The Yan vs Figueiredo odds at UFC Macau suggest a one-sided fight, but I'm not ready to declare it as such.
Petr Yan is a -300 favorite over Deiveson Figueiredo, who comes back as a +240 underdog ahead of their fight on November 23 in China.
Let's dive into our Yan vs Figueiredo odds and picks for this excellent showdown of former UFC champions.
Yan vs Figueiredo Odds
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Petr Yan | -300 |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | +240 |
Odds as of November 18
Our odds calculator suggests Yan's -300 odds imply a 75% chance of victory, with a $100 bet paying out $133.33. At +240 odds, Figueiredo gets a 29.41% chance, and a $100 bet cashes $340.
How To Bet Yan
Yan put on a vintage performance at UFC 299, carving up Song Yadong on the feet and utilizing some impressive wrestling sweeps to showcase his grappling skills. Finally, the Russian snapped a three-fight losing skid and looked good doing it. Now he's back in the deep end against ex-flyweight champ Figueiredo.
There's merit in betting this fight to go the distance, even in a five-round format. Yan has never been stopped and his last five fights have gone the distance, including a lopsided loss to current champ Merab Dvalishvili. Figgy has lots of power, but he won't be the first fighter to finish Yan. Maybe Yan KOs the Brazilian, but I'm not stoked about that outcome either.
The best bet on Yan is to parlay his ML odds (-300) with the OVER rounds. Yan ML + OVER 2.5 Rounds leaves the door open for a late-fight knockout.
How To Bet Figueiredo
Figgy believers can easily bet him on the moneyline, as the former flyweight king is slightly undervalued ahead of UFC Macau. Yan has the stronger resume at bantamweight, but Figueiredo is no slouch either after rolling through title challenger Marlon Vera with ease.
Again, it's likely this fight will go the distance, so feel free to bet Figueiredo by decision for a super value play.
Yan vs Figueiredo Betting Pick
Yan receives more love than he deserves sometimes, but it's hard to argue against his talent. The bantamweight division is a meat grinder, and if Yan hadn't thrown an illegal knee back in 2021, who knows where this division would be?
My best bet for this fight is Yan by decision. He's still an excellent all-around fighter and should put on a technical clinic in China this weekend.
