49ers vs Dolphins Week 16

49ers vs Dolphins Odds & Picks Week 16: Back the Resurgent Dolphins At Home

The San Francisco 49ers and Miami Dolphins square off in Week 16 NFL action. These teams know each other intimately well, as Dolphins head coach Mike McDaniel has been a long time assistant in the Shanahan coaching tree. This is an intriguing matchup between two teams headed in opposite directions. Take a peek at all the 49ers vs Dolphins odds and my best bets for Sunday's showdown below. 

49ers vs Dolphins Odds Week 6

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins, December 22nd, 4:25 pm ET

 49ers vs Dolphins Odds
TeamSpreadMoneylineTotal
San Francisco 49ers+1.5 (-110)+104O 45.5 (-118)
Miami Dolphins-1.5 (-110)-122U 45.5 (-104)


49ers vs Dolphins Week 16 Picks

Miami -1.5

Fans of both the 49ers and Dolphins would have been hoping for far more to be at stake in this intriguing Week 16 matchup. Unfortunately, with both sitting at 6-8 there's very little to play for. 

The 49ers have lost four of their past five, with injuries piling up across the board. Trent Williams and Christian McCaffrey will both miss this game, and with Brandon Aiyuk also on injured reserve the once vaunted 49ers offense has stalled. They're still moving the football (fifth in yards per play), but have failed to convert their chances this season, ranking 15th in points per game (22.4). 

On the flip side, the Dolphins have also failed to launch, and are averaging just 19.7 points per game. However, Miami's defense is a top-10 unit against the run. Additionally, the Dolphins are in the top-12 in the NFL in both offensive and defensive EPA per play across the past four weeks. Plus, they've won four of their last six games. 

Moreover, the Dolphins still have a very slim chance at making the playoffs should they win out. Kyle Shanahan's 49ers seem to be simply playing out a lost season. Back the Dolphins at home with the 1.5-point spread in Week 16.

49ers vs Dolphins Week 16 Props

Dolphins Team Total Over 22.5 -128

Miami has surpassed this number in six of their last eight games. There's no reason to believe that changes against a 49ers squad that has been mediocre against the pass the last four weeks and struggled against the run. 

Expect Miami put up some points against a porous 49ers defense. 

49ers vs Dolphins Week 16 Betting Trends

  • San Francisco is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games
  • San Francisco is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road
  • Miami is 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games
  • The over hit in 5 of the Miami Dolphins last 5 games at home
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