Blues vs Senators Picks and Odds Tonight: Expect The Total To Go OVER 6.5 Goals

The Ottawa Senators make a quick stop at home to face the St. Louis Blues at the Canadian Tire Center. Ottawa, whose favored on the BET99 moneyline at -145,  is coming off back-to-back road losses to Colorado and Vegas where an average of 9.5 goals were scored. Tonight should be another goal filled night for the Senators.

Looking at this matchup, I like the total going OVER 6.5 goals at -125 thanks to an average of 8.25 goals in St. Louis's last four visits to Ottawa.

Blues vs Senators Odds Tonight

St. Louis Blues vs Ottawa Senators, October 29, 7:00 pm ET

Odds as of October 29 at BET99

Blues vs Senators Picks Tonight

OVER 6.5 Goals (+105)

Not only has this matchup trended toward the OVER, but Ottawa games are goal fests recently. The Senators are 4-2 against the OVER in their last six games with a whopping 8.5 goals scored on average. 

That's mainly due to a familiar woe for Ottawa; goaltending. In Linus Ullmark's last start, he got popped for five goals against Vegas giving him a 0.815SV% on the night. Ottawa's big offseason acquisition has yet to live up to his billing with a 3.35GAA and 0.885SV%. Maybe bet the UNDER on his save prop tonight. BET99 has his save prop at UNDER 24.5 saves with -105 odds.

The visiting Blues have seen the total go OVER eight times in their last 12 road games (75%) and three times in five away games this season. Unlike the Senators there isn't a singular reason for St Louis's 'success' against the OVER with an average of 3.6 goals scored and 3.2 goals allowed. In the Blues's last two road games, they scored five against the Leafs on the 24th and then allowed five against Montreal two days later. That's some real Jekyll and Hyde type of play from the Blues.

With Ottawa's poor goaltending and the Blues' nearly simultaneous good offense and bad defense, I like the trend of four straight Ottawa-St. Louis meetings going OVER the total to continue tonight.

Blues vs Senators Player Prop Tonight

Brady Tkachuk OVER 4.5 Shots (+105)

I like Tkachuk's OVER 4.5 shot prop tonight against the Blues at +105 from BET99. The Sens captain has gone OVER 4.5 shots in three of his last four games and per Outlier, has OVER 4.5 shots in six of his last seven home games with an average of 6.1 shots.

In 2023-24, the Blues allowed the eighth-most shots against per game in the league, a stat that hasn't changed in the short 24-25 season with the Blues again allowing the eighth-most shots against per game. Understanding that St. Louis allows a lot of shots, that Tkachuk is a shot monster right now, and that the last time the Sens captain faced the Blues he put six shots on their net, I'm smashing the OVER.

Blues vs Senators Betting Trends