NBA Player Props Today: Herro's PRA vs Wizards To Be Limited

The highs and lows of wagering on NBA player props can take its toll on both the mental wellbeing of the bettor, as well as their units and bank accounts. Players can be ruled out at a moment's notice, which we had happen over the weekend with a recent pick, so timing is everything when it comes to when you bet and how much you bet, while also factoring in the likelihood of unforeseen circumstances hurting you in the end. 

Here's a look at four player prop expert picks for your consideration while should be safe to run, including a PRA (-106) for Tyler Herro as the Miami Heat host the visiting Wizards at the Kaseya Center on March 3, 2025.

Tyler Herro UNDER 38.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists vs. Wizards (-106)

Preview: Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat, 7:30 p.m. ET

Fading the league-worst Wizards seems like a tremendous idea in theory, what with their 11-48 overall record and visions of ping pong balls dancing in their heads. However, over the last five games, the fourth-best defense in basketball has belonged to the nation's capital, with the Wizards holding opponent's to just 108.2 points per 100 possessions, albeit against the likes of the Brooklyn Nets, Charlotte Hornets, and 28th-ranked offense of the Orlando Magic.

Still, it's important to give credit where credit is due and give second thought about rolling with an OVER for Herro in the PRA (points + rebounds + assists) department on Monday night in South Beach. His number is set at 38.5, and Herro has reached an UNDER in three of his last four appearances for the Heat and four of his last six. 

Herro registered a line of 15 points, six rebounds, and a single dime versus Washington back in November, but he was in foul trouble for a majority of that game and the roster has undergone dramatic changes since then. Miami ended up winning by 20 points as well, and a similar result could send Herro to the bench while giving reserves more of an opportunity to compete.

Isaiah Hartenstein OVER 11.5 Points vs. Rockets (-112)

Preview: Houston Rockets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder, 8 p.m. ET

Chet Holmgren of the Oklahoma City Thunder is listed as day-to-day with a sprained ankle, but regardless of what his now unknown status ends up being for Monday's home meeting with the Houston Rockets, Isaiah Hartenstein should still be in solid shape to finish with 12 or more points and notch an OVER here.

There have been just three instances in 2024-25 that the 7-footer has scored 19 or more points, and two of them came against Houston. Hartenstein is averaging a double-double of 20 points and 10.5 rebounds versus the Rockets while shooting a ridiculous 75 percent from the field (18-of-24). He's also scored 12 or more points in two of his last three games and three of his last five. 

Oklahoma City is playing on the second night of a back-to-back slate, but Hartenstein didn't exceed 30 minutes in his team's 14-point win on Sunday and should be more than okay here for a decent workload. Rockets All-Star center Alperen Sengun is listed as questionable with a bad back, and his potential absence would deprive the team of perhaps their best option to combat someone of Hartenstein's size.

Desmond Bane OVER 26.5 Points + Rebounds vs. Hawks (-106)

Preview: Atlanta Hawks vs. Memphis Grizzlies, 8 p.m. ET

We got bit in the butt over the weekend after wagering on a Desmond Bane points and rebounds prop versus the San Antonio Spurs, only for the Memphis Grizzlies guard to be ruled out an hour prior to tipoff due to a hip injury. Bane has since been removed from the team's injury report, though, as it sounds like his ailment isn't bad enough for him to sit consecutive games.

Oddsmakers have his combination prop set at the exact same number at 26.5 with shorter odds than Saturday (-114), and the logic still remains. Bane has reached an OVER on this number in his last two outings and six of his last eight, averaging 19.8 points and 6.9 rebounds during that stretch.

The Atlanta Hawks rank 27th in the Association in defense over the last five games by allowing 119.9 points per 100 possessions while also giving up the second-most rebounds to opposing shooting guards this season. It's just as good of a matchup on paper than the one we all had taken off the table against the Spurs with greater value at -106, so just as long as Memphis doesn't remove Bane from the equation once again, which seems unlikely for now, this bet is likely to hit.

Toumani Camara OVER 17.5 Points + Rebounds vs. 76ers (-114)

Preview: Portland Trail Blazers vs. Philadelphia 76ers, 7 p.m. ET

Toumani Camara isn't a household name by any stretch, but he's an invaluable part of what the Portland Trail Blazers are trying to create in Rip City despite not being much of an offensive threat most nights. He's actually tied for the team lead in minutes per game at 32.6 despite only ranking seventh in scoring at 10.7. 

That's not to suggest he's not capable of scoring, which he'll need to do against the Philadelphia 76ers as his scoring and rebounding combination prop is listed at 17.5. Camara has scored exactly 19 points in each of his last two games, and that number alone would be enough for an OVER while not even taking into account that he's averaged four boards in those outings. 

Over his last six games, Camara has only gone UNDER on two occasions, but did come awfully close to an OVER both times by finishing at 16. Philadelphia is giving up an average of 119 points over its last four games (24th) and 47 rebounds over its last eight (24th), which certainly helps Camara's cause.

NBA Best Player Prop Trends Today

Thunder -9.5 vs Rockets (-110 at FanDuel)

The Thunder have been a force, covering the spread in over 73% of their last 19 home games, and they’re primed to dominate again tonight.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is playing at an MVP level, averaging an NBA-best 32.3 PPG, while Jalen Williams is proving to be a reliable second star after dropping 41 on the Spurs. Meanwhile, the Rockets are struggling to find consistency, with Fred VanVleet looking rusty in his return from injury during their recent blowout loss to the Kings.

Back the Thunder to cover the -9.5 spread as they continue to roll at home and overwhelm an inferior Rockets squad.

- Ethan Diamandas