Ohio State featured in our CFP first round Tennessee vs Ohio State preview

Tennessee Volunteers vs Ohio State Buckeyes

Tennessee
Volunteers
10 - 2
Ohio State
Buckeyes
10 - 2
December 21, 2024, 8:00 PM EST
 | Ohio Stadium

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Tennessee VS Ohio State
Sampson 110+ Rush Yards
+155

Sampson makes Tennessee’s offense go, and nobody’s been able to slow him down—the tailback went for 178 yards in the regular-season finale against Vanderbilt, racked up 101 yards against Georgia and hit 139 against Alabama. It’s a bad matchup for Ohio State, which was burned buy the run early against Indiana and late against Michigan.

TEN/OSU U 47.5 Points
-115

d. Ohio State's defense should not be taken lightly, ranking as the No. 1 scoring defense while also allowing the fewest total yards (241.5). They've only allowed more than two touchdowns three times this year. 

I truly can see how this dub falls in either programs lap. Instead, I'm going for the UNDER set at 47.5-points. The Buckeyes have hit the UNDER in five of their last six while the Volunteers have also cashed the UNDER  in 4 of their last 5 games vs. top 25 scoring defenses.

See my Tennessee vs Ohio State preview for a full analysis.

D. Sampson 90+ Rush Yds
-130

Sampson is the heart and soul of Tennessee's ground attack, totalling 1,485 yards and 22 touchdowns across the regular season. The junior has eclipsed 90-yards in all but one meeting this year and has gone the extra mile by recording 101-yards or more in 10 performances. 

Sampson has faced four ranked teams this season but his stats didn't budge. He hung 101 yards on Georgia, 139 yards on Alabama, 92 yards on Oklahoma and 132 yards on NC State -- while scoring at least one touchdown in each of those meetings, too.

See my Tennessee vs Ohio State preview for a full analysis.

Tennessee +7.5
-110

While many will expect Ohio State to bounce back after a shocking home loss to Michigan, Tennessee may expose its roster deficiencies again. The Volunteers boast an excellent defensive line led by James Pearce Jr. and Joshua Josephs, and the Buckeyes have suffered multiple injuries along the offensive line. Expect Tennessee to pressure Will Howard in the pocket all game, and so long as Nico Iamaleava keeps the turnovers in check, the Volunteers are live underdogs in this game.

Tennessee +7.5
-110

We know that Peyton Manning will be in Columbus going nutzzz for his Volunteers. And why not. Sure Ohio State is talented and has home field, but Tennessee is averaging over 230 yards a game on the ground and the freshman kid at QB, Nico Iamaleava, brings a rocket right arm to the party.

Nico can also dance, gobbling up 311 yards on the ground this season. He has hit 19 TDs with just five INTs. And don't forget that the Vols BAGELED Iowa, another Big 10 team last year in the Citrus Bowl, 35-0.

Gimme Peyton and the Orange guys.

Predicted Score / ML
Pred. Score / ML Pick
TENN 30.8 +240
OSU 39.8 -280
Spread Pick
+7.5 -120
-7.5 +100
Total Pick
U 46.5 -110
O 46.5 -110

National Championship 2024-25


Saturday, December 21 Sat Dec 21


Matchup
Opening Odds
OS Current
+7
-110
- -
TENN
+230
O 47
-110
- -
-7
-110
- -
OSU
-275
U 47
-110
- -
OS Current
+7.5
-109
- -
TENN
+240
O 46.5
-105
- -
OS Current
-7
-119
- -
OSU
-275
U 46.5
-110
- -

Edge Finder

37.25
Points Scored
35.50
230.75
Passing Yards
254.33
232.67
Rushing Yards
169.17
29:46
Time on Field
29:54
73.92
Number of Plays
62.42
6.27
Yards Per Play
6.79
37.25
Points Scored
35.50
8.50
First Quarter
6.33
11.92
Second Quarter
12.50
10.42
Third Quarter
11.25
5.92
Fourth Quarter
5.42
230.75
Passing Yards
254.33
28.50
Pass Attempts
28.67
18.42
Pass Completions
20.17
2.17
Sacks
1.00
9.58
Sack Yards
6.25
12.53
Yards Per Pass
12.61
232.67
Rushing Yards
169.17
45.42
Rush Attempts
33.75
5.12
Yards Per Rush
5.01
0.58
Interceptions
0.67
1.42
Fumbles
0.92
0.67
Fumbles Lost
0.25
1.25
Total Turnovers
0.92
8.25
Penalties
4.33
68.25
Penalty Yards
40.08
29:46
Time on Field
29:54
73.92
Number of Plays
62.42
6.27
Yards Per Play
6.79
3.83
Punts
2.83
44.42
Punt Average
41.74
78.08
Return Yards
44.08

Head To Head

TENN
Stat Type OSU
0-0
Record
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0.00
Points Scored
0.00
-
Rush Yds
-
-
Pass Attempts
-
-
Completion %
-
0.00
Passing Yds
0.00
0
Total Yds
0
-
Turnovers
-
TENN
Stat Type OSU
0-0
Record
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0.00
Points Scored
0.00
-
Rush Yds
-
-
Pass Attempts
-
-
Completion %
-
0.00
Passing Yds
0.00
0
Total Yds
0
-
Turnovers
-

Team Records

TENN
Record OSU
10-2
All
10-2
7-0
Home
7-1
2-2
Away
3-1
1-0
Neutral Site
0-0
7-5
ATS
6-6
4-3
ATS Home
4-4
2-2
ATS Away
2-2
1-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
7-5
O/U
5-7
4-3
O/U Home
4-4
2-2
O/U Away
1-3
1-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
TENN
Record OSU
6-2
All
7-2
4-0
Home
4-1
2-2
Away
3-1
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
3-5
ATS
5-4
1-3
ATS Home
3-2
2-2
ATS Away
2-2
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
3-5
O/U
2-7
1-3
O/U Home
1-4
2-2
O/U Away
1-3
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
TENN
Record OSU
8-2
All
8-2
6-0
Home
5-1
2-2
Away
3-1
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
5-5
ATS
5-5
3-3
ATS Home
3-3
2-2
ATS Away
2-2
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
5-5
O/U
3-7
3-3
O/U Home
2-4
2-2
O/U Away
1-3
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0

Gametime Weather

Weather
7:00 pm EST Mostly Cloudy
-8ºC / 17ºF
64% Humidity
3% Precipitation
64% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 11
mph

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Nov 30, 2024VANDY36-23W-9.5/47W/O2812575381081042121
Nov 23, 2024UTEP56-0W-41.5/54.5W/O24121946081149230-3
Nov 16, 2024GA17-31L+8.5/46.5L/O1521673191063474531
Nov 9, 2024MISST33-14W-25.5/61.5L/U24021245217992271-1
Nov 2, 2024UK28-18W-17.5/45.5L/O185292477168192360-2
Oct 19, 2024BAMA24-17W+3.5/57.5W/U214194408752393141
Oct 12, 2024FLA23-17W-14.5/55.5L/U1431693121382233610
Oct 5, 2024ARK14-19L-14/57.5L/U1761563321372974340
Sep 21, 2024OU25-15W-5.5/57W/U15119434536186222-1
Sep 14, 2024KENT71-0W-49.5/62.5W/O45628474054581120
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Nov 30, 2024MICH10-13L-19.5/41.5L/U77175252172622340
Nov 23, 2024INDY38-15W-10.5/52.5W/O11520131683681510
Nov 16, 2024NWEST31-7W-28/43.5L/U17324742050201251-1
Nov 9, 2024PUR45-0W-37.5/55.5W/U17326043398108206-2
Nov 2, 2024PSU20-13W-3/47.5W/U1761823581201502701
Oct 26, 2024NEB21-17W-25/48.5L/U642212851211522730
Oct 12, 2024OREG31-32L-3.5/54.5L/O1413264671553414961
Oct 5, 2024IOWA35-7W-17.5/45.5W/U203209412116110226-1
Sep 28, 2024MSU38-7W-23.5/48.5W/U18529848347199246-2
Sep 21, 2024MARSH49-14W-39.5/57L/O2802895691251392641
View Game Logs
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