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Arkansas vs Texas Tech
Arkansas
Razorbacks
22 - 13
Texas Tech
Red Raiders
27 - 8
March 27, 2025, 10:09 PM EDT
 | Chase Center
Predicted Score
65.5
ARK
83.8
TTECH
Spread Consensus
Best ARK Spread
+5.5
ARK
-114
0%
Best TTECH Spread
-5.5
TTECH
-105
Total Consensus
Best Over
-114
o147.5
0%
Best Under
-105
u147.5
Our Prediction
Texas Tech will Win, Cover the Spread, and the Total will go Over.

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10:09 PM ET
See Matchup
Arkansas VS Texas Tech
Experts 5
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
ARK 65.5 +185
TTECH 83.8 -225
Spread Pick
+5.5 -110
-5.5 -110
Total Pick
U 148 -110
O 148 -110
Texas Tech -5.5
-110
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Expert Pick: Doc's Sports
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Arkansas - Texas Tech O147.5
-110

This is a matchup of two strong offenses who should have no problem finding the basket on a regular basis. Both offenses have been playing better recently compared to earlier in the season. Texas Tech is averaging 79.5 PPG in the first two rounds, while Arkansas is averaging 77 PPG.

Texas Tech is one of the slower paced teams in the country (ranked 261st in KenPom's adjusted tempo) while Arkansas ranks 68th. I'm expecting part of the Arkansas' game plan to involve speeding up the pace of the game which will mean more offensive opportunities for both sides.

Expert Pick: Tony Farmer
T. Brazile O 6.5 Rebs
-132

Arkansas has eliminated some pretty notable programs this tournment, starting with No. 7 Kansas and most recently plucking off No. 2 St. John's. Brazile's efforts on the glass have gotten the ball in the Razorbacks hands, recording 20 rebounds across the opening rounds of March Madness. 

Texas Tech's defense, ranked eighth at KenPom, is a different beast. But at 6.5 rebounds, this line is far from inflated, which the junior has eclipsed in six-straight campaigns. 

Expert Pick: Josie Costigan
Arkansas +5.5
-106

Arkansas’ run to the Sweet 16 is part of a late-season surge that’s seen the Razorbacks win seven of their last nine games—beating three ranked opponents over that span—and covering six times along the way. The Hogs are also as healthy as they’ve been in a while, with guard Boogie Fland returning last weekend and leading scorer Adou Thiero reportedly returning on a minutes restriction Thursday against the Red Raiders.

Expert Pick: David Caraviello
J. Davis 13+ Pts
-110

Part of the Florida Atlantic team that reached the Final Four two years ago, Davis is a tournament-tested guard who has admirably stepped up to help fill the scoring void left by the injuries to Thiero and Fland. The Arkansas senior has scored in double-figures in nine of his last 10 games, putting up 13 or more eight times over that span.

 

Expert Pick: David Caraviello

National Champion 2024-25

Odds Settings
Wager Type
Sides/Totals
Futures
Segment
Full Game
1st Half
2nd Half
Odds Type
American
Decimal
Fractional

Thursday, March 27 Thu Mar 27

Matchup
Opening Odds
OS Current
Line History Matchup
10:09pm EDT
Arkansas ARK
VS /
Texas Tech TTECH
+5.5
-110
- -
ARK
+202
O 147.5
-110
- -
-5.5
-110
- -
TTECH
-250
U 147.5
-110
- -
OS Current
+5.5
-110
- -
ARK
+205
O 147.5
-114
- -
OS Current
-4.5
-125
- -
TTECH
-225
U 148.5
-115
- -

Edge Finder

Overall

ARK Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TTECH Defense
72.67105Points Scored12567.26
44.5398Field Goal %16741.90
31.61244Three Point %16532.17
69.39255Free Throw %18771.46
34.13174Total Rebounds13132.48

Scoring

ARK Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TTECH Defense
72.67105Points Scored12567.26

