The Houston Texans opened up as a -5.5 point favorite over the Jacksonville Jaguars in a week 13 contest. The Over/Under total was set at 42.5. The line moved down a hook to -5 at bet365 the Over/Under total ticked up a half point to 43.
We do have some recent history for this matchup from earlier this season. The Texans (-5.5) hosted the Jaguars and posted a 24-20 victory with the Jags covered the spread. The total was listed at 44.5 and depending on where you shopped, was either a push or went UNDER by the hook.
Looking ahead, the Texans finally get to kick back and enjoy their bye week, while the Jaguars motor up to Nashville for an AFC South battle against the Titans.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Odds Week 13
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars, Dec. 1, 1:00 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Texans | -5 (-110) | -225 | O43 (-110) |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | +5 (-110) | +185 | U43 (-110) |
Odds as of Nov. 26 at bet365
Texans vs Jaguars Pick Week 13
Houston -5 (-110) at bet365
After a disastrous 52-6 blowout at the hands of the Lions, the Jaguars took a week off. The big surprise is that they are letting them back into the league and on TV. Granted we're talking about the best team in the NFC at the moment, but still, the numbers were awful. New England reject Mac Jones stepped into the starting role after Trevor Lawrence sustained an AC joint sprain in his left shoulder. Jones went 14 for 22 in his first start against the Vikings, for 111 yards, with NO TDs and 2 INTs.
Last week against Detroit, Mac was just 17 of 29 for 138 yards with NO TDs and 1 INT. So, two starts, THREE INTs. One of the issues for Jones is the lack of a running game. Travis Etienne was held to 27 yards by the Lions and squeezed out just 44 against Minny.
Of course Detroit is the cream of the NFL crop and Jared Goff is having a moment, but the numbers he put on the board against the Jacksonville defense were staggering. Goff hit on 24 of 29 for 412 yards, with 4 TDs and zero INTs. Not putting C.J. Stroud in that elite class just yet, but man, Jax has some Swiss cheese size holes in the secondary. And if Stroud remembers what he did in the first half of the season when Houston roared out of the gate with a 6-2 record, it should be a great afternoon in Northern Florida.
During that 6-2 run, C.J. threw 11 TDs and was intercepted just 4 times. In the last four games, Stroud has only 3 TDs with 5 INTs. Banking on the early season C.J. to get back on track.
Not sure why, but Houston has been CRAZY good against the Jaguars in Jacksonville over the last six years. And we have numbers to back it up. Starting back in 2018, the Texans (+3) posted a 20-7 win at Jax. In 2019, the game was played in London, and Houston (+1) ripped it up with a 26-3 W. In 2020, the Texans (-6.5) picked up a 27-25 win, in 2021, the Texans (+6) rolled to an easy 30-16 victory, in 2022, the Texans (+7) won and covered as a dog, 13-6, and last season, the Texans (+7.5) rocked the party with 37-17 W.
Taking a quick look at the plus/minus ratings, points scored vs. points allowed, we can tell you that the Jaguars are sitting at the bottom of the AFC with an UGLY -108 point differential. That's 208 points scored and 316 allowed. OUCH!
In the first game at Houston, Stroud had a day, hitting on 27 of 40 for 345 yards with 2 TDs and 0 INTs. Even with his recent issues, the Texans are still sitting comfortably on top of the AFC South and another win would move 'em closer to the division crown. Looking for Houston to put the knife into Mac and the Jags with an easy win and cover.
Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Trends
- The Texans are on a 6-0 straight up run on the road against Jacksonville.
- The Jaguars have covered only three of the last 16 games straight up.
- The Jaguars have gone OVER in six of the last seven games.
