The Lions are 10.5-point favorites (on FanDuel) over the Bears ahead of their Week 13 Thanksgiving showdown at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are heavy -590 favorites on the moneyline, and the total sits at 48.5.
I'm a little shocked at how the sportsbooks have the Lions as such massive favorites. Sure, Detroit will have a ferocious Thanksgiving crowd behind them, but Chicago performed adamantly in a narrow loss to the Vikings last week.
Keep reading for our Bears vs Lions odds and picks for Week 13. Click here for our NFL Thanksgiving trends article.
Bears vs Lions Odds Week 13
Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions, Nov. 28, 12:30 pm ET
| Team | Runline | Moneyline | Totals |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Bears | +10.5 (-110) | +430 | O 48.5 (-115) |
| Detroit Lions | -10.5 (-110) | -590 | U 48.5 (-115) |
As of November 25 at FanDuel
Bears vs Lions Picks Week 13
Bears +10.5
10.5 is just too much. I love the Lions, and they could decimate the Bears, but after Caleb Williams' aggressive comeback effort in Week 12, I think the Bears have a good chance to make this close.
Detroit has not secured a Thanksgiving win since 2016. Last year, Detroit committed three fumbles and lost 29-22 to the Packers. Believe it or not, Dan Campbell still doesn't have a Thanksgiving win under his belt as Detroit's head coach. Now that's not enough proof to forecast a complete stinker from a squad that has rattled off nine straight wins, but it's at least something for bettors to think about.
It'll be up to the Bears defense to hold strong against Detroit's rushing attack. I'm more optimistic about my Bears +10.5 pick now that David Montgomery is nursing a shoulder injury, but Jahmyr Gibbs is still as healthy as ever.
Detroit's passing defense is no darling either, so if Williams can channel the precision and grit he showed last week, we'll have a game on our hands.
Bears vs Lions Prop Pick
Caleb Williams OVER 219.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Feel free to parlay the Bears +10.5 with Williams' OVER on passing yards, as I doubt the spread bet hits without this prop. Detroit has a stacked defensive front that should clog up D'Andre Swift's running lanes, but the Lions' secondary is very exploitable, averaging 227 passing yards per game (25th in the NFL).
After a stretch of several ugly games, the rookie Williams has rekindled his magic, hitting the OVER 219.5 passing yards in back-to-back games with passer ratings of 95 and 103.1, respectively. He will need 30+ attempts to cash the OVER on Thanksgiving, and I'll bet the Bears give it to him. Matt Eberflus is coaching for his job, so swinging big against the 10-1 Lions may be his only route out of the doghouse.
Bears vs Lions News
The Detroit Lions have a long Thanksgiving tradition but have struggled in recent decades, going 5-17 in these games since 2000.
Last year’s 29-22 loss to the Packers highlighted their challenges, as Detroit’s defense couldn’t stop Jordan Love, who threw for three touchdowns, including a late game-sealer. Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown kept it close with big plays, but turnovers and missed opportunities proved costly.
As I mentioned earlier, HC Campbell and GM Brad Holmes are still searching for their first Thanksgiving victory.
Bears vs Lions Betting Trends
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games.
- Chicago is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games against Detroit.
- Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
