NBA

Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets

Atlanta
Hawks
35 - 36
Houston
Rockets
46 - 26
March 25, 2025, 8:00 PM EDT
 | Toyota Center
Predicted Score
113.0
ATL
119.3
HOU
Spread Consensus
Best ATL Spread
+7.5
ATL
-105
55%
Best HOU Spread
-7.5
HOU
-114
Total Consensus
Best Over
-111
o235.5
0%
Best Under
-111
u235.5
Our Prediction
Houston will Win, Atlanta will Cover, and the Total will go Under.

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8:00 PM ET
See Matchup
Atlanta VS Houston
Experts 2
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
ATL 113.0 +260
HOU 119.3 -325
Spread Pick
+8 -110
-8 -110
Total Pick
U 235.5 -110
O 235.5 -110
F. VanVleet OVER 14.5 PTS
-125

According to Odds Shark's defensive metrics, only eight other teams are allowing more points per game to opposing point guards than the Atlanta Hawks, who also sit 22nd overall in defensive efficiency since coming back from the All-Star break. The up-and-down scoring nature of Houston Rockets floor general Fred VanVleet could always use some assistance like the lack of resistance Atlanta may be putting forth at the Toyota Center tonight.

Following a 37-point performance against the Heat on March 21, VanVleet followed it up with just seven points at home against the Denver Nuggets on March 23. For what it's worth, the last two times he finished in single-digit scoring, VanVleet had 19 or more points the very next game.  

He's still gone OVER 14.5 points in three of his last five games, and hopefully that dreary showing versus Denver will invigorate a return to form with much stronger numbers against the Hawks here.

For more on this player prop and others, be sure to check out Odds Shark's expert picks by clicking here.

Hawks vs Rockets U60 1st Q Total
-105

Atlanta and Houston have gone UNDER 60 first-quarter points in seven of their last 10 games. 

The Rockets have averaged 55 first-quarter points this season, while Atlanta comes in at 59. I like the idea of fading these teams tonight. 

Championship 2025


Tuesday, March 25 Tue Mar 25


Matchup
Opening Odds
OS Current
+8
-110
- -
ATL
+240
O 231
-110
- -
-8
-110
- -
HOU
-312
U 231
-110
- -
OS Current
+8.5
-115
- -
ATL
+265
O 235
-110
- -
OS Current
-7.5
-114
- -
HOU
-300
U 236.5
-110
- -

Player Props

Filter By Position
  • Clint Capela
    (ATL) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    3.28
  • Larry Nance Jr.
    (ATL) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.68
  • Georges Niang
    (ATL) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    9.72
  • Caris LeVert
    (ATL) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    12.09
  • Trae Young
    (ATL) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    22.94
  • Terance Mann
    (ATL) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    7.57
  • Garrison Mathews
    (ATL) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.9
  • Onyeka Okongwu
    (ATL) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    13.11
  • Vit Krejci
    (ATL) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    4.86
  • Jalen Johnson
    (ATL) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.02
  • Dyson Daniels
    (ATL) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    13
  • Daeqwon Plowden
    (ATL) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.11
  • Dominick Barlow
    (ATL) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    5.65
  • Kobe Bufkin
    (ATL) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.11
  • Mouhamed Gueye
    (ATL) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    5.08
  • Zaccharie Risacher
    (ATL) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    12.77
  • Jeff Green
    (HOU) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.19
  • Steven Adams
    (HOU) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    6.56
  • Fred VanVleet
    (HOU) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    13.84
  • Dillon Brooks
    (HOU) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    14.67
  • Aaron Holiday
    (HOU) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    2.62
  • Jae'Sean Tate
    (HOU) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.19
  • Jalen Green
    (HOU) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    21.59
  • Alperen Sengun
    (HOU) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    19.57
  • Jock Landale
    (HOU) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.07
  • David Roddy
    (HOU) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.36
  • Tari Eason
    (HOU) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    10.86
  • Jabari Smith
    (HOU) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    8.95
  • Jeenathan Williams
    (HOU) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.36
  • Cam Whitmore
    (HOU) POS: SF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.91
  • Amen Thompson
    (HOU) POS: PG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    12.65
  • Reed Sheppard
    (HOU) POS: SG
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    1.19
  • N'Faly Dante
    (HOU) POS: C
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.24
  • Jack McVeigh
    (HOU) POS: PF
    Prop
    Points
    Projection
    0.12
  • No Props Available

Edge Finder

Overall

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank HOU Defense
117.266Points Scored4106.50
46.6115Field Goal %244.63
36.0412Three Point %1235.31
76.3524Free Throw %173.68
44.4013Total Rebounds542.00

