Here are three bonus NBA player prop expert picks coming off a 2-1 finish (one bet voided) on Friday for the eight-game slate on Saturday night, including a combination prop for Indiana Pacers forward Pascal Siakam (-104) on the road against the Milwaukee Bucks on March 15, 2025.
Pascal Siakam OVER 28.5 Points + Rebounds vs. Bucks (-104 at Sportsbook)
Preview: Indiana Pacers vs. Milwaukee Bucks, 8 p.m. ET
An argument can be made that the Indiana Pacers are Pascal Siakam's team, despite Tyrese Haliburton also being a major focal point. It's not necessarily a stretch to think this way since Siakam is first on the team in scoring (20.9 points) and rebounds (7.2), and with Haliburton being more of a traditional point guard, the latter is likely more than content having the lead role served by someone else.
This matchup with the Milwaukee Bucks marks the second time this week that Indiana has encountered its Central rival, with Siakam notching a double-double of 25 points and 12 rebounds on March 11 in a narrow one-point win for the Pacers following a late four-point play by Haliburton. Similar numbers by Siakam on Saturday would easily reach an OVER on the combination prop of 28.5 points and rebounds set by oddsmakers.
The three-time All-Star and former champion has exceeded that number in four of his last five games for the Pacers. Siakam also had 25 points and eight boards back on Nov. 22 the last time Indiana hit the hardwood at Fiserv Forum, as well. The Pacers are playing on the second night of a back to back, mind you, but Siakam's March 11 box score versus Milwaukee came on no rest.
O.G. Anunoby OVER 2.5 Made 3-Pointers vs. Warriors (+106 at Sportsbook)
Preview: New York Knicks vs. Golden State Warriors, 8:30 p.m. ET
The last time the New York Knicks took on the new-look Golden State Warriors on March 4, despite it being a losing effort for New York, it was O.G. Anunoby leading the charge offensively with 29 points on 11-of-19 shooting with All-Star guard Jalen Brunson in the lineup at the time contributing 25 points of his own. Anunoby also converted four 3-pointers on nine attempts that day, and that's the number we're banking on just under two weeks later on Saturday at the Chase Center.
The 27-year-old wing has gone OVER 2.5 triples in each of his last two appearances for the Knicks and six of his last seven, as well. Anunoby has a greater shooting efficiency from the perimeter when competing away from Madison Square Garden (37.6 percent) than he does at home (35.6), and his usage has also jumped to 22.2 from his season rate of 18.3 sans Brunson over the last three games.
Since bringing aboard Jimmy Butler, Golden State has been rather adept at defending the 3-point line, ranking 10th in opponent's 3-pointers made and fifth in attempts, but just 18th in efficiency. Nearly half of Anunoby's 19 shot attempts in the last meeting with the Warriors emanated from behind the arc, and a similar output will increase the likelihood of at least three shots falling through the mesh.
Trey Murphy III OVER 20.5 Points vs. Spurs (-112 at Sportsbook)
Preview: New Orleans Pelicans vs. San Antonio Spurs, 8:30 p.m. ET
Needing to close out the campaign without both Victor Wembanyama (deep vein thrombosis) and De'Aaron Fox (finger) has essentially short-circuited the San Antonio Spurs on both ends, and last night's performance versus the Charlotte Hornets was another telltale sign of how rough these final weeks may get. Charlotte ranks 29th in the Association in offense, but managed to score 145 points in regulation in an 11-point road win over the Spurs, which makes taking a scoring prop for essentially anyone on the visiting New Orleans Pelicans on Saturday all the more enticing.
Trey Murphy III is the talent of choice here, as he'll need 21 points at the Frost Bank Center to go OVER on this prop at the Frost Bank Center. He's done exactly in three of his last five games and two of his last three against San Antonio in 2024-25, including a 24-point line in 36 minutes on Feb. 25.
The Spurs have far and away the worst defense in basketball since the All-Star break giving up 124.3 points per 100 possessions, which is 2.3 more points than any other team. That just so happens to coincide with Wembanyama being deemed unable to play, so look for Murphy III and anyone else donning Pelicans colors to exploit that.
