The 8-0-0 Winnipeg Jets welcome the 4-4-1 Toronto Maple Leafs to Canada Life Center in downtown Winnipeg tonight. BET99 has the falling Leafs as +100 road dogs, and I'm taking the bait. The Jets will lose in 2024-25, so why not tonight at the hands of the Maple Leafs, who are 9-2SU since 2017 in Winterpeg?
Scroll down to see our Odds Shark staff same-game parlay that backs the OVER and a few anytime goals at +375 odds..
Maple Leafs vs Jets Odds Tonight
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Winnipeg Jets, October 28, 7:30 pm ET
| Teams | Puckline | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto Maple Leafs | +1.5 (-245) | +100 | O6 (-120) |
| Winnipeg Jets | -1.5 (+200) | -120 | U6 (+100) |
Odds as of October 28 at BET99
Maple Leafs vs Jets Picks Tonight
Maple Leafs ML (+100)
The Jets are only two wins away from sharing the longest winning streak to start an NHL season at 10 games, but I'm sorry to say Winnipegers, the streak ends tonight. Even BET99 isn't confident in the Jets with -120 odds, a 54% implied chance of winning.
I don't like that at 5on5 play in their last four games, Winnipeg is averaging a 44% xGF and has been outscored 10-9. If not for the Jets' power play the Flames would have handed Winnipeg their first loss, but unlike Calgary, Toronto can kill a penalty with the ninth-best efficiency at 83.8% so the Jets can't rely on that crutch to win tonight.
I can't get my mind off Toronto's 9-2SU record in Winnipeg since 2017, it's just too damn good to ignore! The last time Toronto was a road dog in Winnipeg (like tonight), was January 27, 2024, when they came away with a 4-2 win. That was the 13th time in 19 games (68%) the Leafs covered the +1.5 puckline in Winnipeg. BET99 has the Leafs covering the +1.5 spread at -245.
With how shaky Winnipeg has been at 5on5 and how Toronto seems to have the Jets number I'm taking the Leafs to end the Jets streak and get their first win in four games.
Maple Leafs vs Jets Same-Game Parlay Tonight
- OVER 6 Goals
- Auston Matthews to score at anytime
- Kyle Connor to score at anytime
- Odds: +375
The Jets have seen an average of eight goals in their last five games while the Leafs have seen an average of 6.6 goals in their last five. The OVER is also 10-8-1 all-time when these two play.
If the total goes OVER, Matthews is likely getting in on the fun. He has goals in three of his last five games and has a goal in his last three games against the Jets. Remember that the Jets are poor at 5on5 lately and that Matthews is excellent at 5on5 where 73% of his goals are scored since 19-20.
On the Winnipeg side of the puck, if the total goes OVER, Kyle Connor will score. He leads the Jets in goals with six and has four in his last five games and has four goals in his last five home games.
Maple Leafs vs Jets Player Prop Tonight
Morgan Rielly O0.5 POints (+105)
Since 2022-23, Rielly has four points in four games against Winnipeg and with the total going OVER tonight it makes sense for the Leafs NO.1 defenseman to get on the scoresheet.
Morgan Rielly has responded well to being paired with Oliver Ekman-Larsson on the blue line with points in back-to-back games for Toronto. And with an average of 21:32 of ice time, Reilly is going to be out there enough to get his stick on some offense.
Maple Leafs vs Jets Betting Trends
- The total has gone OVER in four of Toronto's last six games (67%). OVER six goals is -120 tonight at BET99.
- Cole Perfetti has gone OVER 1.5 shots in seven of his last eight home games. OVER 1.5 shots for Perfetti is -180 at BET99.
- If you want to fade my Leafs ML pick, the Jets are 12-0 in their last 12 as favorites and -120 on the moneyline at BET99
