Jake Paul and Logan Paul are scheduled to fight each other on March 27 on HBO Max, bringing about a matchup that many fight fans thought was inevitable.
With the announcement, the Jake Paul vs Logan Paul odds are out. Jake Paul is the clear -650 betting favorite, with his brother Logan Paul a +400 underdog.
Jake Paul vs Logan Paul Boxing Odds
Fighter | Odds |
---|---|
Logan Paul | +400 |
Jake Paul | -650 |
According to our sports betting calculator, Jake Paul's -650 odds give him an 86.67% chance of winning, and a $100 bet on him nets $115.38. Logan Paul's +400 underdog status gives him an implied 20% chance, with $100 paying out $500.
Jake Paul vs Logan Paul Odds Analysis
My early reaction is that these are fair odds. Jake has become a very experienced boxer over the years, challenging a gaggle of low-level pros, ex-MMA fighters, and, most recently, a bout with 58-year-old Mike Tyson. Fans might laugh, but Paul is a legitimate pro boxer at this point, with fair fundamentals and a strong physical frame. While he won't be winning any titles (ever), he is (or should be) a respected competitor in this sport.
Logan Paul is not a boxer. He fought in 2023 against Dillon Danis, but no one can argue that was a legit matchup. Before that, it was Floyd Mayweather (more on that shortly) and KSI. Logan is officially 1-1 in his boxing career, as the Mayweather fight had no judges.
Jake Paul vs Logan Paul Pick: Who Will Win?
Jake Paul should win this fight by decision. He will be at just a one-inch height disadvantage vs his older brother, and both men have identical 76-inch reaches.
Jake Paul is better at conserving energy and fighting with rhythm, even if that sometimes leads to quiet moments or lots of clinching in his fights.
Logan Paul isn't nearly as sharp. His technique against Mayweather was a mess, to put it kindly. Most of the time, he swung like a windmill, charging at a defensive Mayweather with clumsy, looping punches. That’s a gift for Jake Paul, who could slip those shots with ease and have all the fun in the world picking his brother apart gradually over 6-8 rounds.
Finally, let’s not forget we have no clue how much effort these two will really put in. I'd like to KO my brother, but perhaps not in front of a national audience. The Paul vs. Tyson fight set the tone for the slow pace these exhibitions often take, so there’s a good chance this one goes the distance