UFL expert picks for Week 4
USFL

UFL Weekly Picks: Best Bets For Week 4

The UFL season kicks off this week for another season of spring football! The league, which merges the XFL and USFL, will have eight teams focused on winning the inaugural championship

Each week I'll release my weekly picks for the slate of games, finding you the best betting edge possible.

Season Record: 6-6 (-0.54 Units)

Last week I was cursing the Battlehawks, guilting my three previous losses on them. Well, I apologize. St. Louis was the only team that got me in the win column. Terrible week, I blame the eclipse. 

UFL Pick #1 - Memphis vs St. Louis: OVER 45 Points (-110)

UFL Pick #2 - Stallions -9.0 (-110)

UFL Pick #3 - Michigan vs San Antonio: UNDER 41 Points (-110)

UFL Pick #4 - Renegades -3.0 (-118)

UFL Week 4 Betting Odds

UFL Week 4 Betting Odds
WhenFavored TeamPoint Spread OddsUnderdog TeamOVER/UNDER
April 20th, 12:30 p.m. ETSt. Louis Battlehawks-7.0 (-110)Memphis Showboats45 (-110)
April 20th, 7 p.m. ETBirmingham Stallions-9.0 (-110)D.C. Defenders46 (-110)
April 20th, 7 p.m. ETMichigan Panthers-1.0 (-105)San Antonio Brahmas41 (-110)
April 21st, 2 p.m. ETArlington Renegades-3.0 (-118)Houston Roughnecks46 (-110)

 


UFL week 4 Picks & Best bets

Two hefty spreads and some generous point totals. Below I break down my picks for Week 4 of the 2024 UFL season. 

memphis vs St. louis: OVER 45 Points (-110)

Okay, I know I just reconciled with St. Louis after they finally cashed a bet for me. Memphis, who are 2-1 ATS and usually never fail me, flipped the tables by not covering the seven-point line against Birmingham last week. 

All I think I know has been tossed out the window for this matchup. 

Regardless of how I feel about how the Battlehawks started the season, they've still posted 58 points over the last two weeks. The Showboats have yet to hit the 20-plus point mark but they are usually hovering around it. 

Both teams have allowed 60 or more points this season. So, I think the safest bet is to lean on the OVER.

D.C. vs birmingham: stallions -9.0 (-110)

Birmingham has covered the favored spread in three straight weeks, the lowest being 4-point favorites on opening weekend. The following two weeks, the Stallions were favored by a touchdown. Now, I guess oddsmakers want to make things interesting by budging their lineup a couple of notches. 

The Defenders have taken advantage of their schedule, meeting the bottom of the league in back-to-back weeks. But, barely clutching a one-point win over the league's worst defense? Little worrisome for me. 

Now, D.C. has to put up points against the UFL's top defense, which has only allowed 36 points. Best of luck!

Michigan vs San Antonio: UNDER 41 Points (-110)

These two sit next to each other in just about every area there is to compare. Where the Brahmas earn 280 YPG, the Panthers are sprinting shortly behind with 272.3 YPG. Heck, even EJ Perry (587 PYDS) and Chase Garbers (586 PYDS) are identical. 

The one edge for this outing is defense. Again, side-by-side in the standings, San Antonio (57 PA) and Michigan (51 PA) make up two of the top three for defense.

arlington vs houston: Renegades -3.0 (-118)

Finally, one of these two teams will get in the win column while the other continues to be the laughingstock of the league. 

I am extremely confident the Renegades get the win here. Arlington has been dealt crappy luck, meeting the Battlehawks and Stallions. Yet, somehow, they've managed to keep up. Only four-points stood between them defeating St. Louis and the one-point loss to D.C. last week must've stung. 

The Renegades are averaging the second-best 322.7 YPG. Also, QB Luis Perez is topping the stats with 737 passing yards, over a 100-yard gain above the second-most. 

Arlington is due for a win and this is the week it happens. 

How To Bet On UFL Betting Odds:

While you can bet on spreads and point totals, one of the easiest ways to bet on UFL betting odds is through a moneyline. This moneyline bet means you simply pick which side you think will win between the favorite (signaled with a minus sign) and the underdog (with a plus).

A UFL moneyline of +200 means that you would win $200 on a successful $100 wager. That’s also equivalent to fractional odds of 2/1, decimal odds of 3.00 and implied odds of 33.33 percent. A negative moneyline of -200 means that you would have to wager $200 in order to win $100 on the favorite.

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