Bitter Atlantic division rivals faceoff tonight at Scotiabank Arena with the Toronto Maple Leafs taking on the Boston Bruins. BET99 is making the Leafs -130 home favorites but I'm going to put my money on the road team with Boston at +110.
The Bruins are undefeated in their last eight games against the Leafs and Boston's previously shaky goaltending is waking up with back-to-back shutouts.
See our same-game parlay for tonight with +525 odds for the total to go UNDER and for Pastrnak and Nylander to go OVER their point and shot props, respectively.
Bruins vs Maple Leafs Odds Tonight
Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs, November 5, 7:00 pm ET
| Teams | Puckline | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Bruins | +1.5 (-240) | +110 | O5.5 (-105) |
| Toronto Maple Leafs | -1.5 (+195) | -130 | U5.5 (-115) |
Odds as of November 5 at BET99
Bruins vs Maple Leafs Picks Tonight
Boston Bruins ML (+110) at BET99
Boston comes into this contest with back-to-back wins thanks to goalie duo Joonas Korpisalo and Jeremy Swayman stopping all 43 shots they faced. Boston's goaltending had previously held the seventh-worst save percentage in all situations at 0.878%, a bounceback was due. Boston's goalies bouncing back is a scary sign for the Leafs who hold the seventh-worst shooting percentage. Justin Brazeau has scored in both of Boston's recent wins, you can get a Brazeau anytime goal at a juicy +350 tonight from BET99.
Toronto starts a four-game home stand tonight but hasn't been convincing at home with a 26-21SU record for a loss of 8.74 units since the 23-24 season. Not to mention the Leafs have lost three straight on home ice to Boston. Bobby McMann has OVER 1.5 shots in five of his last six home games, after playing five of his last seven on the road he might perform well with some home cooking, BET99 has OVER 1.5 for McMann at -175.
Boston is living rent-free in Toronto's head with that 8-0 record and has been playing better hockey lately with a 58.95% xGF% in their last five games and their goaltending has suddenly remembered how to stop pucks. Oh, and the Leafs' announced earlier that Auston Matthews wouldn't play due to an upper-body injury. Sorry to all the Leafs fans out there but I'm with Boston to win a ninth in a row.
Maple Leafs F Auston Matthews is not available for tonight’s game and is day-to-day (upper body).
— Leafs PR (@LeafsPR) November 5, 2024
Bruins vs Maple Leafs Same Game Parlay
- UNDER 5.5 Goals
- William Nylander OVER 3.5 Shots
- David Pastrnak OVER 0.5 Points
- Odds: +525.
Since 2020, an average of 5.4 goals have been scored when these two rivals play with the UNDER hitting in four of the last five games. Look, Toronto holds the seventh-worst shooting percentage in the league so they can't hit the bright side of a barn at the moment and the Bruins goaltending is on a two-game shutout streak! UNDER 5.5 goals should easily hit.
Nylander might only be averaging 3.23 shots per game, but he's got the hottest stick on the team with a 21.4% shooting percentage and Matthews is out. The Leafs have to feed him the puck to create some offense so we should see him exceed three shots tonight against the Bruins.
Pasta loves to play Toronto with 38 career points in 29 games against the Leafs. He scored and added an assist in his only game against Toronto this year and scored in three of his four regular-season games against Toronto last year with an average of 1.75 points. This leg of the parlay will hit.
Bruins vs Maple Leafs Player Prop Tonight
John Tavares O2.5 Shots (-175)
Tavares has to put on his shooting gloves tonight with Matthews out of the lineup and step into the No.1 center role tonight. Tavares has gone OVER 2.5 shots in three of his last four games and per Outlier has gone OVER 2.5 shots in nine of his last 11 home games.
With 44 shots on the year, Tavares is averaging 3.7 shots per game for the Leafs and has an average of 4.00 shots in his last four games. Without Matthews, Tavares has to step up and play more than the 16:38 he's averaging on the year, and when he plays 18 minutes or more since 2022 Tavares is averaging 3.8 shots on the net. The former captain will see a lot of the puck tonight and get at least four on the net for Toronto.
Bruins vs Maple Leafs Betting Trends
- Boston is 8-0SU in their last eight games against the Maple Leafs while Toronto is 2-5SU in their last seven games. Boston is +128 on the BET99 moneyline tonight.
- The UNDER has hit in four of the last five games (80%) between the Maple Leafs and Bruins.
- Mitch Marner has gone OVER 0.5 points in 10 of his last 13 home games. BET99 has OVEVR 0.5 points for Marner at -238.
