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San Diego St. vs North Carolina odds -- RJ Davis
North Carolina
Tar Heels
22 - 13
San Diego State
Aztecs
20 - 9
March 18, 2025, 9:21 PM EDT
 | University of Dayton Arena
Predicted Score
75.6
UNC
73.4
SDST
Spread Consensus
Best UNC Spread
-4.5
UNC
-111
0%
Best SDST Spread
+4.5
SDST
-111
Total Consensus
Best Over
-111
o142.5
0%
Best Under
-111
u142.5
Our Prediction
North Carolina will Win, San Diego State will Cover, and the Total will go Over.

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9:21 PM ET
See Matchup
North Carolina VS San Diego State
Experts 5
Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
UNC 75.6 -225
SDST 73.4 +185
Spread Pick
-4.5 -110
+4.5 -110
Total Pick
U 141.5 -105
O 141.5 -115
San Diego St. +4.5
-105
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Expert Pick: Doc's Sports
Claim: Free $60 of Premium Picks Docs Sports Logo
North Carolina -4.5
-115

Should the Tar Heels really be in the field of 68? It’s easy to argue otherwise, given their pathetic 1-12 record in Quad 1 of the NET rankings. But here’s the thing—Quad 1 covers opponents ranked 1-50 for a neutral-site contest, and San Diego State is No. 52, so this isn’t a Quad 1 game. (UNC is 8-0 in Quad 2, BTW). Over the past month, North Carolina’s only losses have come to Duke, and the Aztecs aren’t exactly in that league.

Expert Pick: David Caraviello
S. Trimble 12+ Pts
+160

RJ Davis may get most of the attention at North Carolina, but his backcourt-mate Trimble has been just as key to the Tar Heels’ late season surge. The 6-3 junior has scored in double-figures in six of his last nine games, including 14 against Duke in the ACC tournament semifinals.

Expert Pick: David Caraviello
E. Cadeau U 5.5 Asts
-155

Eclipsing 5.5 assists in two of his last five outings, Cadeau hasn't been the most reliable in this betting department lately. In that span he's either obliterating the line, recording 12 and 11 assists against Notre Dame and Virginia Tech, or merely picking up two assists against Duke and Wake Forest. His Tar Heels are up against San Diego State, a group with allows just 10.5 assists per game, the 17th-best mark in the nation. 

Expert Pick: Josie Costigan
Davis O2.5 3PM
-125

RJ Davis has gone OVER 2.5 made threes in six of his last seven games and 14 of his last 25. He faces a SDSU team that allows 7.9 3PM per game, which ranks 228th in the nation.

Expert Pick: Mitch Bannon

National Champion 2024-25

Odds Settings
Wager Type
Sides/Totals
Futures
Segment
Full Game
1st Half
2nd Half
Odds Type
American
Decimal
Fractional

Tuesday, March 18 Tue Mar 18

Matchup
Opening Odds
OS Current
Line History Matchup
Live
9:21pm EDT
North Carolina UNC
VS /
San Diego State SDST
-3.5
-104
- -
UNC
-180
O 144.5
-110
- -
+3.5
-118
- -
SDST
+152
U 144.5
-110
- -
OS Current
-4.5
-110
- -
UNC
-200
O 141
-110
- -
OS Current
+5.5
-125
- -
SDST
+188
U 142.5
-111
- -

Edge Finder

Overall

UNC Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SDST Defense
75.9352Points Scored3262.28
46.3838Field Goal %837.60
33.66148Three Point %8630.72
73.82125Free Throw %26373.17
35.00122Total Rebounds19333.50

Scoring

UNC Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SDST Defense
75.9352Points Scored3262.28

Shooting

UNC Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SDST Defense
46.3838Field Goal %837.60
73.82125Free Throw %26373.17
33.66148Three Point %8630.72
22.07188Three's Attempts32325.50
7.43180Three's Made2547.83

Rebounds

UNC Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SDST Defense
9.57228Offensive21510.22
25.4366Defensive16623.28
35.00122Total Rebounds19333.50

Other

UNC Offense Off. Rank Stat Def. Rank SDST Defense
14.7935Assists4910.22
18.43121Fouls13516.83
11.43108Turnovers7014.22
5.36289Steals1466.17

Overall

UNC Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SDST Offense
74.93170Points Scored30172.00
44.04107Field Goal %22645.24
30.7439Three Point %16635.32
74.34262Free Throw %29068.90
34.86155Total Rebounds26734.67

Scoring

UNC Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SDST Offense
74.93170Points Scored30172.00
44.04107Field Goal %22645.24
30.7439Three Point %16635.32
74.34262Free Throw %29068.90
34.86155Total Rebounds26734.67

Shooting

UNC Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SDST Offense
74.93170Points Scored30172.00
44.04107Field Goal %22645.24
30.7439Three Point %16635.32
74.34262Free Throw %29068.90
34.86155Total Rebounds26734.67
21.14105Three's Attempts16323.28
6.5043Three's Made1588.22

Rebounds

UNC Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SDST Offense
74.93170Points Scored30172.00
44.04107Field Goal %22645.24
30.7439Three Point %16635.32
74.34262Free Throw %29068.90
34.86155Total Rebounds26734.67
21.14105Three's Attempts16323.28
6.5043Three's Made1588.22
10.86219Offensive2569.83
24.00113Defensive25424.83

