Ravens vs Bills is rightfully the most hyped game of the NFL playoffs' Divisional Round. We've got two MVP candidates and two of the most complete teams in football going at it.
You can check out my overall game picks for the Ravens vs Bills, but on this page, I've got my top three player props for the AFC postseason battle:
Prop #1: Justice Hill Anytime TD (+500) at Sportsbook
The Bills were the worst defense in football against receiving running backs this year and that's Justice Hill's primary role in this Ravens offense. Buffalo let up 750 receiving yards to running backs on the year and 16 total touchdowns to the position (12th-most).
Hill had touchdowns in two of Baltimore's last three games on the season and scored one of his five TDs on the year in a Week 4 contest against these Bills.
Given Buffalo's clear weakness, I also like Hill's receptions OVER (2.5) and rec yards OVER (19.5), with both lines from Sportsbook
Prop #2: Derrick Henry OVER 94.5 Rushing Yards (-114) Sportsbook
The last time the Ravens played a crucial playoff game, they entirely abandoned the run game. That won't be the case this week against the Bills. Derrick Henry has been the drumbeat of Baltimore's offense the last few weeks, rushing for over 135 yards in each of the last four games. He's broken this 94.5-yard rushing line in 10 of his 18 games played this season. When he faced the Bills in Week 4, Henry posted his season-high with 199 yards.
I don’t know who needs this today, but here’s Derrick Henry’s 87-yard touchdown run from the Ravens’ first play against the Bills!
— Nic Mason (@British_Raven19) November 23, 2024
When you feed Derrick Henry the football, good things happen! #RavensFlock pic.twitter.com/1YLBheGzqO
I also think the weather report will favor Henry in this game. We're expecting below-freezing temperatures and some snow on Sunday, so both sides will lean to the run in this contest — that, obviously, bodes well for Henry's workload.
prop #3: Dalton Kincaid OVER 30.5 Rec Yards (-114) at Sportsbook
If the Ravens had a defensive weakness this year, it was defending the tight end. They allowed the ninth-most yards to the position this season, allowing an average of 57 yards per contest to TEs.
In a Week 4 contest against the Ravens this year, Kincaid had one of his best games of the season, catching five passes on seven targets for 47 yards.
