Betting on Week 18 NFL player incentives is a profitable strategy that includes tracking potential paydays for athletes and capitalizing. As the NFL season hits its final week, there's lots on the line, for playoff-bound teams or those fighting for seeding and individual players chasing performance bonuses. From wideouts gunning for yardage milestones, to pass-rushers chasing sack incentives, Week 18 offers bettors a chance to pick out motivated players and leverage their goals in sharp prop bets.
Let's break down the top incentive-drive players and how to bet on their success this week.
Best Week 18 Player Incentive Bets
Last year's piece saw those who tailed my picks cash big with Week 18 NFL player incentives! We hit on a ton of bets including: Chris Jones sack -130, Green Bay ML -166, Jordan Love Over 1.5 passing touchdowns -160, and over 248.5 passing yards -115, DeAndre Hopkins over 6.5 receptions -105, Josh Reynolds over 26.5 receiving yards -115, Jadeveon Clowney sack -155.
Be sure to check out Outlier for more NFL player prop insights:
Let's find some more winners.
Mike Evans Catches
Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans is one of the most consistent pass catchers in NFL history. He'll want to continue his streak of nine straight 1,000 receiving yardage seasons to begin his career. To do so, Evans needs to collect 85 yards, on at least five receptions to receive his $3M incentive.
Age 30, and he is still getting separation like he is straight out of college
— Bentley Sports Opinions 🐊🏴☠️🪄🇺🇲 (@BentleyTampa2) December 26, 2024
Put some fucking respect on the 🐐 Mike Evans pic.twitter.com/NUwkpazT8O
I'll back Evans against a brutal Saints secondary, in a game that Tampa Bay needs to win.
Mike Evans Week 18 Player Incentive Bets: 5+ receptions, 85+ receiving yards
Geno Smith Passing
Seattle Seahawks passer Geno Smith has an opportunity to collect a cool $6 million in incentives this week. Ryan Grubb's pass-happy attack is about to benefit Smith's wallet. The former West Virginia star needs just 186 passing yards to surpass this career high in yardage and collect $2 million. He also needs to keep his completion percentage above his previous career high of 69.75, and for the Seahawks to win their 10th game to collect a further $2 million.
I'm willing to wager on all three as the Seahawks play out the season in a meaningless game against the Los Angeles Rams.
Geno Smith Week 18 Player Incentive Bets: OVER Passing Yards, Seahawks ML -250
Tony Pollard Rushing
Tennessee Titans rusher Tony Pollard has been banged up for long portions of the 2024 season. The former Cowboys back has missed time with various foot and ankle maladies but has a chance to cash in this Sunday.
Pollard needs to rush for 83 yards to hit 1,100 rushing yards and collect $250,000. If he's healthy enough to play, Pollard is a great bet to hit his OVER rushing yardage prop. He also needs two touchdowns for another $200,000.
Tony Pollard Week 18 Player Incentive Bet: OVER rushing yards, Two touchdowns
JK Dobbins Rushing Yards
Los Angeles Chargers running back JK Dobbins has revitalized his career this season. In his first year under Jim Harbaugh, Dobbins has churned out 842 yards on 4.8 yards per carry.
JK DOBBINS. GO-AHEAD TD WITH 18 SECONDS LEFT.
— NFL (@NFL) November 18, 2024
📺: #CINvsLAC on NBC/Peacock
📱: Stream on #NFLPlus pic.twitter.com/ou4r33q38K
The former Ravens back requires just 58 more yards to hit 900 for the year and earn a $150,000 payout. Bet on Dobbins to hit his Week 18 incentive against a brutal Raiders defense with nothing left to play for. Dobbins rushing yards make a great leg for those Week 18 same-game parlays.
JK Dobbins Week 18 Player Incentive Bet: 50+ rushing yards, 60+ rushing yards
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Touchdowns
New Orleans Saints receiver Marquez Valdes-Scantling has had a whirlwind year. From winning back-to-back Super Bowls with the Chiefs to getting released by the Bills earlier this year, and finding a soft landing in New Orleans, Valdes-Scantling has made the most of his opportunities.
He's hauled in four touchdowns on just 14 receptions and needs one more to earn a $250,000 incentize. Expect Klint Kubiak to dial up a few deep shots in MVS in what should be a high scoring game versus the Buccaneers in Week 18.
MVS Week 18 Player Incentive Bet: To score a touchdown
Brock Bowers & Malik Nabers Receptions
Both Raiders tight end Brock Bowers and Giants wide receiver Malik Nabers have pieced together fantastic seasons. Despite playing for two awful franchises, the former SEC stars have shone in their NFL debuts. In Week 18, they'll battle it out for the rookie reception record, with Bowers ahead at 108 to Nabers 104.
Neither team has anything to play for. But, the Raiders can spoil Los Angeles quest for the sixth seed. Both squads will want their rookie to make headlines in otherwise moribund seasons'. So, we can capitalize by backing both Brock Bowers and Malik Nabers to go OVER their receptions props on Sunday.
Week 18 Player Incentive Bets: Brock Bowers OVER receptions, Malik Nabers OVER receptions
Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
A win in Week 18 sends the Denver Broncos to the playoffs. So why not back Bo Nix' top target to have a game against Kansas City's backup defensive backs.
Courtland Sutton needs 82 receiving yards to hit 1065 on the season and collect a $500,000 bonus cheque. You can bet he'll be in the ear of both his offensive coordinator, and Nix to get him the ball on Sunday. Suttons' reeled in five receptions in back-to-back games, bet on number 14 to have a big game in Week 18.
Courtland Sutton Week 18 Player Incentive Bet: OVER receptions, 90+ receiving yards
