We're well into the Stanley Cup playoffs now. Every day of the NHL postseason, Michel Anderson and I have you set with daily expert picks.
With the series tied, the Dallas Stars are home betting favorites (-130) against the Edmonton Oilers in Game 5 of the Western Conference Final.
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Rolling Records
Michel: 44-27 (+5.63 Units)
Josie: 30-36 (-5.47 Units)
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Game 5: oilers vs stars preview & pick
The Game: edmonton oilers vs dallas stars, 8:30 PM ET
| Team | Puckline | Total | Moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edmonton Oilers | +1.5 (-238) | O6 (+105) | +110 |
| Dallas Stars | -1.5 (+195) | U6 (-125) | -130 |
Josie's Take: What a back-and-forth series. Just when I think I have enough faith in Oettinger and stack all the cards against Skinner, they prove me wrong. Depending how the netminder feels, they'll either cough up four to five goals or shut it down.
At least Oettinger does his best to lock in after a brutal performance. Following a loss, the 25-year-old is recording an average .942SV% in the playoffs.
Though the last two games have eclipsed the OVER, the opening games of this series hit the UNDER at American Airlines Center.
We've seen the trend of Oettinger bouncing back from a loss and with a surprising 5-2 win last game, Skinner's chest is probably puffed out. With the series coming down to the wire, I expect both benches to stay tight.
Pick: UNDER 6 (-125)
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Michel's Take: I've talked about series themes before and one that's emerging here is how the UNDER hits in Dallas and the opposite is true in Edmonton.
We're 2-0 against the UNDER when Dallas is on home ice in this series. No team has seen the UNDER more often in general (10 times) and at home (five times) than the Dallas Stars.
In the four home games against Edmonton this season, the total has gone UNDER six goals three times. The key is that Dallas has kept Edmonton to less than 30 shots in those three games. And when Edmonton gets less than 30 shots on the road this year, they've failed to score more than three goals 69% of the time.
If they aren't running up the score past three themselves the OVER isn't hitting. This season (including the playoffs), when Edmonton scores three or less the total has gone UNDER 6 goals 29 times in 47 games (62%).
Pick: UNDER 6 (-125)
