Two slumbering AFC teams meet on the gridiron in Week 17 of the NFL season as the Miami Dolphins take on the Cleveland Browns. Fresh off a tough victory over the San Francisco 49ers, Tua Tagoivaloa and the Dolphins will be looking to create some momentum for 2025. While the Browns and young starter Dorian Thompson-Robinson are also playing for pride. So who takes home this Dolphins vs Browns matchup? Find all the odds and analysis below.
Dolphins vs Browns Odds Week 17
Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns, December 29th, 4:05 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Miami Dolphins | -6.5 (-110) | -295 | O 40.5 (-105) |
| Cleveland Browns | +6.5 (-110) | +240 | U 40.5 (-115) |
Dolphins vs Browns Week 17 Picks
Dolphins -6.5
Despite their struggles this season, Miami's defense has performed admirably. The Fins sit in the top 10 in points and yards allowed per game, while ranking fourth in opponent redzone touchdown percentage (48.9%). Plus, Miami sits12th in EPA per play allowed over the last six weeks.
Unfortunately, Mike MacDonald's once explosive offense has been grounded this season. The Dolphins employ the speed and skill of Tyreek Hill, De'Von Achane, Jaylen Waddle and Jonnu Smith, but have mustered just 20.3 points per game. They're also 26th in points per play at (0.319). Now, some of that is due to Tua's concussion which forced him to miss four games. Had their starting quarterback remained healthy, Miami would likely be fighting for a playoff spot.
Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski has stated that he plays to start Thompson-Robinson against the Dolphins in Week 17. If that's the case, Miami is a auto-bet at as an under a touchdown on the spread. Cleveland has scored just 27 total points over the past three weeks, with their once vaunted defense unable to make up for their offensive shortcomings.
Be aware, the Dolphins are 9-3 in their last 12 games versus bottom 10 scoring defenses.
Dolphins vs Browns Week 17 Props
Dolphins vs Browns Week 17 props have yet to be released. However, I like the idea of targeting Jaylen Waddle's props against a Cleveland defense that's allowed an average of 10 catches for 165 yards to wide receivers over the past six weeks. With Denzel Ward likely trailing Tyreek Hill, Waddle will have plenty of room to roam.
Dolphins vs Browns Week 17 Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
- The Miami Dolphins are 9-3 (75.0%) in their last 12 games vs. bottom 10 scoring defenses
- Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games
- Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games at home
