Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather Odds: Mayweather a Huge Betting Favorite

Arguably the greatest boxer of all time will be displaying his outstanding skills once again, as Floyd Mayweather Jr. will be taking on YouTube star Logan Paul in what is being coined a “super exhibition.” After the original fight date of February 20 fell through, the two have agreed upon June 6 to enter the ring.

Breaking: Floyd Mayweather and Logan Paul have agreed to a fight at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, June 6, they announced. pic.twitter.com/7pXKLF9Slm

— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) April 27, 2021

With a quick look at the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds, it comes as no surprise that the 50-0 boxer, Mayweather, is a massive favorite and Paul, with his 22.6 million followers, is a huge underdog.

Of course, Paul was called out on social media after his brother Jake knocked out Nate Robinson in the co-main event of the Mike Tyson vs Roy Jones Jr. card. And just as we do with our UFC fight analysis, I will take a look at the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds and provide a prediction for this fight below.

Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds and, not surprisingly, has listed Mayweather as a large -800 favorite with Paul coming back as a +500 underdog. This means you would have to wager $800 to profit $100 with a Mayweather win, while a $100 bet on a Paul win would profit you $500.

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Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather Odds

Odds as of June 4 at Sportsbook

If the fight goes the distance, the wager will be graded as no action as no official Sportsbook will be announced.

Looking at the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds with our sports betting calculator, Mayweather’s odds of -800 have an implied win probability of 88.89 percent, while Paul’s odds of +500 have an implied win probability of 16.67 percent. Even that may be too generous in a boxing match against one of the greatest of all time. 

Unsure of what the Paul vs Mayweather odds mean? Check out our handy boxing betting guide to help you get in on the action. Also, be sure to check out our Mayweather vs Paul prop odds page for more betting opportunities.

Paul vs Mayweather Rules

As mentioned off the top, this fight is billed as a super exhibition, and for those who remember the Mike Tyson vs Roy Jones Jr. fight in November, the rules have some similarities. Notably, there will be no judges and no official Sportsbook read, so if you’re taking Mayweather by decision – don’t. 

However, unlike the Tyson vs Jones showdown in which knockouts were discouraged, that isn’t the case for Paul vs Mayweather. According to Mayweather in a recent interview, the judges won’t be needed anyway as he’s predicting a stoppage.

Mayweather vs Paul rules, per Florida commission:

— No judges
— No official Sportsbook read
— Knockouts legal
— KO up to ref discretion
— No headgear
— 12 oz. gloves
— Eight 3-minute rounds

— Marc Raimondi (@marc_raimondi) June 2, 2021

Paul vs Mayweather Odds Analysis

Perhaps a feather in the cap for Paul is that he isn’t the biggest underdog ever against Floyd; Mayweather’s shortest odds were -3000 in a bout against Andre Berto. Paul has had one pro boxing match, in November 2019, when he lost a close split decision to KSI. So we have an 0-1 YouTube sensation up against a 50-0 boxer, which makes all the sense to see why the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds are where they are.

Looking at Mayweather’s odds history, you can see that he has been favored in each of his last 18 fights that we have lines for; twice, he was a favorite of -2000 or more. On that list, you can see the body of work that “Money” has run through, including Arturo Gatti, Oscar De La Hoya, Canelo Alvarez and Manny Pacquiao, to name just a few.

Consider the threat each of those opponents posed to Mayweather and then consider that Paul’s lone professional fight came against another YouTube star, KSI.

Understanding Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather Betting

Now, if you are a typical $50 to $100 bettor, placing a bet on Mayweather is just not worth your time since a $100 bet on Floyd to win would profit you a whopping $12.50. You’re best to hang on until closer to the fight when more Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather betting props will be opened, such as which part of Paul will bleed first – I think “nose” at +250 has value.

Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather Betting Tips

With this being a “super exhibition” bout, one stipulation I have seen is that Floyd cannot weigh more than 160 pounds, which will be no problem, and Paul no more than 190.

Mayweather’s Conditioning is a Game Changer

However, regardless of the weight, Mayweather is a far superior athlete and boxer who is extremely difficult to hit and knows all the tricks of the trade to make you look foolish – and that’s exactly what he will do to Paul.

As mentioned above, a wager on Mayweather to win outright isn’t worth your time. Additionally, betting on Mayweather to win by decision will be graded as a push so your only option is to take “Money” to knock out “Maverick.”

What Does Paul Do Right?

I must say that in Paul’s two fights vs KSI (they fought once as amateurs), there were some things that he did well, specifically using his long jab to keep his opponent at bay. However, he gets excited when he does land a jab and then tends to wing wild overhand hooks afterward that rarely land. Also, due to this wild approach, his conditioning becomes an issue. If there are two things you can’t do against Mayweather, it’s throw sloppy punches or gas out.

Paul vs Mayweather Betting Value

Again, looking at the Logan Paul vs Floyd Mayweather odds, taking Mayweather at -800 is not worth the wager. However, taking the fight to not go the distance at -310 has much better value, or perhaps take Mayweather to win in a specific round. You can see those odds in our Mayweather vs Paul prop odds article.

Paul vs Mayweather Prediction: Floyd Mayweather (-800) via knockout