Broncos Vs Ravens Odds & Picks Week 9: Bo Nix Is Good?

The Baltimore Ravens just lost in tragic fashion to the lowly Browns, but sportsbooks still have them as 8.5-point home favorites over the Broncos for Week 9.

Coming off Bo Nix's best game in the NFL, the Broncos are still sizeable +360 underdogs in this one. But, my attention is more on the point total. I think the Broncos and Ravens' offenses can take us well OVER this 44.5 point total.

Check out all my picks for Broncos vs Ravens in Week 9:

Broncos vs Ravens Odds Week 9

Denver Broncos vs Baltimore Ravens, Nov. 3, 1:00 pm ET

As of October 28th at FanDuel

Broncos vs Ravens Picks Week 9

OVER 44.5 (-105)

We all know how good the Ravens' offense is. They're averaging 30.3 points per game (most in the AFC) and have scored at least 20 points every game this year. But, this Broncos attack is a lot better than people think, too.

Bo Nix and random running backs may not be a sexy recipe, but it's working for Denver lately. The Broncos have averaged 27.8 points per game in the last four weeks, scoring 28 or more three times. Facing a Ravens defense that's currently bottom-10 in points against, I think Nix and the Broncos can do it again.

The Ravens' games have gone OVER this 44.5 point total every contest this year, all eight. I don't think Denver's attack is 'bad' enough to snap this streak.

The only concern I have here is matchup history. The Broncos and Ravens have gone UNDER 44.5 points in each of the last four meetings.

Broncos vs Ravens Prop Pick

Adam Trautman OVER Receiving Yards

I haven't been able to nail down an exact line on this Trautman prop yet, but I'm pretty confident I'll be taking the OVER.

I've been inclined to bet on tight ends against the Ravens basically all season. They've been funnelling the opposing passing game to TEs all year, allowing the most yards to the position (604) in the league. Last week, they let up 61 yards to David Njoku and the week before it was 100 for Cade Otton — not elite tight ends by any means.

After a pretty quiet season, Trautman popped off for a career-best game last week, catching four passes for 85 yards and a touchdown. I don't expect Trautman to put up those kinds of numbers this week, but against a bad TE defense in Baltimore he can still have a productive day.

Broncos vs Ravens Betting Trends

• The Ravens are 8-4 in their last 12 home games
• Derrick Henry has gone OVER 90.5 rushing yards in five of his last six games
• The Broncos are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against bottom-five scoring defenses
• The UNDER has hit in nine of the Broncos' last 13 as underdogs

These betting trends are courtesy of Outlier's NFL Insights: