
Last time Jones faced the Giants (in 2022) he ran for 63 yards on just 13 attempts, despite splitting carries with AJ Dillon.
Pick made as of Thursday, Aug. 29 at 11:52 am ET
Vikings vs Giants Betting Trends
- The Vikings haven't covered a spread in their last six games
- The UNDER has hit in four of Minnesota's last five games at New York
- The UNDER has hit in 12 of the Giants' last 18 games
- The Giants are 5-0-1 against the spread in their last six home games
