NFL Week 12 wraps up tonight with a Monday Night Football matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and the Los Angeles Chargers.
The Ravens are three-point favorites at BetMGM. Bettors seem to like Baltimore at that number, as 75% of the handle is on the Ravens to cover, with 65% of the handle on Baltimore ML (-150) per BetMGM's data.
For prop bets, we've got a good mix of action quarterbacks, like Justin Herbert's passing yards and Lamar Jackson's rushing yards, plus plenty of anytime touchdown action on Derrick Henry.
Below, I'll highlight where the betting action is for the Week 12 Monday Night Football game and what we can learn from the handle:
Ravens vs Chargers Betting Handle
Ravens vs Chargers, Nov. 25th, 8:15 pm ET
| Team | Spread | % Bets | % Handle | Total | % Bets | % Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Ravens | -2.5 | 67% | 75% | O50.5 | 44% | 43% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | +2.5 | 33% | 25% | U50.5 | 56% | 57% |
Betting Handle per BetMGM
I'm surprised the UNDER 50.5 points has received the most action at BetMGM, as you'd expect these two quarterbacks to put on a primetime show. Our NFL expert Mitch Bannon laid out his Ravens vs Chargers picks, and he is a champion of the OVER 50.5 points on MNF.
The Ravens offense has been a scoring machine this year, averaging 30.4 points per game, while six of Baltimore's last seven contests have gone OVER 50 points. As Mitch notes, both the Chargers and Ravens boast strong rushing defense, which could lead us to a shootout through the air.
Are the Ravens a Lock?
It hasn't been an easy season for Ravens spread bettors, as Baltimore enters Week 12 with a 5-5-1 ATS record. In that context, it might seem strange that 75% of the handle at BetMGM is on the Ravens, but hold on a minute. While Baltimore hasn't covered the big numbers, Jackson's Ravens are 3-0 when favored with a spread of three points or fewer.
As an additional note, we can see there is very little sharp action on the underdog Chargers. If that were the case, we'd see a higher handle percentage. For now, BetMGM's data suggests the smart money is on the Ravens.
If you're not interested in game picks for tonight's Ravens vs Chargers MNF contest, BetMGM has also provided us the most bet on Ravens vs Chargers player props, in terms of number of tickets:
Five Most Bet Ravens vs Chargers Player Props
- Justin Herbert OVER 255.5 passing yards (-115)
- Will Dissly UNDER 41.5 receiving yards (+100)
- Lamar Jackson OVER 42.5 rushing yards (-120)
- Justin Herbert UNDER 0.5 interception (+110)
- Isaiah Likely OVER 2.5 receptions (+105)
I love the action on Jackson's rushing yards. Lamar has cashed this OVER in six of 10 games this season, and the Chargers defense has let three consecutive quarterbacks (and four of the last five QBs) blow past their rushing total. BetMGM notes that 99% of the action on this prop is on the OVER.
Naturally, Herbert's OVER passing yards is the most-bet prop. He's been on fire lately, and the Ravens are the worst pass defense in football, yielding 284.5 passing yards per game this year. That number increases to 311.8 YPG on the road, strengthening Herbert's case.
Five most Bet Ravens vs Chargers Players for Anytime TD
- Derrick Henry -350
- Zay Flowers +155
- Lamar Jackson +190
- Quentin Johnston +190
- Mark Andrews +175
Five Most Bet Ravens vs Chargers Players For First TD
- Derrick Henry +310
- Lamar Jackson +1000
- J.K. Dobbins +550
- Zay Flowers +1100
- Ladd McConkey +1200
It's easy to forecast a Henry touchdown, but it's not worthwhile at -350 odds. Instead, I like some of the other popular picks down the board, like J.K. Dobbins to score the first touchdown at +550.
Also, Quentin Johnson to score at +190 looks like a good pick. I'm surprised more bettors aren't on that prop. Johnson has found the end zone in three straight games and five out of eight this season. Meanwhile, the Ravens' defense has been struggling, giving up two touchdown passes per game, the second-worst mark in the NFL.
