The Pereira vs Rountree odds are about what you'd expect.
In a stunning move, the promotion announced Alex Pereira and Khalil Rountree Jr. will headline UFC 307 in Salt Lake City on October 5. Pereira, the light heavyweight champ, is a -450 favorite, while the challenger Rountree is a +350 underdog.
As we prep for Poatan's third title fight of 2024, let's dive into the Pereira vs Rountree odds at UFC 307 and preview our best bets for this fight.
Pereira vs Rountree Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alex Pereira | -450 |
| Khalil Rountree Jr. | +350 |
Odds as of September 16
Per our odds calculator, a $100 bet on Pereira's -450 odds (81.82% implied chance) pays out $125. The same $100 on Rountree at +350 (22.22% implied chance) pays out $450.
How To Bet Pereira
Pereira's recipe to win remains the same. He'll stay measured in his stance, bang away at Rountree with low kicks, and then introduce more intense striking when the challenger inevitably turns up the heat. Rountree usually fights at max effort from the opening horn, which might leave him open to a quick check hook from Alex. I'm excited to see who snags the early Octagon control in this fight because it could go a long way to determining the winner.
In the end, I'm not sure Rountree presents any tool other than his power that threatens Pereira. The champ is vulnerable to the overhand right, but I'll bet Pereira tags Rountree first (potentially with an epic jumping knee). I'll be betting Pereira by KO in this fight, likely UNDER 2.5 rounds, depending on how the prop odds shake out.
How To Bet Rountree
Rountree has scored four epic knockouts during his five-fight UFC win streak, meaning he'll be gunning for another knockout. Frankly, that strategy marks his best chance to upset Pereira.
Khalil must get Pereira flustered to win this fight. If he can command the center of the cage and push Alex back, he'll have a good chance to laser in for a knockout. Once Pereira goes into wild man mode (see his offensive pressure vs Israel Adesanya at UFC 287), his hands drop and he gets inattentive. If Khalil can bait Pereira into a wild strikefest, he'll have a good chance of clipping him.
The best strategy is to bet Khalil by KO. You'll get mega-longshot odds with that one.
Pereira vs Rountree Picks
You can count on a KO at UFC 307. In the end, Pereira will be the man to get it done. Besides his one loss to Adesanya, Pereira hasn't shown much vulnerability against pure striker/power types (I think Jamahal Hill is a very good comp for Rountree). The Brazilian's speed and diverse attacks make him borderline unbeatable.
I recommend Pereira by KO + a bet on the UNDER 2.5 rounds.
