The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears renew the NFL's most storied rivalry in Week 11. These teams appear to be headed in opposite directions, as the Packers have won three of their past four, and the Bears are on a three-game losing streak.
Time to profit! Look for all the Packers vs Bears odds and my best bets, below.
Packers vs Bears Odds Week 11
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears, November 17th, 1 pm ET
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
| Green Bay Packers | -5.5 (-105) | -255 | O 41.5 (-110) |
| Chicago Bears | +5.5 (-115) | +210 | U 41.5 (-110) |
Packers vs Bears Week 11 Picks
Packers -5.5
Chicago's offense is a dumpster fire. Their defense has done enough to keep them in games, but Shane Waldron was fired for a reason. In fact, the Bears have failed to score an offensive touchdown in 23 straight drives, their second-longest streak in a season since 2005. Rookie quarterback Caleb Williams was sacked nine times last week against a Patriots defense that had just 16 sacks on the year heading into the contest. That's a recipe for disaster against a Packers defense that loves to show a myriad of pressure looks and brings a ton of exotic blitzes.
Only two QBs have taken sacks on 25%+ of their pressured dropbacks this season (PFF)
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) November 11, 2024
Caleb Williams (28.7%)
Deshaun Watson (28%)
Additionally, Green Bay has generated 19 turnovers this season. They'll aim to take advantage of a Bears offensive front that is going through an injury crisis. Starting linemen Braxton Jones, Darnell Wright, and Kiran Amegadjie missed last week's game. And guard Teven Jenkins was injured during the Patriots contest. At this rate, Chicago will struggle to field a fully functional NFL OL. That's reason enough to bet the Packers in this one.
Remember, Matt Lafleur is a perfect 10-0 both SU and ATS versus Chicago.
Bears backers beware, Chicago is just 2-6 SU in their last 10 games against top-10 scoring defenses.
Packers vs Bears Week 11 Props
Bears UNDER 14.5 Team Total (+142)
This is an easy play for me. As noted above, the Bears have struggled to find the endzone during their three-game losing streak. Their injury crisis up front is a factor, as I expect Packers defensive coordinator to make Caleb Williams sweat all day with a group of backups in front of him.
Look for the Packers' defense to swarm Williams on Sunday, and keep Chicago under 14 points.
Packers vs Bears Week 11 Betting Trends
- The OVER hit in 9 of the Green Bay Packers last 11 games on the road
- The Chicago Bears are 2-6 (25.0%) in their last 8 games vs. top 10 scoring defenses
- Green Bay are 10-0 ATS in their last 10 games against Chicago.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games.