Scoring

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank HOU Defense
117.266Points Scored4106.50
28.7710First Quarter1327.58
31.171Second Quarter927.19
29.2611Third Quarter125.86
27.1415Fourth Quarter325.47

Shooting

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank HOU Defense
46.6115Field Goal %244.63
76.3524Free Throw %173.68
36.0412Three Point %1235.31
36.9415Three's Attempts534.61
13.3114Three's Made512.22

Rebounds

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank HOU Defense
12.666Offensive710.53
31.7425Defensive531.47
44.4013Total Rebounds542.00

Other

ATL Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank HOU Defense
29.802Assists121.64
19.2311Fouls1218.56
14.6324Turnovers1713.72
9.941Steals168.28

Overall

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank HOU Offense
119.4627Points Scored20113.08
48.4628Field Goal %2544.97
37.1623Three Point %2334.97
80.3128Free Throw %3073.95
44.3118Total Rebounds149.22

Scoring

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank HOU Offense
119.4627Points Scored20113.08
31.4930First Quarter1328.69
29.4321Second Quarter1528.61
30.5123Third Quarter1528.89
27.009Fourth Quarter2626.47

Shooting

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank HOU Offense
48.4628Field Goal %2544.97
80.3128Free Throw %3073.95
37.1623Three Point %2334.97
37.3713Three's Attempts2036.69
13.8916Three's Made2212.83

Rebounds

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank HOU Offense
10.8311Offensive114.67
33.4919Defensive534.56
44.3118Total Rebounds149.22

Other

ATL Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank HOU Offense
29.2029Assists3022.83
19.0321Fouls1219.28
16.111Turnovers1613.50
8.9723Steals118.39

Head To Head

ATL
Stat Type HOU
6-4
Record
4-6
7-2-1
ATS
2-7-1
5-4-1
O/U
5-4-1
120.50
Points Scored
114.50
66.40
Half Time Score
58.80
47.65%
Field Goal Percentage
44.73%
42.90
Rebounds
47.00
137/371
3 Point Shots
137/411
8.00
Steals
6.80
ATL
Stat Type HOU
2-1
Record
1-2
3-0
ATS
0-3
1-2
O/U
1-2
117.33
Points Scored
113.33
61.33
Half Time Score
54.33
45.90%
Field Goal Percentage
46.64%
41.67
Rebounds
46.33
42/128
3 Point Shots
36/107
7.33
Steals
7.33
Jan 28/25 (1 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type HOU
Home
Away
96
Points Scored
100
+4.5
ATS
-4.5
227.5 o
O/U
227.5 u
50
Half Time Score
49
40.40%
Field Goal Percentage
46.80%
40
Rebounds
44
11/47
3 Point Shots
7/30
11
Steals
12
Feb 10/24 (2 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type HOU
Home
Away
122
Points Scored
113
-7
ATS
+7
241 o
O/U
241 u
57
Half Time Score
49
45.50%
Field Goal Percentage
44.00%
41
Rebounds
58
14/41
3 Point Shots
13/43
7
Steals
6
Dec 20/23 (3 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type HOU
Away
Home
134
Points Scored
127
+2.5
ATS
-2.5
234 o
O/U
234 u
77
Half Time Score
65
51.60%
Field Goal Percentage
49.40%
44
Rebounds
37
17/40
3 Point Shots
16/34
4
Steals
4
Nov 25/22 (4 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type HOU
Away
Home
122
Points Scored
128
-7
ATS
+7
232.5 o
O/U
232.5 u
72
Half Time Score
69
47.60%
Field Goal Percentage
47.10%
28
Rebounds
59
15/39
3 Point Shots
12/35
9
Steals
9
Oct 19/22 (5 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type HOU
Home
Away
117
Points Scored
107
-10
ATS
+10
235 o
O/U
235 u
59
Half Time Score
50
50.00%
Field Goal Percentage
42.90%
38
Rebounds
54
7/25
3 Point Shots
9/35
12
Steals
4
Apr 10/22 (6 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type HOU
Away
Home
130
Points Scored
114
-12
ATS
+12
241.5 o
O/U
241.5 u
73
Half Time Score
59
51.70%
Field Goal Percentage
46.10%
50
Rebounds
34
21/38
3 Point Shots
17/46
4
Steals
4
Dec 13/21 (7 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type HOU
Home
Away
126
Points Scored
132
-10
ATS
+10
227 o
O/U
227 u
69
Half Time Score
58
49.40%
Field Goal Percentage
47.90%
40
Rebounds
45
15/39
3 Point Shots
19/46
9
Steals
8
May 16/21 (8 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type HOU
Home
Away
124
Points Scored
95
-7.5
ATS
+7.5
232 o
O/U
232 u
72
Half Time Score
54
54.40%
Field Goal Percentage
33.70%
56
Rebounds
43
7/21
3 Point Shots
18/63
10
Steals
8
Mar 16/21 (9 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type HOU
Away
Home
119
Points Scored
107
-8.5
ATS
+8.5
225.5 o
O/U
225.5 u
73
Half Time Score
58
51.20%
Field Goal Percentage
47.70%
38
Rebounds
37
17/37
3 Point Shots
13/34
8
Steals
6
Jan 8/20 (10 of 10)
ATL
Stat Type HOU
Home
Away
115
Points Scored
122
+8
ATS
-8
237 o
O/U
237 u
62
Half Time Score
77
36.80%
Field Goal Percentage
42.40%
54
Rebounds
59
13/44
3 Point Shots
13/45
6
Steals
7

Team Records

ATL
Record HOU
35-36
All
46-26
19-17
Home
26-11
16-19
Away
20-15
16-11
As Fav
38-13
19-25
As Dog
8-13
35-36
ATS
39-33
17-19
ATS Home
19-18
18-17
ATS Away
20-15
42-28-1
O/U
37-34-1
23-13
O/U Home
17-19-1
19-15-1
O/U Away
20-15
ATL
Record HOU
7-3
All
9-1
6-2
Home
6-1
1-1
Away
3-0
5-1
As Fav
9-1
2-2
As Dog
0-0
6-4
ATS
6-4
5-3
ATS Home
4-3
1-1
ATS Away
2-1
7-3
O/U
6-4
5-3
O/U Home
5-2
2-0
O/U Away
1-2
ATL
Record HOU
9-4
All
13-3
5-2
Home
8-0
4-2
Away
5-3
7-2
As Fav
11-1
2-2
As Dog
2-2
7-6
ATS
13-3
4-3
ATS Home
7-1
3-3
ATS Away
6-2
7-6
O/U
8-8
4-3
O/U Home
6-2
3-3
O/U Away
2-6
ATL
Record HOU
26-19
All
20-9
14-9
Home
9-5
12-10
Away
11-4
12-8
As Fav
16-5
14-11
As Dog
4-4
25-20
ATS
15-14
11-12
ATS Home
6-8
14-8
ATS Away
9-6
25-19-1
O/U
11-18
13-10
O/U Home
3-11
12-9-1
O/U Away
8-7
ATL
Record HOU
9-17
All
26-17
5-8
Home
17-6
4-9
Away
9-11
4-3
As Fav
22-8
5-14
As Dog
4-9
10-16
ATS
24-19
6-7
ATS Home
13-10
4-9
ATS Away
11-9
17-9
O/U
26-16-1
10-3
O/U Home
14-8-1
7-6
O/U Away
12-8

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Keaton WallaceSGDay-to-Day, Right shoulder AC sprain
Jacob ToppinSFDay-to-Day, Left elbow inflammation
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 23, 2025PHI132-119W-10.5240.50W/O55.1786.3617
Mar 22, 2025GS124-115W+2.5233W/O56.9861.1115
Mar 18, 2025CHR134-102W-8231.50W/O53.7680.0022
Mar 16, 2025BKN114-122L-6.5228L/O46.6779.1711
Mar 14, 2025LAC98-121L+5234.50L/U42.0588.249
Mar 12, 2025CHR123-110W-7.5241.50W/U42.0589.7414
Mar 10, 2025PHI132-123W-9.5228.50L/O54.0878.5715
Mar 8, 2025IND120-118W+1.5242.50W/U46.3995.2410
Mar 6, 2025IND124-118W-2241.50W/O53.1977.7810
Mar 4, 2025MIL121-127L+5244L/O45.5476.4716
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 23, 2025DEN111-116L-7.5224.50L/O43.8264.7111
Mar 21, 2025MIA102-98W-4.5212.50L/U46.4347.6214
Mar 19, 2025ORL116-108W-2.5209W/O46.9190.6211
Mar 17, 2025PHI144-137W-16.5223.50L/O47.6683.3322
Mar 15, 2025CHI117-114W-8.5229.50L/O44.9057.6914
Mar 14, 2025DAL133-96W-11.5220W/O51.4383.3315
Mar 12, 2025PHO111-104W-4.5227W/U45.4576.0012
Mar 10, 2025ORL97-84W-3.5210.50W/U39.3361.1116
Mar 8, 2025NOP146-117W-7228W/O55.5690.4817
Mar 6, 2025NOP109-97W-3.5231.50W/U56.7944.449
View Game Logs
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