Time to polish off this week with a winning MLB same-game parlay today.
I'm backing the Philadelphia Phillies tonight to once again take down the surging Arizona Diamondbacks. Philly knocked off Arizona 6-4 last night, and I'm taking them at -155 as part of this parlay tonight.
Check out our full Phillies vs Diamondbacks same-game parlay here:
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Same-Game Parlay Today
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Odds - 9:41 p.m. ET
Bet | Odds |
---|---|
Phillies ML | -155 |
Zack Wheeler OVER 5.5 Ks | -148 |
Josh Bell OVER 0.5 Hits | -195 |
Overall | +291 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 1: Phillies ML
After losing five-straight at the start of August, the Phillies have flipped the switch lately. They're 4-1 in their last five (including a series win over the Dodgers) and snapped Arizona's lengthy hot streak last night.
On paper, the edge in the lineup department should go to Arizona here. They're averaging 1.5 more runs per game than the Phillies over the last month with a team OPS that's 110 points higher. But Zack Wheeler changes all that.
The Phillies have won six of Wheeler's last nine starts and he's allowed over two earned runs just twice in that stretch. Dating back to last year's postseason, Wheeler has won his last three starts against the DBacks, never allowing more than two runs in a start. So give me the favorites in this one.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 2: Zack Wheeler OVER 5.5 Ks
Not only will Wheeler shut down the DBacks' bats, he's gonna rack up the Ks tonight, too.
The NL Cy Young favorite has struck out over 5.5 batters in each of his last five starts, averaging 6.7 Ks per outing.
I get that the DBacks have the fifth-lowest team strikeout rate in baseball (20.1%), but Wheeler has struck out exactly eight batters in his last three starts against Arizona. So, this number seems far too low.
Wheeler also owns two of Arizona's hottest bats, holding Joc Pederson and Eugenio Suarez to OPS under .400 against him. You can take the UNDER 0.5 hits on those Arizona bats at +130 and +110, respectively.
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Same-Game Parlay Pick No. 3: Josh Bell Over 0.5 Hits
I really don't like taking parlay legs that contradict my overall bets, but this Bell hit value was just too good to pass up.
The new DBacks' 1B has 12 hits in his last 10 games and owns Wheeler, historically. The 1B has 11 hits in 35 career at-bats against Wheeler (including four homers), good for a .314 average and 1.054 OPS. He's got hits in five of eight games against the Phillies so far this season.