NFL Week 16 wraps up on Monday Night Football, with a game between the Green Bay Packers and the New Orleans Saints.
The Packers are massive 14-point favorites at BetMGM. Bettors still love Green Bay at that number, as 71% of the money is on the Packers to cover, per BetMGM's data. Big bets are also coming in on the 42.5 total points, where the OVER commands 79% of the money.
Running back Kendre Miller is drawing tons of prop attention. The Saints rusher's OVER total yards is the most bet-on prop for this contest.
Below, I'll highlight where the betting action is for the Week 16 Monday Night Football games and what we can learn from the Saints vs Packers betting handle:
Saints vs Packers Betting Handle
Saints vs Packers, Dec. 23, 8:15 pm ET
| Team | Spread | % Bets | % Handle | Total | % Bets | % Handle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans Saints | +14 | 35% | 29% | O42.5 | 75% | 79% |
| Green Bay Packers | -14 | 65% | 71% | U42.5 | 25% | 21% |
Betting Handle per BetMGM
Our Expert Likes Packers to cover massive spread
The Packers are clearly the better squad. This MNF contest comes down to whether bettors are willing to lay a massive 14-point spread. Our NFL expert Nick Holz thinks the risk is worth it, though he hopped on the pick at Packers -13.5, as the Green Bay offense is firing on all cylinders.
Green Bay has won three of its last four games, scoring over 30 points in each, while Jordan Love has racked up 872 passing yards, seven touchdowns, and no turnovers. Meanwhile, the Saints rank 30th in opponent yards per game and will start rookie Spencer Rattler, who has completed just 43% of his passes under pressure. With the Packers’ defense totaling 40 sacks this season, expect them to dominate and cover the spread.
If you're not interested in game picks for tonight's Saints vs Packers MNF contests, BetMGM has also provided us the most bet on Saints vs Packers player props:
Five Most Bet Saints vs packers Player Props
- Kendre Miller over 52.5 rushing yards (-110)
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling over 30.5 receiving yards (-120)
- Josh Jacobs over 88.5 rushing yards (-120)
- Kendre Miller under 2.5 receptions made (-105)
- Foster Moreau over 19.5 receiving yards (-120)
I understand the hype around Miller and his extended workload with Alvin Kamara out of action, but I'm fading the public in this instance. The UNDER on Miller's yards is far more enticing to me, as there are too many red flags to back him this week. The Packers’ defense has been excellent against the run, allowing just 87.8 rushing yards per game to running backs and holding every starter under their yardage props since Week 11.
Five most Bet Saints vs Packers Players for Anytime TD
- Josh Jacobs -275
- GB D/ST +400
- Kendre Miller +175
- Jamaal Watson +600
- Tucker Kraft -125
Five Most Bet Saints vs Packers Players For First TD
- Josh Jacobs +275
- Jayden Reed +800
- Tucker Kraft +900
- Romeo Doubs +850
- Christian Watson +900
I love Josh Jacobs on the first TD score. He's obviously too chalked on anytime TD for anything more than a parlay, but the value shines bright in the first TD market. The Packers RB has scored in five straight contests and faces a Saints defense that allows 1.08 touchdowns per game to running backs. It's a matter of if, not when, for Jacobs Monday, so make your bets wisely.
