Tyrese Maxey, Philadelphia 76ers

76ers vs Nuggets Picks & Odds Today: Philly Won't Find Peace In Mile High City

The Philadelphia 76ers are in the midst of a six-game losing streak and must now face the red-hot Denver Nuggets on the road Tuesday night, with the Nuggets favored by a massive 13.5 points by oddsmakers (-112).

Here's a spread, moneyline, total, and player prop expert pick for this matchup at Ball Arena on January 21, 2025.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Odds

Preview: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Denver Nuggets, 10 p.m. ET

TeamSpreadMoneyTotal
Philadelphia 76ers+13.5 (-108)+590O 229.5 (-108)
Denver Nuggets-13.5 (-112)-850U 229.5 (-112)

Odds as of January 21, 2025 at Sportsbook

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Denver Nuggets Expert Picks

Philadelphia 76ers ATS +13.5 (-108), Denver Nuggets ML (-850)

As ESPN's Brian Windhorst so eloquently put it during a recent episode of "The Hoop Collective Podcast," Philadelphia's 2024-25 campaign "is on the horizon of being one of the worst disasters for a season in the modern era of the NBA." Now much of that can be attributed to injuries, especially to former league Most Valuable Player Joel Embiid, but their current 15-26 record has many believing the Sixers should tank to try and keep a 2025 draft pick which is top-six protected and would otherwise end up in the hands of the Oklahoma City Thunder.

For now, they must deal with a Nuggets squad that's won two in a row, six of their last seven, and 10 of their last 13 overall to maintain the fourth seed in the Western Conference with a 26-16 record. They're back in the Mile High City following a two-game road trip in Florida, yet they're only 12-8 at home after losing eight games in their backyard all of last season. This includes a 2-3 record both SU and ATS over their last five home outings, most recently falling to the Houston Rockets by 20 points on Jan. 15. 

It remains to be seen who will even be available for Philadelphia on Tuesday, as the likes of Paul George (groin), Andre Drummond (toe), and Guerschon Yabusele (knee) are all listed as questionable. Embiid won't be in uniform due to swelling in his left knee which will keep him sidelined for at least 7-to-10 days, and both Caleb Martin (hip) and Kyle Lowry (hip) remain out. The Sixers only went eight deep during their most recent loss to the Milwaukee Bucks on Jan. 19, which was the third time in their last four games they fell by 13 or more points.

The 13.5-point spread is the biggest of the season painting Philadelphia as an underdog, and it hasn't actually covered at all since Jan. 4. The reason for optimism here, however, is that the Nuggets could be slightly vulnerable and rusty coming off a road trip, and if more bodies are listed as active for the visitors, than this line would shrink anyway. Denver should really be in no danger of losing outright, but this incredibly large spread creates enough wiggle room for the Sixers to cover when they have nothing to lose at this point. 

OVER 229.5 Total Points (-108)

Despite never knowing who they'll be able to utilize on any given night, Philadelphia's offense has remained relatively decent at 111.4 points per 100 possessions during this six-game skid with a 4-2 record in reaching an OVER.

The Nuggets also own the fourth-best totals record in basketball with a 26-16 record for OVERs connecting, as well. 

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Denver Nuggets Player Prop

Russell Westbrook UNDER 24.5 PRA (-108)

With his usage and minutes played taking a dip over the past four games, Russell Westbrook's box scores have begun providing diminishing returns in the combined points, rebounds, and assists market. He's gone UNDER a 24.5 PRA in four-straight appearances, playing just 25.6 minutes per contest after averaging 35 minutes in the six games prior. 

If that trend continues as Denver goes deeper into its bench, especially with Tuesday's game with Philly projected to be a blowout, Westbrook could be in store for a fifth-consecutive UNDER.

Philadelphia 76ers vs. Denver Nuggets Betting Trends

  • Aaron Gordon has exceeded 0.5 3-pointers in six straight games at home (1.7 3-pointers/game average). 
  • Russell Westbrook has exceeded 13 1H points + rebounds + assists in six of his last seven games at home (16.9 1H points + rebounds + assists/game average). 
  • Tyrese Maxey has exceeded 3.5 rebounds in four of his last five games (4.6 rebounds/game average). 

*all betting trends courtesy of Outlier 

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