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Duke quarterback Maalik Murphy is transferring to Auburn and Grayson Loftis is in the portal, leaving Henry Belin IV to make the start. That would be a huge concern against a full-strength Ole Mis squad, but with opt-outs looming, Duke can lean on the run game and its defense to cover the number in this game.
That’s a big line, but it’s somewhat justified given that Duke recently lost starting quarterback Maalik Murphy and his backup Grayson Loftis to the transfer portal. Ole Miss ended the regular season winning four or its last five, although the Rebels haven’t covered against a double-digit spread since early October.
Follow the money. Ole Miss opened up at -12.5, inched up to -13.5, then when the news hit that Duke starting QB Maalik Murphy committed to Auburn, the line jumped all the way to -15.5. Why?
Double M has been stellar this season for the Blue Devils, hitting on over 60% of his passes for 2,933 yards and 26 TDs. Murphy is gone and his backup, Grayson Loftis is a question mark. That leaves Henry Belin IV, who has a grand total of ONE pass for SEVEN yards.
Not excited about laying double digits, so just a light lean to the Rebels.
Thursday, January 2 Thu Jan 2
Edge Finder
26.83 | Points Scored | 37.50 |
|---|---|---|
244.92 | Passing Yards | 343.58 |
96.50 | Rushing Yards | 177.92 |
27:04 | Time on Field | 28:14 |
65.00 | Number of Plays | 72.00 |
5.25 | Yards Per Play | 7.24 |
Head To Head
| DUKE | Stat Type | MISS |
|---|---|---|
0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
0.00 | Points Scored | 0.00 |
- | Rush Yds | - |
- | Pass Attempts | - |
- | Completion % | - |
0.00 | Passing Yds | 0.00 |
0 | Total Yds | 0 |
- | Turnovers | - |
Team Records
| DUKE | Record | MISS |
|---|---|---|
9-3 | All | 9-3 |
5-1 | Home | 6-1 |
4-2 | Away | 3-2 |
0-0 | Neutral Site | 0-0 |
8-3-1 | ATS | 7-5 |
4-2 | ATS Home | 4-3 |
4-1-1 | ATS Away | 3-2 |
0-0 | ATS Neutral Site | 0-0 |
5-7 | O/U | 2-10 |
2-4 | O/U Home | 1-6 |
3-3 | O/U Away | 1-4 |
0-0 | O/U Neutral Site | 0-0 |
Gametime Weather
No data available.
Trends
- Duke are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Duke are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games.
- Duke are 1-10 SU in their last 11 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
- Duke are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games played on a Thursday.
- Duke are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games when playing as the underdog.
Last 10 Games
| Date | Opp | Score | SU | Line/Total | ATS | OFF. RUSH | OFF. PASS | OFF. TOTAL | DEF. RUSH | DEF. PASS | DEF. TOTAL | TO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | WAKE | 23-17 | W | -3.5/53.5 | W/U | 98 | 235 | 333 | 111 | 207 | 318 | 1 |
| Nov 23, 2024 | VTECH | 31-28 | W | +2.5/45.5 | W/O | 64 | 332 | 396 | 190 | 213 | 403 | 2 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | NCSU | 29-19 | W | +3/51.5 | W/U | 31 | 245 | 276 | 84 | 184 | 268 | -1 |
| Nov 2, 2024 | MIAMI | 31-53 | L | +21/55.5 | L/O | 80 | 325 | 405 | 126 | 400 | 526 | 2 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | SMU | 27-28 | L | +11.5/49.5 | W/O | 98 | 295 | 393 | 211 | 258 | 469 | -6 |
| Oct 18, 2024 | FSU | 23-16 | W | -2.5/43 | W/U | 110 | 70 | 180 | 162 | 129 | 291 | -4 |
| Oct 5, 2024 | GTECH | 14-24 | L | +10/53 | P/U | 74 | 205 | 279 | 245 | 167 | 412 | 1 |
| Sep 28, 2024 | UNC | 21-20 | W | +1.5/55.5 | W/U | 185 | 209 | 394 | 156 | 251 | 407 | 0 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | MTSU | 45-17 | W | -14.5/51.5 | W/O | 124 | 216 | 340 | 168 | 127 | 295 | -3 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | UCONN | 26-21 | W | -17/47.5 | L/U | 142 | 267 | 409 | 179 | 135 | 314 | -1 |