Shooting

ARK Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TTECH Defense
44.5398Field Goal %16741.90
69.39255Free Throw %18771.46
31.61244Three Point %16532.17
21.93199Three's Attempts5619.87
6.93230Three's Made686.39

Rebounds

ARK Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TTECH Defense
9.60226Offensive21710.22
24.53110Defensive9522.26
34.13174Total Rebounds13132.48

Other

ARK Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank TTECH Defense
12.87136Assists6310.57
17.53187Fouls15517.00
12.33190Turnovers18512.48
7.6755Steals1456.17

Overall

ARK Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TTECH Offense
76.53221Points Scored6582.22
44.62137Field Goal %13047.09
36.55276Three Point %7137.48
74.49274Free Throw %8275.40
36.47243Total Rebounds12837.70

Scoring

ARK Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TTECH Offense
76.53221Points Scored6582.22

Shooting

ARK Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TTECH Offense
44.62137Field Goal %13047.09
74.49274Free Throw %8275.40
36.55276Three Point %7137.48
22.80184Three's Attempts5726.91
8.33251Three's Made4010.09

Rebounds

ARK Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TTECH Offense
10.47170Offensive8812.13
26.00256Defensive19525.57
36.47243Total Rebounds12837.70

Other

ARK Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank TTECH Offense
14.20177Assists7916.57
16.67214Fouls27814.96
12.2795Turnovers8210.30
7.33246Steals2186.78

Head To Head

ARK
 Stat Type TTECH
3-2
 Record
2-3
4-1
 ATS
1-4
1-4
 O/U
1-4
68.20
 Points Scored
67.40
31.20
 Half Time Score
32.00
43.12%
 Field Goal Percentage
44.87%
30.80
 Rebounds
31.40
19/87
 3 Point Shots
30/74
6.40
 Steals
5.20
ARK
 Stat Type TTECH
2-1
 Record
1-2
3-0
 ATS
0-3
0-3
 O/U
0-3
69.00
 Points Scored
67.00
31.67
 Half Time Score
29.67
42.51%
 Field Goal Percentage
42.17%
33.33
 Rebounds
33.33
14/55
 3 Point Shots
21/52
5.33
 Steals
5.00
Mar 21/21 (1 of 5)
ARK
 Stat Type TTECH
Home
Away
68
 Points Scored
66
+2
 ATS
-2
140.5 o
 O/U
140.5 u
33
 Half Time Score
31
41.90%
 Field Goal Percentage
36.10%
36
 Rebounds
38
4/17
 3 Point Shots
10/20
0
 Steals
3
Jan 26/19 (2 of 5)
ARK
 Stat Type TTECH
Away
Home
64
 Points Scored
67
+10
 ATS
-10
137 o
 O/U
137 u
33
 Half Time Score
30
43.80%
 Field Goal Percentage
51.20%
27
 Rebounds
25
4/19
 3 Point Shots
10/19
10
 Steals
5
Jan 30/16 (3 of 5)
ARK
 Stat Type TTECH
Home
Away
75
 Points Scored
68
-6.5
 ATS
+6.5
149.5 o
 O/U
149.5 u
29
 Half Time Score
28
42.10%
 Field Goal Percentage
41.90%
37
 Rebounds
37
6/19
 3 Point Shots
1/13
6
 Steals
7
Dec 16/06 (4 of 5)
ARK
 Stat Type TTECH
Home
Away
56
 Points Scored
71
-5.5
 ATS
+5.5
143 o
 O/U
143 u
22
 Half Time Score
35
40.80%
 Field Goal Percentage
54.30%
23
 Rebounds
25
3/21
 3 Point Shots
6/10
4
 Steals
8
Dec 21/05 (5 of 5)
ARK
 Stat Type TTECH
Away
Home
78
 Points Scored
65
-3.5
 ATS
+3.5
139 o
 O/U
139 u
39
 Half Time Score
36
46.70%
 Field Goal Percentage
45.10%
31
 Rebounds
32
2/11
 3 Point Shots
3/12
12
 Steals
3

