Can anyone keep up with Oregon's offense lately? If anyone can, it's not going to be Michigan State. The Ducks are 24.5-point favorites at Autzen Stadium, their second-largest spread of the season. The Spartans are dwelling on a two-game skid, frustrated with their schedule that slated ranked Ohio State and Oregon meetings in back-to-back weeks.
With the Ducks' polished defense and Jonathan Smith's near coast-to-coast travel, I'll gently lay the points with Oregon on Friday night.
michigan State vs oregon Odds
Matchup Page: Michigan State vs Oregon, 9:00 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michigan State Spartans | +24.5 (-115) | +1400 | OVER 52.5 (-110) |
| Oregon Ducks | -24.5 (-105) | -4000 | UNDER 52.5 (-110) |
Odds as of October 1 at FanDuel
michigan State vs oregon Picks – Week 6
Most eyes are on Dillon Gabriel and the offense that's averaging 40 PPG. But for me, I'm focused on the growth of Oregon's defense. Things looked a little uncertain across the opening weeks, a slight 24-14 win over Idaho and then barely edging Boise State in a 37-24 tilt.
However, the kinks have been worked out. In their last two performances, the defense has allowed 27 points. Flashback to last week when the Ducks gave up 11 first downs against UCLA, especially showing up in major moments by giving up only 1-of-10 on the Bruins' third-down conversions.
Luckily for us bettors, we caught a glimpse of how Michigan State performs against the nation's top programs last week. The Spartans managed 246 total yards and suffered three turnovers while recording just one score in their 38-7 loss to the Buckeyes. With eight interceptions tagged to his five passing touchdowns, Aidan Chiles looks to be struggling behind the snap.
Oregon has perfected its game plan. They can showcase their proficient offense with Dillon Gabriel at the helm while leaning on the defense to protect any lead.
Michigan State vs Oregon Week 6 Pick: Oregon -24.5 (-110)
*picks made as of Tuesday, October 1 at 11:00 am ET
michigan State vs oregon News
Both teams are playing this Friday matchup off a short week. The Spartans are at a further disadvantage by traveling to Eugene, Oregon -- nearly a seven-hour direct flight from East Lansing. It will be the second time in history that Michigan State visits Oregon (2014, 1998). The Ducks have won each meeting, throwing up a minimum of 46 points, and covered the spread in both instances.
michigan State vs oregon Prop Bet: aidan chiles UNDER 173.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Chiles has hit the UNDER on 173.5 passing yards in 11 of his last 13 outings, averaging 102.3 passing yards per game according to Outlier. The two exceptions this season were in his appearances against Maryland and Boston College, two teams allowing 252 passing yards or more. Facing off against the Ducks will be a rude awakening, as they sit in the nation's top 12 by giving up just 150.3 yards through the air.
michigan State vs oregon Betting Trends
- Michigan State is 4-2 (66.7%) against the spread in their last 6 games on the road
- Michigan State is 3-9 (25.0%) in their last 12 games as an underdog
- The UNDER hit in 7 of the Michigan State's last 8 games
- Oregon is 6-0 SU at home during Friday night games