Other

UNC Defense Def. Rank Stat Off. Rank SDST Offense
74.93170Points Scored30172.00
44.04107Field Goal %22645.24
30.7439Three Point %16635.32
74.34262Free Throw %29068.90
34.86155Total Rebounds26734.67
21.14105Three's Attempts16323.28
6.5043Three's Made1588.22
10.86219Offensive2569.83
24.00113Defensive25424.83
12.3655Assists26213.44
16.43206Fouls10317.06
10.14285Turnovers18711.39
5.7951Steals948.11

Head To Head

UNC
 Stat Type SDST
0-0
 Record
0-0
0-0
 ATS
0-0
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0.00
 Points Scored
0.00
-
 Half Time Score
-
0.00%
 Field Goal Percentage
0.00%
-
 Rebounds
-
0/0
 3 Point Shots
0/0
0.00
 Steals
0.00
UNC
 Stat Type SDST
0-0
 Record
0-0
0-0
 ATS
0-0
0-0
 O/U
0-0
0.00
 Points Scored
0.00
-
 Half Time Score
-
0.00%
 Field Goal Percentage
0.00%
-
 Rebounds
-
0/0
 3 Point Shots
0/0
0.00
 Steals
0.00

Team Records

UNC
 Record SDST
22-13
 All
20-9
12-3
 Home
11-3
6-6
 Away
6-4
4-4
 Neutral Site
3-2
21-3
 As Fav
15-3
1-10
 As Dog
4-6
15-19-1
 ATS
12-16
7-8
 ATS Home
6-7
4-7-1
 ATS Away
3-7
4-4
 ATS Neutral
3-2
18-17
 O/U
15-13
7-8
 O/U Home
6-7
7-5
 O/U Away
7-3
4-4
 O/U Neutral
2-3
UNC
 Record SDST
15-8
 All
13-7
8-2
 Home
7-2
5-5
 Away
6-4
2-1
 Neutral Site
0-1
15-1
 As Fav
11-3
0-7
 As Dog
2-4
10-12-1
 ATS
9-11
5-5
 ATS Home
6-3
2-7-1
 ATS Away
3-7
0-0
 ATS Neutral
0-0
9-14
 O/U
12-8
4-6
 O/U Home
5-4
5-5
 O/U Away
7-3
0-0
 O/U Neutral
0-0
UNC
 Record SDST
8-2
 All
6-4
3-1
 Home
4-0
3-0
 Away
2-3
2-1
 Neutral Site
0-1
8-0
 As Fav
6-1
0-2
 As Dog
0-3
8-2
 ATS
4-6
3-1
 ATS Home
4-0
2-1
 ATS Away
0-5
3-0
 ATS Neutral
0-1
6-4
 O/U
6-4
3-1
 O/U Home
2-2
3-0
 O/U Away
4-1
0-3
 O/U Neutral
0-1

Trends

  • North Carolina are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games.
  • North Carolina are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.
  • North Carolina are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against an opponent in the Mountain West conference.
  • North Carolina are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games played in March.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 7 games played on a Tuesday.
  • North Carolina are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games when playing as the favourite.
  • North Carolina are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games played on a Tuesday when playing on the road.
  • San Diego State are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego State's last 7 games.
  • San Diego State are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games against an opponent in the Atlantic Coast conference.
  • San Diego State are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played in March.
  • San Diego State are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games played on a Tuesday.
  • San Diego State are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing as the underdog.
  • San Diego State are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games played on a Tuesday when playing at home.

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 14, 2025DUKE71-74L+7153.50W/U47.2766.673
Mar 13, 2025WAKE68-59W-6147.50W/U33.9381.488
Mar 12, 2025ND76-56W-10.5145W/U48.2858.3313
Mar 8, 2025DUKE69-82L+10160.50L/U39.0690.919
Mar 4, 2025VTECH91-59W-8149W/O58.9383.3315
Mar 1, 2025MIAMI92-73W-17.5159W/O58.9366.6710
Feb 24, 2025FSU96-85W-3.5156W/O55.1770.9710
Feb 22, 2025UVA81-66W-9.5139.50W/O48.2181.829
Feb 19, 2025NCSU97-73W-10.5146W/O57.3879.178
Feb 15, 2025CUSE88-82W-8.5153.50L/O49.1865.2213
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line Total ATS FG% FT% 3PTM
Mar 13, 2025BOISE52-62L+2134.50L/U38.3060.007
Mar 8, 2025NEV80-61W-6.5131.50W/O54.5555.5610
Mar 4, 2025UNLV67-74L-3.5131.50L/O40.0060.007
Mar 1, 2025WYOM72-69W-7.5132.50L/O50.0056.677
Feb 25, 2025NMEX73-65W-2.5143.50W/U48.0863.649
Feb 22, 2025UTST71-79L+5.5143L/O44.2368.1810
Feb 18, 2025FRES83-60W-18.5142.50W/O53.9787.508
Feb 15, 2025BOISE64-47W-2135.50W/U54.1763.645
Feb 11, 2025SJST69-66W-9.5133L/O40.6877.274
Feb 8, 2025COLST63-68L+2.5134.50L/U37.9352.388
View Game Logs

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