Holland vs Rodriguez

UFC 318: Holland vs Rodriguez Odds & Picks

Kevin Holland is a massive -590 favorites as he battles Daniel Rodriguez (+440 underdog) on the main card of UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19th. 

With the power of these welterweights, fight fans can expect fireworks as Holland vs Rodriguez is sure to entertain. Looking to bet on UFC 318? Check out our best UFC betting apps to get in on the action.

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UFC 318: Holland vs Rodriguez Odds 

Holland vs Rodriguez Odds - UFC 318
FighterOdds
Kevin Holland-590
Daniel Rodriguez+440

Odds as of July 19 at FanDuel

How to bet Holland

UFC veteran Kevin Holland has won back-to-back fights since his first round loss to Reinier de Ridder in January. 

Holland will look to use his height and reach advantage and pick his spots against the slower Rodriguez. His striking is far more crisp and accurate than his opponent, and he has the power necessary to finish this fight. 

However, despite his 13 knockout career knockout victories, Holland hasn't won a fight by knockout since 2023. In fact, his last three finishes have all come via submission, including a slick anaconda choke of Vicente Luque just last month. He's now racked up six UFC wins by submission, and will be a threat if those bout makes it way to the mat. 

How to Bet Rodriguez

At 38 years old, Daniel Rodriguez absorbs a lot of punishment. While he dishes out an outstanding 7.39 significant strikes per minute, he's opponents land 5.39 strikes back. Essentially, Rodriguez stands and bangs. 

Trading blows with the power of Holland isn't an ideal scenario for Rodriguez, so he'll have his work cut out for him. As the UFC 318 odds show, sportsbooks aren't giving the 10th Planet Jiu Jitsu fighter much of a chance. 

Rodriguez isn't much of a grappler, so the southpaw will have to put the pressure on Holland and get inside of his jab to do damage. 

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Holland vs Rodriguez Prediction

Holland will keep Rodriguez at bay with his 7" reach advantage in this one. Look for the Travis Lutter BJJ product to dictate the pace of the fight and pick his spots. I expect Holland to look for the finish early and often as he'll want to put on a show and continue his climb up the UFC welterweight rankings. 

Pick: Kevin Holland to win, Holland by submission

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