Team Records

ARK
 Record TTECH
22-13
 All
27-8
13-4
 Home
15-3
4-6
 Away
8-2
5-3
 Neutral Site
4-3
16-2
 As Fav
24-6
6-10
 As Dog
3-2
16-16-3
 ATS
17-17-1
8-8-1
 ATS Home
9-8-1
4-5-1
 ATS Away
7-3
4-3-1
 ATS Neutral
1-6
16-19
 O/U
20-14-1
7-10
 O/U Home
9-8-1
4-6
 O/U Away
5-5
5-3
 O/U Neutral
6-1
ARK
 Record TTECH
9-11
 All
16-6
5-4
 Home
7-3
3-6
 Away
8-2
1-1
 Neutral Site
1-1
6-2
 As Fav
13-4
3-8
 As Dog
3-2
10-8-2
 ATS
11-11
5-4
 ATS Home
4-6
4-4-1
 ATS Away
7-3
0-0
 ATS Neutral
0-0
9-11
 O/U
11-11
3-6
 O/U Home
4-6
4-5
 O/U Away
5-5
0-0
 O/U Neutral
0-0
ARK
 Record TTECH
7-3
 All
7-3
3-0
 Home
2-1
1-2
 Away
2-1
3-1
 Neutral Site
3-1
4-0
 As Fav
6-2
3-3
 As Dog
1-1
7-2-1
 ATS
4-6
2-1
 ATS Home
1-2
2-1
 ATS Away
2-1
3-0-1
 ATS Neutral
1-3
7-3
 O/U
6-4
3-0
 O/U Home
1-2
1-2
 O/U Away
1-2
3-1
 O/U Neutral
4-0

Trends

  • Arkansas are 11-2-2 ATS in their last 15 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arkansas' last 6 games.
  • Arkansas are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Arkansas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Texas Tech.
  • Arkansas are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against an opponent in the Big 12 conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in 11 of Arkansas' last 13 games played in March.
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arkansas' last 7 games played on a Thursday.
  • Arkansas are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played on a Thursday when playing on the road.
  • Texas Tech are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 7 games.
  • Texas Tech are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games against Arkansas.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 7 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games played in March.
  • Texas Tech are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Thursday.
  • Texas Tech are 6-0 SU in their last 6 games played on a Thursday when playing at home.

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 22, 2025SJU75-66W+7147W/U42.8670.372
Mar 20, 2025KU79-72W+5147W/O43.0885.006
Mar 13, 2025MISS80-83L+4.5146.50W/O46.4365.627
Mar 12, 2025SCAR72-68W-4138.50P/O44.6493.757
Mar 8, 2025MISST93-92W-1.5147.50L/O55.3681.489
Mar 4, 2025VANDY90-77W+7.5149.50W/O50.7772.738
Mar 1, 2025SCAR53-72L+1.5140L/U28.8574.073
Feb 26, 2025TEXAS86-81W-2.5147.50W/O46.5574.199
Feb 22, 2025MIZZU92-85W-1.5150.50W/O54.7275.686
Feb 19, 2025AUB60-67L+16151.50W/U45.4550.003
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 22, 2025DRAKE77-64W-7.5126.50W/O53.8586.362
Mar 20, 2025UNCW82-72W-15144.50L/O39.1365.2213
Mar 14, 2025ARIZ80-86L-1.5153.50L/O42.6263.339
Mar 13, 2025BAY76-74W-6.5141.50L/O39.0668.7515
Mar 8, 2025ARZST85-57W-12.5152.50W/U45.1685.0012
Mar 5, 2025COLO91-75W-19142.50L/O48.4481.2516
Mar 1, 2025KU78-73W+3.5144.50W/O45.1687.5015
Feb 24, 2025HOU61-69L+4.5131L/U29.8280.776
Feb 22, 2025WVU73-51W-9.5135W/U46.4380.009
Feb 18, 2025TCU66-69L-7.5141.50L/U49.0662.509
View Game Logs

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