No. 2 Alabama is in position to get a rematch against LSU in the BCS National Championship Game, but first they’ll have to survive their Iron Bowl matchup on the road against the Auburn Tigers.
While the Crimson Tide are a heavy favorite this Saturday, the Iron Bowl has not treated them well in the past; Auburn is 7-2 SU and 6-3 ATS in their last nine games against Alabama.
In last week’s tune-up against Georgia Southern, Trent Richardson rushed for 175 yards and three touchdowns, continuing to make his case for the Heisman Trophy.
This season the Tigers are 7-4 overall and 4-7 ATS against the number, while the Crimson Tide are 10-1 and 7-4 ATS. As for the totals, Auburn is 5-6 on the OU, and Alabama is 5-6. [ Bet the Iron Bowl now at Sportsbook ]
View Alabama vs Auburn Odds and Stats.
Betting Line: Auburn opened as 21.5-point underdogs. The total was set at 46.5 with the best under value at Sportsbook.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The game pits the Tigers, currently No. 77 in our OddsShark NCAAF Power Rankings, against the Crimson Tide, who rate No. 1 in the latest survey. Meanwhile, math and handicapping models run on this game predict a 51-21 victory for the Crimson Tide.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Auburn's No. 78-ranked offense (25.2 PPG) against a Crimson Tide defense that ranks No. 1 at 8.4 PPG. The Tigers passing attack has averaged 161.7 yards per game, more than the Crimson Tide give up through the air (121.3 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Crimson Tide feature the league's No. 1-rated road run defense, allowing 40.5 yards per game. Auburn, meanwhile, ranks No. 45 in rushing offense at home.
Alabama won its last outing, a 45-21 result against Ga Southern on November 19. Alabama failed to cover in that game as a 42.5-point favorite, while the 66 combined points took the game OVER the total.
Auburn was a 35-16 Sportsbook in their most recent outing at home against Samford. They failed to cover the 30.5–point spread as favorites, while the total score (51) made Sportsbooks of UNDER bettors.
Alabama Crimson Tide Trends:
When playing in November are 7-3
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the conference are 7-3
Auburn Tigers Trends:
When playing in November are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 7-3
A few Crimson Tide at Tigers trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Alabama's last 5 games when playing Auburn
Alabama is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Alabama is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 5 games when playing Alabama
Auburn is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Auburn is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Alabama
