Ravens vs Bills Divisional Odds & Picks: Are Bills About To Flop?

The Bills are the NFL's darling this season, but they're not the favorites in the Division Round. The Ravens are slight 1-point road favs right now for this fun contest, with lines from Sportsbook.

We've already seen plenty of movement in these lines, as the Bills opened at -1 and we've since seen things move to Baltimore. The Ravens are 1.5-point favorites at some places already, too.

I've got full picks for the Ravens vs Bills odds below:

Ravens vs Bills Divisional Round Odds

Ravens vs Bills, January 19th, 6:30 pm ET

Odds as of January 12 at Sportsbook 

Ravens vs Bills Divisional Round Picks

Ravens Moneyline -120 at Sportsbook 

Let’s not overthink this one. We’ve seen this matchup already this year, and Lamar Jackson and the Ravens stomped the Bills to a 35-10 win in Week 4. Arguably, the Ravens are an even better team now than they were back then, too.

The Ravens had the best rushing defense in football this year, allowing just 77.2 rushing yards per contest. Their ‘weakness’ was the secondary, but after moving Kyle Hamilton deeper and shifting Marlon Humphrey into a slot role that unit has gone from worst to elite. In the last three weeks, Baltimore has allowed just 192.7 passing yards per game, what would be the fourth-best mark in the league.

This Baltimore squad is battle tested, posting a 8-3 mark against playoff teams this year. Even after last week’s win over the Broncos, the Bills are still just 3-3 against teams that made the postseason. This could get ugly for the Bills once again.

Ravens vs Bills Divisional Round Props

Justice Hill OVER 18.5 Receiving Yards (-105) at Sportsbook 

All the shine is on Derrick Henry when it comes to Ravens running backs, but don’t forget about Justice Hill. The Baltimore RB2 is key in the passing game, seeing at least four receptions in three of his last four games — averaging 22.3 rushing yards per game in that stretch.

He’s gone OVER 18.5 receiving yards seven times this year, including torching the Bills for 78 air yards back in September. RBs getting receiving yards was a trend against Buffalo this year, as the Bills allowed more receiving yards to the position (750) than any other team this year. I expect Baltimore to game plan dump offs to Hill often in this game. 

Ravens vs Bills Divisional Round Betting Trends

• The OVER has hit in the Bills' last 16 games as favorites
• The Ravens are 9-3 against the spread in their last 12 road games
• The Bills are 18-3 in their last 21 as favorites
• Derrick Henry has a touchdown in 15 of his last 19 games (He's -137 to score a TD in this game at Sportsbook)