The Packers and 49ers both really need a win this week.
Green Bay may be 7-3, but they're sitting third in a crowded NFC North. The 49ers are at risk of falling below .500 with a loss this week, sliding into the basement of the NFC West.
It's the home Packers who are favored in this one, sitting at -2.5 (-110 at FanDuel). Green Bay is -142 on the moneyline with the point total set at O/U 47.5.
I'll break down the complete 49ers vs Packers Week 12 odds and picks below:
49ers vs Packers Odds Week 12
San Francisco 49ers vs Green Bay Packers, Nov. 24, 4:25 pm ET
| Team | Point Spread | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| 49ers | +2.5 (-110) | +120 | O 47.5 (-105) |
| Packers | -2.5 (-110) | -142 | U 47.5 (-115) |
As of November 20th at FanDuel
49ers vs Packers Picks Week 12
UNDER 47.5 (-115)
I'll be honest, I struggled to handicap this game. The 49ers and Packers have both been so hard to gauge lately, with San Fran 2-4 against the spread in their last six and the Packers 1-4 ATS in their last five. But, after giving up on a side, I've decided the UNDER is the best way to approach this game.
Both of these squads have been offensively underperforming in recent weeks, both averaging just 22 points per game in the last month. The 49ers' offense is completely banged up, with George Kittle and Brandon Aiyuk hurt and Brock Purdy still questionable for Sunday's game. Even Christian McCaffrey hasn't really looked himself yet this season, averaging just 3.7 yards per carry in his first two games. The Packers' offensive issues stem more from Jordan Love, who has thrown just one touchdown in the last three weeks (to three interceptions).
Both the 49ers and Packers have top-10 defenses by expected points added per play (EPA), so they're set up well to continue eachother's offensive issues.
Both San Francisco and Green Bay are 3-1 on the UNDER in their last four games, so I'm banking on the U trend to continue this week.
49ers vs Packers Prop Pick
Tucker Kraft UNDER 34.5 Yards (-115)
The Packers' tight end had a few huge games earlier this year, rattling off 141 yards and three touchdowns cross Weeks 4 and 5. Since then, though, Kraft has really struggled. The TE has gone OVER 34.5 yards in just one of the last five weeks, averaging 31.6 yards per contest. Last week, Kraft didn't catch a single pass and was targeted just once.
I expect Kraft's struggles to continue this week against a 49ers defense that's allowed the third-fewest yards to opposing tight ends this year. Opposing TEs are averaging just 35.6 yards per game against San Fran this year. Last week, thee 49ers let up just 15 yards to Seattle TE AJ Barner and the week before it was 35 yards for Cade Otton (who's otherwise having a great year).
49ers vs Packers Betting Trends
- The 49ers are 7-2 in their last nine road games
- The UNDER has hit in four of Green Bay's last six home games
- The 49ers are 4-10 against the spread in their last 14
- Christian McCaffrey has gone OVER 78.5 rushing yards in nine of his last 11 starts (he's -120 to go O78.5 this week at FanDuel)
These betting trends are courtesy of Outlier's NFL Insights:
